Women's Australian Open, outrights

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  • bettingmosquito
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-07-17
    • 227

    #1
    Women's Australian Open, outrights
    Hello,
    I have Serena at 4.10, Kerber 5.1, Pliskova at 9.4, Muguruza 9.8... talk about an unpredictable tournament! But I don't see any value in these odds.... what is your pick?
    There is also Halep at 13.0.
  • Conqueror
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-08-13
    • 16778

    #2
    Kerber 5.1 has value. The others wont even make the semis.
    Comment
    • xdodger19
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-20-12
      • 18012

      #3
      Pliskova +900
      Dtmitrov +4000
      Comment
      • w@lt
        SBR MVP
        • 10-08-10
        • 2594

        #4
        Wow, Dimitrov is +4000? Seems unlikely he wins it all, but those seem like good odds. I sense another first time Slam winner on the women's side.
        Comment
        • rizespor
          SBR MVP
          • 06-21-16
          • 1900

          #5
          Well aside from obvious choices such as Pliskova, Kerber, Halep, etc., how can you resist Bouchard @47? I see 5d still has her @67 by the way. Also for the real long shots, I like Puig @96, svitolina @69, Bencic @52, and wozniacki @32. Konta in good form looks attractive @36 and she did make the semis last year but that girl is such a mental midget I can't back her. The quicker court should play to her strength though
          Comment
          • GoBlue77
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-20-11
            • 9166

            #6
            if healthy i'd take bencic odds

            cibulkova as well.

            puig will never win sh1t again, mentally weak player who got a lucky gold
            Comment
            • bettingmosquito
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-07-17
              • 227

              #7
              I cant see any value in Bouchard at 67 sorry, she would have to go through several top players. I mean if you back here every round i am sure you will get a total of over 67 easily. Just my 2 cents of course and thanks for the feedback.

              Indeed Kerber may be the best shot here.
              Comment
              • bettingmosquito
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-07-17
                • 227

                #8
                Dimitrov is available at 55/1 at Betfair
                (off topic)
                Comment
                • rizespor
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-21-16
                  • 1900

                  #9
                  Well of course she would have to go through top players. How else would she win?

                  Fact remains Bouchard is playing quite well and we know what level she is capable of. She has a much tougher test now against Konta which should be revealing for both players going forward. Unfortunately won't be able to watch though since it would start at 4:30 am here.
                  Comment
                  • rizespor
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-21-16
                    • 1900

                    #10
                    Just watched radwanska demolish Strycova. Looked very sharp
                    Comment
                    • bruceBRUCEbruce
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-20-09
                      • 2560

                      #11
                      Originally posted by rizespor
                      Fact remains Bouchard is playing quite well and we know what level she is capable of.
                      no, we don't
                      this is one of the least consistent players throughout the entire WTA and that's saying something
                      Comment
                      • Snowball
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 11-15-09
                        • 30056

                        #12
                        you can't judge form based on tournaments before the AO.
                        Most players don't care about them and are thinking ahead.
                        Comment
                        • Conqueror
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-08-13
                          • 16778

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Snowball
                          you can't judge form based on tournaments before the AO.
                          Most players don't care about them and are thinking ahead.
                          Exactly!
                          Comment
                          • rizespor
                            SBR MVP
                            • 06-21-16
                            • 1900

                            #14
                            Originally posted by bruceBRUCEbruce
                            no, we don't
                            this is one of the least consistent players throughout the entire WTA and that's saying something
                            Not even sure what you're trying to say.

                            This is a former top 5 player in the world.

                            She has made grand slam finals and semifinals before (including at AO in 2014)

                            We know EXACTLY what she is capable of.
                            Comment
                            • rizespor
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-21-16
                              • 1900

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Snowball
                              you can't judge form based on tournaments before the AO.
                              Most players don't care about them and are thinking ahead.
                              I judge form based on watching them play
                              Comment
                              • rizespor
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-21-16
                                • 1900

                                #16
                                Bencic gets Serena in the first round so unlucky for her but relatively weak section of the draw.

                                Not crazy about bouchard's draw. She faces Chirico first which should be an easy victory but likely Kasatkina in the 2nd round, vandeweghe in the 3Rd and Kerber in the 4th
                                Comment
                                • bettingmosquito
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-07-17
                                  • 227

                                  #17
                                  women's draw bit.ly/1yV6vFq
                                  Comment
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