Tennis bet for Tuesday

**mathdotcom** · 06-08-09, 09:48 PM

crazy you are a pro at picking favs that will lose

thanks for the pick

**jellobiafra** · 06-08-09, 10:01 PM

Crazy.... what is your incentive here?

Masochism?

**j0hnnyv** · 06-08-09, 10:10 PM

im praying this wins for your sake.

**EaglesPhan36** · 06-08-09, 10:14 PM

Lou do you have a + key on your keyboard. I think you should invest in one if you don't.

**pavyracer** · 06-08-09, 10:16 PM

Chalky McChalky

**SBR Lou** · 06-08-09, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by jellobiafra

Crazy.... what is your incentive here?

What anyones incentive when sports gambling is: long-term profits.

**tacomax** · 06-08-09, 10:47 PM

Come on guys - although he likes to dish it out, Louie doesn't like it when he gets picked on. Scared of mice too, I've heard.

**yisman** · 06-08-09, 10:49 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Lou do you have a + key on your keyboard. I think you should invest in one if you don't.

Definitely would be a + investment over time.

**SBR Lou** · 06-08-09, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by tacomax

Come on guys - although he likes to dish it out, Louie doesn't like it when he gets picked on. Scared of mice too, I've heard.

I don't know that it's accurate to say I've been a troublesome poster the past year. I know you like to bump posts that are at least ten months old, but people grow up. I was younger, and bored.

Now I'm just interested in discussing tennis handicapping with others and having a nice time.

**Flyers09** · 06-09-09, 12:02 AM

how confident are you in this play?

**SBR Lou** · 06-09-09, 10:30 AM

Originally posted by CrazyLou

N. Kiefer -190
vs Victor Troicki

Keifer closing at -205 at Pinnacle.

**single shaker** · 06-09-09, 10:44 AM

agree with crazyl pick, kiefer should not have any problems with this match. i see an easy win for him here.

**EaglesPhan36** · 06-09-09, 11:05 AM

I thought this was more of a toss-up personally. Troicki's game is suited to faster surfaces and if he focuses on serve, he can be dangerous. Kiefer had no form heading into this match at all in 2009. I think his price was based solely on his record at this event and he did make the QFs last year, but also burned out in the 1st round two times before that. Kiefer at around -150 or so would have been a decent deal maybe. -200, no thanks even if he wins. GL Lou, know you need one!

**SBR Lou** · 06-09-09, 12:14 PM

Had +0.65% EV at close with where the number went off, that's strictly based on Pinnacle's numbers though which I like to use as a guide, I respect their numbers slightly more than the market average for tennis.

Incidentally, the play won in straight sets but I really didn't care too much. My tennis picks are blasted a lot, but I think people sometimes overlook the long-term aspect. Detaching yourselves from the day to day +/- will make anyone a better tennis handicapping evaluator.

**EaglesPhan36** · 06-09-09, 12:29 PM

Shut up about not caring about the day-to-day results Lou. They all add up. You nailed this one. Kudos!

**Shark79** · 06-09-09, 12:32 PM

Nice Pick Lou.

**"Sic"** · 06-09-09, 01:09 PM

Congrats Lou

**j0hnnyv** · 06-09-09, 05:15 PM

Nice pick Lou. keep the winners coming pal.