15 units ($1500) on Stan to beat Nadal @1.92

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  • kenz
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-12
    • 4879

    #1
    15 units ($1500) on Stan to beat Nadal @1.92
    Only worry was Stan being tired but Nadal also played a final/5 games last week

  • kenz
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-12
    • 4879

    #2
    5 more units on Wawrinka @1.99(with the added price+payout on 1xbet)

    Total Risk: 20 units

    Comment
    • kenz
      SBR MVP
      • 12-09-12
      • 4879

      #3
      Damn wish I waited for Pinnacle Price, it is @2.11
      Comment
      • nspa87
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-14-14
        • 119

        #4
        Just having a discussion here, but I watched both games today and I felt Nadal carried himself far better than Wawa did, who seemed exhausted, frustrated, and somewhat coming undone. In my opinion he had a much easier match to win against Raonic today and should be favored to win, which is probably why you saw that line movement.
        Comment
        • mrlif1
          SBR MVP
          • 07-15-13
          • 1462

          #5
          was just perusing the tennis section with my local, saw this price (+102 for me), was confused, came on here, see this thread....tailing. gl
          Comment
          • kenz
            SBR MVP
            • 12-09-12
            • 4879

            #6
            Dont like the line movement. If Stan is Fit tomorrow he should win, hopefully he is Fit and hungry
            Comment
            • Goat Milk
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-24-10
              • 25850

              #7
              I don't know about this. Nadal is hungry right now. He's looked a bit sloppy against Fognini and Raonic but if Nadal brings his A game and Wawrinka brings his A game, there's no question Nadal will beat him pretty easily. Problem is Nadal's A game comes and goes these days and you are really just guessing when you bet against him. GL.
              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
              Comment
              • kenz
                SBR MVP
                • 12-09-12
                • 4879

                #8
                Dont like the continuous line movement. I am seeing mine a loser bet. This also made me feel unsecure

                http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2015/...s&emc=rss&_r=0

                I think nadal to win 1st set and ML @2.35 looks better than my bet, unfortunately.
                Comment
                • Goat Milk
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-24-10
                  • 25850

                  #9
                  Originally posted by kenz
                  Dont like the continuous line movement. I am seeing mine a loser bet. This also made me feel unsecure

                  http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2015/...s&emc=rss&_r=0

                  I think nadal to win 1st set and ML @2.35 looks better than my bet, unfortunately.
                  Line movement has nothing to do with your bet pal. It's all about the matchup. Lines move simply to even out the money. Books don't bet on sides....
                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                  Comment
                  • MGTennisTipster
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 12-30-14
                    • 335

                    #10
                    Wawrinka received medical timeout in first set on his right shoulder and that might be one of the reasons why he only got 51% first serve in against Cilic. The Suisse ended the match with poor numbers: 30 winners / 51 unforced errors and was break down in first and second set however Cilic too inconsistent to hold those leads.

                    Nadal raising the level week after week and mentally also much stronger. The way he managed to take the win against Karlovic was Nadal vintage showing all his mental strenght under pressure. Rafa brought the confidence from that match to defeat Raonic in straight sets with a very solid performance.

                    Stan was 3 hours on court with Cilic, with around 17 / 18 hours between the two matches and will have to face one of the best competitors that have ever played the game. Nadal so determined to do well while Stan has been far from his best outside Grand Slams, true that he has been making an extra effort in last two weeks but this might be a good time for him to get some rest.

                    Adding to this, Nadal top spin forehand is very hard to handle and his crossed forehand with that tremendous spin will explore Wawrinka shoulder problems. One handed backhand requires a huge ammount of strenght and Wawrinka was hitting many slices today, if he does that against Rafa the Spaniard will punish him like he does against Federer for example.
                    Comment
                    • kenz
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-12
                      • 4879

                      #11
                      ^Still dont like it

                      I also dont like how Wawa lost the first serve vs Cilic and Troicki before getting breaks back. All in all Something aint right here. I take many 15-20 unit bets which generally hit but this is the most awkward I felt about a big bet for a long long time
                      Comment
                      • kenz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-12
                        • 4879

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MGTennisTipster
                        Wawrinka received medical timeout in first set on his right shoulder and that might be one of the reasons why he only got 51% first serve in against Cilic. The Suisse ended the match with poor numbers: 30 winners / 51 unforced errors and was break down in first and second set however Cilic too inconsistent to hold those leads.

                        Nadal raising the level week after week and mentally also much stronger. The way he managed to take the win against Karlovic was Nadal vintage showing all his mental strenght under pressure. Rafa brought the confidence from that match to defeat Raonic in straight sets with a very solid performance.

                        Stan was 3 hours on court with Cilic, with around 17 / 18 hours between the two matches and will have to face one of the best competitors that have ever played the game. Nadal so determined to do well while Stan has been far from his best outside Grand Slams, true that he has been making an extra effort in last two weeks but this might be a good time for him to get some rest.

                        Adding to this, Nadal top spin forehand is very hard to handle and his crossed forehand with that tremendous spin will explore Wawrinka shoulder problems. One handed backhand requires a huge ammount of strenght and Wawrinka was hitting many slices today, if he does that against Rafa the Spaniard will punish him like he does against Federer for example.
                        Good Post

                        You might be the new blood this dead forum needs. I like what you bring to the table on every thread
                        Comment
                        • MGTennisTipster
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 12-30-14
                          • 335

                          #13
                          Originally posted by kenz
                          Good Post

                          You might be the new blood this dead forum needs. I like what you bring to the table on every thread
                          Thank you, you can also find daily previews at http://www.sportsbookreview.com/tennis/
                          Comment
                          • kenz
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-09-12
                            • 4879

                            #14
                            Putting 18 units on Nadal to win 1st set and ML @2.35

                            This is the best I found as a hedge. If Wawa wins first and Nadal wins the game, I expect some nice heat by other users
                            Comment
                            • MGTennisTipster
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-30-14
                              • 335

                              #15
                              Originally posted by kenz
                              Putting 18 units on Nadal to win 1st set and ML @2.35

                              This is the best I found as a hedge. If Wawa wins first and Nadal wins the game, I expect some nice heat by other users
                              Considering that one of the issues in Nadal side is the physical condition I wouldn't be completely surprised to see that happening. Rafa much more fresh and Stan can lose some gas after the first set and allow a comeback.
                              Comment
                              • kenz
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-09-12
                                • 4879

                                #16
                                I feel Nadal will win 1st and Ml Stan may win 2nd set if any

                                Talentwise it is Wawa with recent form but tomorrow will be mental
                                Comment
                                • MGTennisTipster
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-30-14
                                  • 335

                                  #17
                                  Stan first serve average only at 183km/h and 45% first serve in. That shoulder was in clear pain and Wawrinka just wanted to get out of court as quick as possible while Rafa is rising his level match after match
                                  Comment
                                  • kenz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-12
                                    • 4879

                                    #18
                                    +$430
                                    Comment
                                    • tokio
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-30-10
                                      • 2150

                                      #19
                                      glad you went back and get some back from the Wawrinka bet. Wow, sad performance by him.
                                      Comment
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