2017 Tennis Season Thread, Picks, Discussion and everything else by Yours Truly

**Jeff_Black** · 01-03-17, 09:12 AM

ATP Doha 250, Mens Singles, R32
Ivo Karlovic vs Illya Marchenko
Handicap: Illya Marchenko +2.5 @ 1.735 on Pinnacle
Stake: $98.46 for a profit of $72.37

ATP Chennai 250, Mens Singles, R32
Mikhail Youhzny vs Saketh Sai Mynemi
Total Score: Over 21.5 @ 1.892 on Pinnacle
Stake: $98.46 for a profit of $87.83

**Jeff_Black** · 01-03-17, 09:39 AM

ATP Doha 250, Mens Singles, R32
Andy Murray vs Jeremy Chardy
Total Score: Under 18.5 @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: $98.46 for a profit of $91.08

That's it for me from the later games, next up is Brisbane tommorow. And hopefully less rain!

**Jeff_Black** · 01-03-17, 10:11 AM

Not expecting Kuznetsov to cover, but bugger I was really impressed with how he played on this surface and pushing Nadal last year. Gotta love picking the wrong side instead of the over. Thought he'd have the length and height in his shots and he's only adjusted for that in the second set. bleh...

**Jeff_Black** · 01-03-17, 07:54 PM

Handicap: Andrey Kuznetsov +3.5 @ 2.03 on Pinnacle (-$91.67)
Handicap: Illya Marchenko +2.5 @ 1.735 on Pinnacle (+$72.37)
Total Score: Over 21.5 @ 1.892 on Pinnacle (-$98.46)
Total Score: Under 18.5 @ 1.925 on Pinnacle (-$98.46)

YTD: 8 - 10 - 1 (-$196.46)
Bankroll: $1760.19 - 1 pending

**Jeff_Black** · 01-03-17, 07:57 PM

ATP Brisbane International, Mens Singles, R16
Lucas Pouille vs Kyle Edmund
Handicap: Lucas Pouille -3 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle
Stake: $88.01 for a profit of $86.25

ATP Brisbane International, Mens Singles, R16
Jared Donaldson vs Kei Nishikori
Handicap: Jared Donaldson +5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: $88.01 for a profit of $82.99

I am just a little bit annoyed at Murray hah

**lucasdawg** · 01-03-17, 11:57 PM

good tip on donaldson wouldve looked abit rough at the start but hes pulling through goood

**lucasdawg** · 01-04-17, 12:12 AM

any perspective on rinka tonight against troicki

**GoBlue77** · 01-04-17, 12:14 AM

nishikori is such a bum.

**Jeff_Black** · 01-04-17, 01:17 AM

Yeah he struggled here last year the line was right but for a guy who's qualified and looked alright beating Muller I had to take it

**Jeff_Black** · 01-04-17, 01:19 AM

Originally posted by lucasdawg

any perspective on rinka tonight against troicki

Nah no real lean on it TBH
Not really confident either way

**Jeff_Black** · 01-04-17, 04:48 AM

ATP Chennai 250, Men's Singles, R16
Albert Ramos Vinolas vs Steve Darcis
Moneyline: Albert Ramos Vinolas @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: $92.16 for a profit of $83.77

ATP Chennai 250, Men's Singles, R16
Dudu Sela vs Hyeon Chung
Handicap: Dudi Sela +3.5 @ 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: $ 92.16 for a profit of $93.09

ATP Chennai 250, Men's Singles, R16
Aljaz Bedene vs Martin Klizan
Handicap: Aljaz Bedene -2 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: $92.16 for a profit of $86.91

ATP Doha 250, Men's Singles
Fernando Verdasco vs David Goffin
Total Score: Over 21.5 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle
Stake: $92.16 for a profit of $80.09

**Chaz22** · 01-04-17, 05:26 AM

too much picks, dont you think Jeff?

Last year, think you had less per tournament....did you change the strategy or you just feel more confident in tennis now?

**Jeff_Black** · 01-04-17, 08:47 AM

Yeah at some point I will have to tone it down a bit. 3 tournaments means a bigger sample size but also there will be less matches anyway later in the week so I figure it evens out. Even if I dont like anything from a tournament in the SF onwards.
Some people always use the excuse "I will try and be more selective", this time around I feel like I should try and at least look at every match on the board (even those I know I won't touch) and see which ones are the better ones I like with a better chance of winning.

For example I probably wouldn't have done the Murray/Chardy match last year but had the right idea on it, just the wrong pick.

**Jeff_Black** · 01-04-17, 08:51 AM

~~Handicap: Lucas Pouille -3 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle~~
($0)
Handicap: Jared Donaldson +5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle (+$82.99)

YTD: 9 - 10 - 2 (-$113.47)
Bankroll: $1843.18 - 4 pending

I got lucky Pouille retired after being French for most of the match.

**Jeff_Black** · 01-04-17, 10:37 AM

Moneyline: Albert Ramos Vinolas @ 1.909 on Pinnacle (+$83.77)
Total Score: Over 21.5 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle (-$92.16)
Handicap: Dudi Sela +3.5 @ 2.01 on Pinnacle (+$93.09)

YTD: 11 - 11 - 2 (-$32.79)
Bankroll: $1923.86 - 2 pending

**Jeff_Black** · 01-04-17, 07:19 PM

ATP Brisbane International 250, Mens Singles, R16
Milos Raonic vs Diego Sebastian Schwartzman
Handicap: Diego Sebastian Schwartzman +4.5 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: $96.19 for a profit of $95.23

**Jeff_Black** · 01-04-17, 08:35 PM

ATP Chennai 250, Mens Singles, R16
Mikhail Youhzny vs Renzo Olivo
Handicap: Renzo Olivo +4 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Stake: $96.19 for a profit of $88.21

ATP Doha 250, Mens Singles, R16
Ivo Karlovic vs Fernando Verdasco
Moneyline: Ivo Karlovic @ 2.15 on Pinnacle
Stake: $96.18 for a profit of $110.61

**Jeff_Black** · 01-07-17, 06:28 PM

Handicap: Diego Sebastian Schwartzman +4.5 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle (-$96.18)
Handicap: Renzo Olivo +4 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle (-$96.18)
Moneyline: Ivo Karlovic @ 2.15 on Pinnacle (-$96.18)
Outrights: Dominic Thiem @ $50 (-$50)

YTD: 11 - 15 - 2 (-$321.79)
Bankroll: $1635.32 - 2 pending

Rebooting and hoping for a bit better fortune

**Jeff_Black** · 01-07-17, 06:31 PM

ATP Brisbane International 250, Mens Singles, Final
Kei Nishikori vs Grigor Dimitrov
Handicap: Grigor Dimitrov +3 @ 1.84 on Pinnacle
Stake: $81.77 for a profit of $68.68

ATP Chennai 250, Mens Singles, Final
Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Handicap: Roberto Bautista Agut -3.5 @ 1.80 on Pinnacle
Stake: $81.77 for a profit of $65.42

**Jeff_Black** · 01-07-17, 07:14 PM

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, Final Qualifying Round
Michael Mmoh vs Jerzy Janowicz
Moneyline: Michael Mmoh @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: $81.777 for a profit of $75.64

ATP Apia International Sydney 250, Mens Singles, R32
Tomaz Belluci vs Nicolas Mahut
Handicap: Nicolas Mahut -2 @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
Stake: $81.77 fo a profit of $75.64

**Jeff_Black** · 01-08-17, 01:34 AM

Moneyline: Michael Mmoh @ 1.925 on Pinnacle (+$75.64)
Handicap: Nicolas Mahut -2 @ 1.925 on Pinnacle (+$75.64)

YTD: 13 - 15 - 2 (-$170.51)
Bankroll: $1786.60 - 2 pending

**Jeff_Black** · 01-08-17, 08:28 AM

Handicap: Grigor Dimitrov +3 @ 1.84 on Pinnacle (+$68.68)
Handicap: Roberto Bautista Agut -3.5 @ 1.80 on Pinnacle (+$65.42)

YTD: 15 - 15 - 2 (-$36.41)
Bankroll: $1920.70 - 1 pending

Never underestimate the importance of taking a break when you feel like you're not feeling it or slumping it a bit!

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R32
Steve Johnson vs Stephane Robert
Handicap: Stephane Robert +4 @ 1.854 on Pinnacle
Stake: $96.03 for a profit of $82.01

**Jeff_Black** · 01-08-17, 07:56 PM

Handicap: Stephane Robert +4 @ 1.854 on Pinnacle (-$96.03)

YTD: 15 - 16 - 2 (-$132.44)
Bankroll: $1824.67 - 0 pending

Like his match against Mahut, Robert starts well missing a 2nd breaking chance and sharts the bed good and proper all over after that.

**Jeff_Black** · 01-08-17, 07:59 PM

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R32
Horacio Zebalious vs Jiri Vesely
Handicap: Horacio Zebalious +2.5 @ 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: $91.23 for a profit of $92.15

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R32
Feliciano Lopez vs Michael Venus
Handicap: Michael Venus +5 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: $91.23 for a profit of $82.93

**Jeff_Black** · 01-08-17, 08:47 PM

ATP Apia International Sydney 250, Mens Singles, R32
Philipp Kohlscriebber vs Fabio Fognini
Total Score: Over 21.5 @ 1.862 on Pinnacle
Stake: $91.23 for a profit of $78.64

ATP Apia International Sydney 250, Mens Singles, R32
Gastao Elias vs Christopher OConnell
Handicap: Gastao Elias -2 @ 2.04 on Pinnacle
Stake: $91.23 for a profit of $94.88

ATP Apia International Sydney 250, Mens Singles, R32
Dan Evans vs Thiago Monterio
Handicap: Dan Evans -3.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: $91.23 for a profit of $82.11

**Jeff_Black** · 01-09-17, 02:23 AM

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R32
Michael Mmoh vs Dustin Brown
Handicap: Michael Mmoh -1 @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: $99.67 for a profit of $95.78

**Jeff_Black** · 01-09-17, 07:37 PM

Handicap: Horacio Zebalious +2.5 @ 2.01 on Pinnacle (-$91.23)
Handicap: Michael Venus +5 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle (+$82.93)
Total Score: Over 21.5 @ 1.862 on Pinnacle (-$91.23)
Handicap: Gastao Elias -2 @ 2.04 on Pinnacle (+$94.88)
Handicap: Dan Evans -3.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle (+$82.11)
Handicap: Michael Mmoh -1 @ 1.961 on Pinnacle (-$99.67)

YTD: 18 - 19 - 2 (-$154.65)
Bankroll: $1802.46 - 0 pending

**Jeff_Black** · 01-09-17, 07:42 PM

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R32
Yen-Hsun Lu vs Karen Khacanacov
Total Score: Over 22.5 games @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: $90.12 for a profit of $86.61

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R32
Adrian Mannarino vs Marcos Baghdatis
Moneyline: Marcos Baghdatis @ 2.27 on Pinnacle
Stake: $90.12 for a profit of $114.45

**Jeff_Black** · 01-09-17, 07:46 PM

ATP Apia International Sydney 250, Mens Singles, R32
Gilles Muller vs Alexandr Dolgopolov
Handicap: Alexandr Dolgopolov +2.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: $90.12 for a profit of $81.11

ATP Apia International Sydney 250, Mens Singles, R32
Andrey Kuznetsov vs Martin Klizan
Total Score: Over 21.5 Games @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Stake: $90.12 for a profit of $82.64

**Jeff_Black** · 01-10-17, 12:44 AM

Bit salty that Klizan retired but I guess it's better then him tanking the whole set and losing my money as 6-0 would have been under the total.

**Jeff_Black** · 01-10-17, 08:55 AM

Total Score: Over 22.5 games @ 1.961 on Pinnacle (+$86.61)
Moneyline: Marcos Baghdatis @ 2.27 on Pinnacle (+$114.45)
Handicap: Alexandr Dolgopolov +2.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle (+$81.11)
~~Total Score: Over 21.5 Games @ 1.917 on Pinnacle~~

YTD: 21 - 19 - 3 (+$127.52)
Bankroll: $2084.63 - 0 pending

**Jeff_Black** · 01-10-17, 09:05 AM

ATP Auckland 250, ASB Classic, Mens Singles, R16
David Ferrer vs Robin Haase
Handicap: Robin Haase +4.5 @ 1.833 on Pinnacle
Stake: $104.23 for a profit of $86.82

**Memphis Raines** · 01-10-17, 09:57 AM

Nice day yesterday, enjoying following the thread. Good luck the rest of the way.

**Jeff_Black** · 01-10-17, 06:33 PM

Thanks for stopping by and for your first post to be in my thread haha

are you a tennis guy or just all round?

**Jeff_Black** · 01-10-17, 07:43 PM

Sydney board looks pretty dull today so just these two plays for it

ATP Apia International Sydney 250, Mens Singles, R16
Dan Evans vs Marcel Granollers
Total Score: Over 22 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: $104.23 for a profit of $93.81

ATP Apia International Sydney 250, Mens Singles, R32
Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mischa Zverev
Moneyline: Pablo Carreno Busta @ 2.06 on Pinnacle
Stake: $104.23 for a profit of $110.48