I really like Wawrinka here, Murray has been pretty good this clay court season with wins over Nadal and Djokovic but i feel like the courts at Roland Garros and they way they are playing with the overcast weather don't really suit him and he's never really got going at his top level during this tournament.
I just feel like in the slow conditions Wawrinka is going to be able to hit through Murray who has pretty much been rescued by his improved serve in several matches because his game wasn't up to his normal level, Wawrinka also leads the clay h2h but he just plays better and is more comfortable on the courts at Roland Garros, i actually think this year Murray has played quite well and and i can see him playing on the final Sunday at Wimbledon but i don't like him on these courts and in this matchup at all, take Stan the Man.
Wawrinka win as an underdog is big time value here, i see him as a 70% favorite.
3-1 Wawrinka i also like for a smaller stake.
Stats
H2H 8-7 Murray
Wawrinka won last 3 meetings
2-2 in Grand Slam meetings
3-0 Wawrinka on Clay
I just feel like in the slow conditions Wawrinka is going to be able to hit through Murray who has pretty much been rescued by his improved serve in several matches because his game wasn't up to his normal level, Wawrinka also leads the clay h2h but he just plays better and is more comfortable on the courts at Roland Garros, i actually think this year Murray has played quite well and and i can see him playing on the final Sunday at Wimbledon but i don't like him on these courts and in this matchup at all, take Stan the Man.
Wawrinka win as an underdog is big time value here, i see him as a 70% favorite.
3-1 Wawrinka i also like for a smaller stake.
Stats
H2H 8-7 Murray
Wawrinka won last 3 meetings
2-2 in Grand Slam meetings
3-0 Wawrinka on Clay