JC's 2016 Tennis (& porbably some Motorsport too) Thread

[JC1186]

Haven't properly recorded my bets publically in years and now, the timing it right, for me to be able to put the time in to stay disciplined and focussed.

This thread will primarily be Tennis, but I'm not ruling out Moto GP, Formula 1, World Superbikes and V8 Supercars (Australia). I may separate the threads. I may not.

Unlike Jeff Black, I probably won't put in too much justification for my bets.

I'm also going to do something a little differently in that I'll bet in both dollars and units. They both mean the same thing. $100AUD = 1 unit.

Alright time to christen it.

WTA Rome Masters
To win 1st Quarter
Ana Ivanovic @ 21.00
400.00 AUD

She has Serena Williams and Halep in her Quarter and she'll most likely have to beat both. Perrrrfect! It means I get juicy odds. Ana may be a bit of a lost cause these days, but don't underestimate her potential to beat the best when executing her game plan. Particularly on this surface. She has good people in her corner and the former French Open Champion is one of the few women to possess the necessary weapons to beat the very best in the game.

Serena coming back from injury.

Halep coming off winning Madrid.

This makes them both hopefully just vulnerable enough.

Should Ana beat Serena I may consider laying off on her Quarter Final opponent. That's part of the reasoning beind the large stake size (considering the odds).

[JC1186]

3-Team Parlay. 200.00 1,097.48 Pending


1. 10-May-16 Tennis/W BNL R1 (Match Odds) Jelena Jankovic vs Eugenie Bouchard for Match ( 1.746)
2. 10-May-16 Tennis/W BNL R1 (GAME HANDICAP ) Alison Riske (+4.5) vs Samantha Stosur for Match ( 1.884)
3. 10-May-16 Tennis/BNL R1 (Match Odds) Jeremy Chardy vs Damir Dzumhur for Match ( 1.970) Pending

[Jeff_Black]

BOL champ, there's nothing more rewarding then holding yourself accountable and doing well at it on a public forum I have found.
Helps keep me disciplined and not wonder why I don't second guess myself (sometimes lol)

[JC1186]

BOL champ, there's nothing more rewarding then holding yourself accountable and doing well at it on a public forum I have found.
Helps keep me disciplined and not wonder why I don't second guess myself (sometimes lol)

Thanks buddy. Yeah that was much of the motivation behind me starting it.

When it's all in one thread you've got nowhere to hide. As opposed to the many "tuesday/wednesday/thursday play" one-off type threads which get buried fast and accountability (as you say) is nowhere to be seen.

I just need to focus on betting the same way I would usually and not allow the fact others will see my plays influence me in the slightest.

[JC1186]

3-Team Parlay. 200.00 1,097.48 Pending


1. 10-May-16 Tennis/W BNL R1 (Match Odds) Jelena Jankovic vs Eugenie Bouchard for Match ( 1.746)
2. 10-May-16 Tennis/W BNL R1 (GAME HANDICAP ) Alison Riske (+4.5) vs Samantha Stosur for Match ( 1.884)
3. 10-May-16 Tennis/BNL R1 (Match Odds) Jeremy Chardy vs Damir Dzumhur for Match ( 1.970) Pending

Win, win, lose. So a Lose.

Dzumhur was up 6-2 3-1 and had three bp's. One of them was a netcord on bp and I couldn't believe it. He reached 1.03 on Betfair.
Anyway tough loss.

----

On another note just played the Georges v Tsurenko market for about 30 minutes. It was profitable.

[NYRin09]

Good to see you back JC. I remember tailing a few years ago. Let's get back to the $$!

[JC1186]

Thanks.


Tennis - ATP Seoul Challenger
S Kwon v S Groth
S Kwon @ 5.20


Original Stake
$200.00
Potential Winnings
$1040.00

[Honeybadger44]

Interesting tread

good luck

[kenz]

BOL!

[JC1186]

Cheers boys good to see u both still hanging around.

Both quality posters and I mean (but also know) that

[JC1186]

Groth is so rubbish bit the bet still lost. Just 3 points or so separated them in the end so the punt was certainly justified at those odds.

Moving on..

Parlay	3-Team Parlay.		255.00	1,017.73	Pending
1. 11-May-16 Tennis/W St Gau R16 (Match Odds) Mandy Minella vs Maria Sakkari for Match ( 1.332) Pending 2. 11-May-16 Tennis/W BNL R2 (GAME HANDICAP ) Ekaterina Makarova (+4) vs Garbine Muguruza for Match ( 1.900) Pending 3. 11-May-16 Tennis/W BNL R2 (GAME HANDICAP ) Eugenie Bouchard vs Angelique Kerber (-4.5) for Match ( 1.970) Pending

Did not realise you could just copy and paste your pinnacle bet slip in. Cool.

Sakkari because she'll kill Minella.

I'm quietly very confident in Kerber and I'm taking a bit of a chance on Makarova on this surface and a lot depends on which version of Muguruza turns up haha.

In case ppl haven't noticed I like my multis. And yes I am successful long-term.

Will update my units every week.

[Honeybadger44]

Yeah, I visit the forum almost every day, but rarely post, since the tennis section died couple of months ago.

You found great piece of value, fading Groth there. Bets like that one make profit long-term.

And hey, multis are welcome as long as they are making money for you. You are not the only one who doesn't respect the unwritten rule: "succesful bettors don't bet combos"



One of mine from AO.

[JC1186]

Geez that's one impressive multi. Well done!

--

Didn't watch the match but Makarova must have been ugly. About as bad a start I could have possibly made to this thread haha. Onwards and upwards!

[Jeff_Black]

Caught some of the last set, Groth wasn't very good whatsoever. Has regressed so much that it took him three sets and being broken serving for the match to beat a player ranked in the 400s.
Fade worthy again

[JC1186]

Formula 1, Spanish GP
Finishing Position
Sebastian Vettel
6th place or worse
@ 3.75

(Bet365)

Stake: 3.65u
Potential Return: 13.68u

[fitguy67]

hey JC, good to see another well-run thread developing around here...

a comment about keeping score in dollars "versus" units...if 1u=100 AUD...probably better to keep simple and track only in the more convenient $ terms...because a simple kick of the decimal place instantly yields "units" whenever they're desired..so the upside of choosing and sticking with one (WHICHEVER one you choose, really doesn't matter...but good'ol $ has that extra layer of meaning) yardstick is less work and yields a cleaner & less-confusing presentation...and (thanks to decimal-point arithmetic) there is no downside


good luck going forward

[JC1186]

Thanks for taking the time to post that fitguy. Agreed and makes sense.

This is an awful, awful thread haha. Kind of want to post a screenshot of my recent week because it's a lot prettier

Anyway moving on. Threw this multi together. Down a hell of a lot here and hopefully can turn it around during the FO.

A Pavlyuchenkova C Buyukakcay v A Pavlyuchenkova 1st Set		More Info
1.50 | Win | Fixed Price
I Sijsling - Yes N Kyrgios v I Sijsling To Win a Set
3.40 | Win | Fixed Price
M Trungelliti - Yes A Ramos-Vinolas v M Trungelliti To Win a Set
1.62 | Win | Fixed Price
Stake: 3.66u

[JC1186]

An attempt to turn a thread completely around with a one off bet that, it must be said, I feel confident in.

I wonder if anyone else has tried this strategy?

http://imgur.com/a/UzWpW

5.81u @ 3.43 = 2K unit return

[McCarthyFam]

on ml as well as this. Good luck to us

[Lightning]

f*ck that's a solid bet haha, well done

[JC1186]

Thanks. It was. Very much needed too the way this thread was going.



Moto GP
Austrian GP
4u @ 3.50 to profit 10u

Should be an awesome race and definitely recommend tuning in (starts in 2 hours)

[JC1186]

Over (34.5)
N Djokovic v G Monfils
2.00 | Win |
Valentino Rossi
Moto GP San Marino Outright Betting
3.50 | Win |
Stake: 2.84u
Odds: 7.00