FRENCH OPEN (MUST REA) - Bertens/Serena, Murray/Djokovic & Other Props w/ Write-up
WTA
We have been riding Bertens the whole way. Not planning on stopping now even vs Serena. Even if she doesn't get the W, I believe she will play a strong match, in a long 2 games or 3.
Possible Outcome: 7-5/6-4 Bertens in 2 or Bertens wins the first game, Serena wins match 6-4/5-7/3-6
Currently at Kiki Bertens +539 (Williams -775). (Only value is parlay)
S.Williams Wins 2-1 +328 <----VALUE
K.Bertens Wins 1st Set +330 (better chance than 2nd set, but no value)
Williams/ Bertens O 20 1/2 +135 <----VALUE
Serena Williams beats Garbine Muguruza in Final +122 <----VALUEATP
We all know in slams, these guys play better and harder than usual. Well, Andy Murray is very consistent in Grand Slams. It is worth noting that the overwhelming trend is 3-0 wins 65.1% in 2014 and Favorites won 86%. Murray struggled coming in against 2 outside of the top 100, but finally showed rhythm against Gasquet in a 4 set win. Wawrinka has not been playing as well as we have seen and Murray will be ready for the single handed backhand from Wawrinka and win in 4.
More value in Murray -125 than O 41 1/2 -115
Props With Value (5Dimes)
Novak Djokovic beats Andy Murray +168 (Exact Result of Final) - It will be Djokovic v Murray in the final
Serena Williams wins French Open -167
Kiki Bertens wins French Open +1275 (If Kiki beats Serena, she will beat Muguruza for the win/ Good hedge against a Serena loss when -167 used as a parlay pivot or a large bet)
Andy Murray Wins 3-1 Wawrinka +330 ( Against the trend. 2-14, 65.1% French Open matches went 3-0, only 24.6% went 3-1 but the average on both over years is 55%
Summary: Good parlay options with Friday NHL (Penquins +125. Currently 2-0 in Stanley Cup, tomorrow night's game being the first in San Jose. Statistically favorable to take penquins or over 5.5 +125) or Belmont Stradavari to win +900 / Cherry Wine to win +900, or MLB - Washington Nationals -152 @ Cincinatti Reds.
Serena Wins French Open -167
Penguins +125
Murray -125
5.47 - 1 Odds ($100 wins 547)
Probably my favorite (2x)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Williams/Bertens O 21 1/2 +135
Washington Nationals -152 (v Cincinatti Reds)
9.4 - 1 ($100 wins $941)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Serena Wins -167
3.2 - 1 ($100 wins $320)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Stradavari Wins Belmont +900 or Cherry Wine Wins Belmont +900
25.7 - 1 ($100 wins $2570)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Serena Wins French Open -167
Stradavari Wins Belmont +900 or Cherry Wine Wins Belmont +900
41.68- 1 ($100 wins $4168)
(can't help myself)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Serena Wins French Open -167
Stradavari Wins Belmont +900 or Cherry Wine Wins Belmont +900
Washington Nationals -152 (vs Cincinatti Reds)
67.7- 1 ($100 wins $6770)
We have been riding Bertens the whole way. Not planning on stopping now even vs Serena. Even if she doesn't get the W, I believe she will play a strong match, in a long 2 games or 3.
Possible Outcome: 7-5/6-4 Bertens in 2 or Bertens wins the first game, Serena wins match 6-4/5-7/3-6
Currently at Kiki Bertens +539 (Williams -775). (Only value is parlay)
S.Williams Wins 2-1 +328 <----VALUE
K.Bertens Wins 1st Set +330 (better chance than 2nd set, but no value)
Williams/ Bertens O 20 1/2 +135 <----VALUE
Serena Williams beats Garbine Muguruza in Final +122 <----VALUEATP
We all know in slams, these guys play better and harder than usual. Well, Andy Murray is very consistent in Grand Slams. It is worth noting that the overwhelming trend is 3-0 wins 65.1% in 2014 and Favorites won 86%. Murray struggled coming in against 2 outside of the top 100, but finally showed rhythm against Gasquet in a 4 set win. Wawrinka has not been playing as well as we have seen and Murray will be ready for the single handed backhand from Wawrinka and win in 4.
More value in Murray -125 than O 41 1/2 -115
Props With Value (5Dimes)
Novak Djokovic beats Andy Murray +168 (Exact Result of Final) - It will be Djokovic v Murray in the final
Serena Williams wins French Open -167
Kiki Bertens wins French Open +1275 (If Kiki beats Serena, she will beat Muguruza for the win/ Good hedge against a Serena loss when -167 used as a parlay pivot or a large bet)
Andy Murray Wins 3-1 Wawrinka +330 ( Against the trend. 2-14, 65.1% French Open matches went 3-0, only 24.6% went 3-1 but the average on both over years is 55%
Summary: Good parlay options with Friday NHL (Penquins +125. Currently 2-0 in Stanley Cup, tomorrow night's game being the first in San Jose. Statistically favorable to take penquins or over 5.5 +125) or Belmont Stradavari to win +900 / Cherry Wine to win +900, or MLB - Washington Nationals -152 @ Cincinatti Reds.
Serena Wins French Open -167
Penguins +125
Murray -125
5.47 - 1 Odds ($100 wins 547)
Probably my favorite (2x)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Williams/Bertens O 21 1/2 +135
Washington Nationals -152 (v Cincinatti Reds)
9.4 - 1 ($100 wins $941)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Serena Wins -167
3.2 - 1 ($100 wins $320)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Stradavari Wins Belmont +900 or Cherry Wine Wins Belmont +900
25.7 - 1 ($100 wins $2570)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Serena Wins French Open -167
Stradavari Wins Belmont +900 or Cherry Wine Wins Belmont +900
41.68- 1 ($100 wins $4168)
(can't help myself)
Djokovic Beats Andy Murray +168
Serena Wins French Open -167
Stradavari Wins Belmont +900 or Cherry Wine Wins Belmont +900
Washington Nationals -152 (vs Cincinatti Reds)
67.7- 1 ($100 wins $6770)
Overall Grand Slam statistics
| 3-0 | 55.1 | 46.9 | 53.2 | 56.7 |
| 3-1 | 29.6 | 31.2 | 26.6 | 27.3 |
| 3-2 | 15.3 | 21.9 | 20.2 | 16.0 |
| % | 80.5 | 78.5 | 78.8 | 80.7 |
French Grand Slam statistics
| 3-0 | 54.0 | 49.6 | 55.8 | 61.5 | 55.2 |
| 3-1 | 33.1 | 28.9 | 24.2 | 24.6 | 55.2 |
| 3-2 | 12.9 | 21.5 | 20.0 | 13.9 | 17.0 |
| % | 79.1 | 83.1 | 80.8 | 86.1 | 862.2 |
