Novice Plays - 15 Feb to 21 Feb

[novicebeast]

Hey guys a rookie here just into my 2nd year of betting... Having a decent tennis season so far.... Will be posting my plays as often as possible in order to track them as well as discuss them with the experts.... You can either follow them or fade them or just watch them... Any form of constructive criticism is welcome and will be appreciated....

Here we go....

Monday, 15 Feb =
ATP MARSEILLE :
M. Zverev ML @ 1.25
Sousa ML @ 1.36

ATP RIO :
Ramos ML @ 1.53
Fognini ML @ 1.30

ATP DELRAY BEACH :
Dimitrov 2-0 @ 1.40

Will not be playing these as singles because I don't play any bet with odds below 1.7±0.05
So combining them in two parlays for 1 unit each :

M. Zverev, Sousa, Fognini @ 2.21

Ramos, Dimitrov 2-0 @ 2.14

Any comments welcome... Thank you and gud luck to everyone....

[novicebeast]

Monday recap :
Sousa burned my first Parlay... Second still alive with Ramos to play...

0-1, -1 unit

Tuesday, 16 Feb =
ATP MARSEILLE :
Zverev -2.5 @ 1.83

ATP RIO :
Fognini ML @1.28 (adding again as he reached the finals last year)
Lorenzi ML @ 1.36

ATP DELRAY BEACH :
Del Potro ML @ 1.53

WTA DUBAI :
Gavrilova ML @ 2.37

Played these :
Zverev -2.5 @ 1.83

Gavrilova ML @ 2.37

Fognini, Lorenzi, Del Potro @ 2.66

[novicebeast]

Round 1 matches almost complete in all ATP and WTA tournaments...
Here are the results until now =
3-2 (1 partially complete as Lajovic retired)
+0.89 units
Finally first round turned out profitable in 2016....

[novicebeast]

Wednesday, 17 Feb =
Played :
Julia Goerges ML @1.83

More to follow

[novicebeast]

Adding :
Goffin -3.5 @ 1.80

[novicebeast]

Adding :
Goffin -3.5 @ 1.80

Zverev retires...... Goffin was up 6-1 2-0.... Would have been easy money.... Now the bet is void.... Money returned.....

[novicebeast]

Wednesday, 17 Feb =
Played :
Julia Goerges ML @1.83

More to follow

Goerges just went full retard..... WTA never ceases to surprise me..... Was up 6-2 3-0.... Now 6-2 3-6 0-3..... Wow.... Just WOW......

[novicebeast]

Adding......
Halys -3.5 @ 1.80

[novicebeast]

Adding......
Parlay
Fognini ML, Thiem ML, Ferrer 2-0 @ 2.04

[frugalgambler]

Goerges just went full retard..... WTA never ceases to surprise me..... Was up 6-2 3-0.... Now 6-2 3-6 0-3..... Wow.... Just WOW......

Welcome to WTA buddy. How about Kvitova losing after being up 6-0 & 3-1. I had Kvitova -4, and luckily I hedged at little at that score with Brengle +1400. But this sh.t happens all the time, especially with some players at smaller tournaments. It is also early in the year and a lot of these women do not work that hard in the off-season.

[novicebeast]

Welcome to WTA buddy. How about Kvitova losing after being up 6-0 & 3-1. I had Kvitova -4, and luckily I hedged at little at that score with Brengle +1400. But this sh.t happens all the time, especially with some players at smaller tournaments. It is also early in the year and a lot of these women do not work that hard in the off-season.

Yep... That's why I avoid betting on WTA unless only few selected players or for grand slams only... Well let bygones be bygones..... Its a new day lets make some profit 😊

[novicebeast]

stupid day yesterday....
1-1 with a parlay pending...
+0.69

Thursday 18 Feb =
Petkovic ML @ 2.00

[novicebeast]

Petkovic lost....
Adding these now.....

Kyrgios -3.5 @ 1.72

Gasquet -3.5 @ 1.83

Zverev +4.5 @ 1.90

[novicebeast]

Adding.....
Beautiful Ana 2-0 @ 1.72

[novicebeast]

Ana lost
Anyway adding one more.....
Juan Martin Del Potro 2-0 @ 1.72

[novicebeast]

Round 2 ends with a good comeback for the day.....
4-2 yesterday....
For the week....
8-6, +0.86 units

Will add quarter finals later on....

[novicebeast]

Friday 19 Feb =
Kyrgios ML @ 2.37

Wawrinka -3.5 @ 1.72

Parlay 5 fold :
Wawrinka 2-0, Pella, Cuevas, Dimitrov, Querrey ML @ 4.74

[novicebeast]

Adding.....
Nadal/Dolgopolov Over 20.5 games @ 1.72

Thiem/Ferrer Over 2.5 sets @ 2.50

[novicebeast]

1-2 for the day..... Hedged Wawrinka at last minute....
9-8, +0.23 units

[novicebeast]

Not a great day yesterday but NBA saved my ass.... Anyway time for the semis.... Early plays today because the odds are coming down very quickly on these dogs...

Saturday 20 Feb =
Kyrgios ML @ 2.25

Paire ML @ 3.00

[frugalgambler]

1-2 for the day..... Hedged Wawrinka at last minute....
9-8, +0.23 units

Seriously ? Hedged Wawrinka at last minute ? And you posted that where exactly ? I do not care much, but some folks might be tailing you and your record is not trustworthy then.

[novicebeast]

Seriously ? Hedged Wawrinka at last minute ? And you posted that where exactly ? I do not care much, but some folks might be tailing you and your record is not trustworthy then.

Oops.... Didn't know that and never saw anyone posting their hedge plays.... BTW its not rocket science to hedge any bet whether you are tailing someone or not.... When the dog is serving gud and ahead 4-3 in final set... Tail or no tail.... You are a crap bettor if you don't know when to hedge your plays.....

Anyway my bad didn't posted that I hedged Wawrinka... So I'll add that as a loss to this thread.....

9-9 -0.77 units

[novicebeast]

Kyrgios is really coming of age this season.... Hope he loses his stupidity down the road and attains some maturity and becomes a great champion that he has the potential to be.....

Anyway adding these plays now.....
I see no point in fading any of the favorites now so here we go

Thiem 2-0, Nadal 2-0, Del Potro ML, Dimitrov ML @ 3.98

And just because I don't trust Nadal a lot these days....
Thiem, Nadal, Del Potro, Dimitrov ML @ 2.34

Going to add 1 more may be if I find some value on individual bets....

[frugalgambler]

Oops.... Didn't know that and never saw anyone posting their hedge plays.... BTW its not rocket science to hedge any bet whether you are tailing someone or not.... When the dog is serving gud and ahead 4-3 in final set... Tail or no tail.... You are a crap bettor if you don't know when to hedge your plays.....

Anyway my bad didn't posted that I hedged Wawrinka... So I'll add that as a loss to this thread.....

9-9 -0.77 units

I hedge all the time, then again I do not usually post my plays. I am just saying that if you want to keep an overall record in your thread, the only way to do it is with plays posted before the match starts. People do tail. GL today.

[novicebeast]

I hedge all the time, then again I do not usually post my plays. I am just saying that if you want to keep an overall record in your thread, the only way to do it is with plays posted before the match starts. People do tail. GL today.

Thnx for those wise words....

[novicebeast]

Dimitrov is going down I guess will see..... H2H is 2-0 in favor of Rajeev Ram but didn't expect him to bit in form Dimi here wel it is what it is.....

As I said earlier the single play for the day..... I was meddling between Del Potro in straight sets and Thiem -4.5..... Del Potro might lose a set though as Querrey isn't bad either.... Thiem on the other hand... Well let's just say he might be carving his path to Rafa's throne with 18-2 on clay in last 20 matches...

So Thiem -4.5 it is....
Gud luck...

[novicebeast]

[novicebeast]

Kyrgios -1.5 @ 1.72

[novicebeast]

Results after Kyrgios
11-12
-1.8 units

[novicebeast]

Final plays in this thread =
Ram ML @ 3.00, Over 22.5 games @ 1.72
Why Ram you may think... Ram is giving inspired performances since day 1 of this tournament starting with Tomic and yesterday against Dimitrov he didn't face a single break point and that's saying something.... Querrey on the other hand hasn't beaten anyone exceptional except may be Del Potro who wasn't as aggressive as he used to be... As for the over games as we saw yesterday both players are serving great.... Querrey lost only 9 points off his serve the entire match and was pushed to 30 only once!!!

Pella ML @ 2.75
This is a coin toss.... Pella destroyed Thiem yesterday and although Nadal destroyed himself but credit should be given to Cuevas as he was hitting the ball at beautiful length and with utmost aggression esp. the backhand.... I chose Pella simply because there's value in there as Cuevas will be playing his second match within 24 hours with the first one going on for 3.5 hrs.....

So these three plays for me tonight hopefully will turn this week of tennis into a profitable one and if not there's always another day... Ciao and gud luck tonyt....

[novicebeast]

A difficult week this one....
12-14 -3.08 units

Hopefully next week will be better one..... Over to the new thread c ya