US Open 2015: Plays

[Jeff_Black]

Round 1: Donald Young vs Gilles Simon
Total Game Score: Under 35.5 @ 1.80 on William Hil
1u play

Round 1: Thanisi Kokkinaski vs Richard Gasquet
Set Betting: Richard Gasquet 3-0 @ 1.95 on William Hill
1.5u play

Round 1: Thomaz Belluci vs James Ward
Game Handicap: James Ward +6.0 @ 1.75 on William Hill
1u play

[Jeff_Black]

What a terrible start with 2 losses and a retirement. Simon deserved to lose that after the pathetic attempt of closing out the game...Anyway a new day dawns...

Round 2: Benoit Paire vs Marsel Ilhan
Game Handicap: Marsel Ilhan +6.0 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 2: Mardy Fish vs Feliciano Lopez
Game Handicap: Mardy Fish +4.5 @ 2.10 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 2: Sam Groth vs Tommy Robredo
Game Handicap: Sam Groth +5 @ 1.95 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 2: Ricardis Berankis vs David Goffin
Set Betting: David Goffin 3-0 @ 2.11 on Pinnacle
1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Much happier with how that went today. Though feel for those on the Fish ML, didn't have any business losing that.

Round 2: Bernard Tomic vs Lleyton Hewitt
Game Handicap: Lleyton Hewitt +5.5 @ 1.94 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 2: Kevin Anderson vs Austin Krajicek
Game Handicap: Ausin Krajicek +6.5 @ 2.09 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 2: Robin Haase vs Richard Gasquet
Game Handicap: Robin Haase +7.5 @ 1.97 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 2: Ruben Belemens vs Jack Sock
Game Handicap: Ruben Belemans +6.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Good day but bugger Belemans was in a great position to likely cover his line too...

[Jeff_Black]

Round 3: Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Sergei Stakovsky
Total Game Score: Under 35.0 @ 1.925 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 3: Novak Djokovic vs Andreas Seppi
Game Handicap: Andreas Seppi +9.5 @ 1.847 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 3: Marin Cilic vs Mikhail Kukushkin
Game Handicap: Mikhail Kukushkin +5.5 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Pretty happy with how that panned out, although Kukushkin what the hell?!?!

[Jeff_Black]

Dogs had a good day today but might throw in a favourite for good measure. Think Isner has been good enough to cover -4.5


US Open: Round 3 - Stan Wawrinka vs Ruben Belemans
Game Handicap: Ruben Belemans +8.0 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
1u play

Tomas Berdych vs Guillmero Garcia Lopez
Game Handicap: Guillmero Garcia Lopez +7.5 @ 1.85 on Pinnacle
1u play

Thomaz Belluci vs Andy Murray
Game Handicap: Thomaz Belluci +8.5 @ 1.88 on Pinnacle
1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Pretty happy with how that went. Not even too disappointed in Belluci as he had a good dig

[Jeff_Black]

US Open: Round 4 - Novak Djokovic vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Game Handicap: Roberto Bautista Agut +9.0 @ 1.96 on Pinnacle
1u play

US Open: Round 4 - Marin Cilic vs Jeremy Chardy
Game Handicap: Jeremy Chardy +3.0 @ 1.97 on Pinnacle
1u play

US Open: Round 4 - Fabio Fognini vs Feliciano Lopez
Game Handicap: Feliciano Lopez -2.0 @ 1.95 on Pinnacle
1u play play

[Jeff_Black]

Another 2 - 1, grind grind grind

Nice to pick the only dog that covered as well, fantastic day for the favourites and for the favourites handicaps

[Jeff_Black]

Round 4: Donald Young vs Stan Wawrinka
Handicap: Donald Young +7 @ 2.11 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 4: John Isner vs Roger Federer
Handicap: John Isner +5.5 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
1u play

Round 4: Tomas Bardych vs Richard Gasquet
Handicap: Richard Gasquet +2.5 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Ecstatically happy with how that panned out, despite all the dogs covering heh. It's not easy I suppose to back a dog at times.

[terpkeg]

Nice work. Thoughts on Vinci today?

[Jeff_Black]

Havent been bothered doing womens these days champ, apologies. Have been vaguely following things but not from a deep betting perspective.
Hell I thought Keys would give Serena a run for her money, silly me!

[Jeff_Black]

Quarter Finals: Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Marin Cilic
Moneyline: Jo Wilfried Tsonga @ 1.714 on Pinnacle
2u play

Quarter Finals: Novak Djokovic vs Feliciano Lopez
Total Games: Over 30.5 @ 1.92 on Pinnacle
1u play

[Semper Fidelis]

Hey there Jeff, been a while since I've stopped by to give you props on your tennis picks - certainly been killing it this slam, have certainly made some money off your picks the past few days and am much appreciative!

I see your confidence in Tsonga today, as I don't recall you making 2u picks very often. Just wondered if you could give some more insight on your confidence level regarding this pick. Just worries me since Tsonga is a known choker, and Cilic has pretty much owned him over the years. Granted Tsonga has been playing at an amazing level so far - I believe he has yet to be broken - but just worried about his mental state with this match. Only asking bc I haven't had the opportunity to watch either of them play so far this tourney. Also wanted to see your thoughts at Over 3.5 sets (pretty heavily juiced) or any value on Tsonga possibly winning in straights? As always, thanks for the insight my friend, and BOL on your plays today!

[Jeff_Black]

Gah! You must have just missed me before the match started, apologies
I guess like I posted in another thread I was more confident that I thought Jo had been the better guy and Cilic took advantage of a few mentally weak/tired players.
I don't know if anyone else had heard but I had mail Cilic didn't train today and may have been carrying an ankle injury which may seem silly considering how he started hehe.

[Jeff_Black]

As for the staking, yeah like to keep it simple and the same stake throughout.
Might do a few more 2u plays or so depending on the feel of it.
Am tempted to dip my toe on the other side and do o20.5 for the Williams game but don't like to rely on motivation.

In our punters group of 4 people we were considering staking largely on Jo as well but decided to stake reasonable prob x3 more then what I staked here that's how confident we were but we have about 40u in that kitty though heh.

[Jeff_Black]

Well need two games from Lopez somewhere for this to lose so will happily call the second one a win. Disappointed Jo lose but at least he gave it a good crack.
And of course as other people saw, the Williams match going to three sets, shocker lol

[Jeff_Black]

Quarter Finals: US Open - Roger Federer vs Richard Gasquet
Set Betting: Roger Federer 3-0 @ 1.787 on Pinnacle
2u play

Quarter Finals: US Open - Stan Wawrinka vs Kevin Anderson
Total Game Score: Over 43.5 @ 1.884 on Pinnacle
1.5u play

[Jeff_Black]

Stan finally gets one against Anderson. Suppose it was a big of an ask to back it up against Murray.
Glad I didnt touch the line for Fed/Gas, looked like going one way then it went the other

Gonna follow the odds movements and see how they move. That said ill be taking the Stan line now after his convincing win against Andoshit, I reckon money will go his way even though Federer has been the better guy I can see Stan covering even if he loses in 4/5.

US Open Semi Finals: Stan Wawrinka vs Roger Federer
Handicap: Stan Wawrinka +4.5 @ 2.06 on Pinnacle
1.5u play

Not sure what I like on the other game, slight lean towards the under but hopefully the market bump it up a bit.

[Conqueror]

US Open Semi Finals: Stan Wawrinka vs Roger Federer
Handicap: Stan Wawrinka +4.5 @ 2.06 on Pinnacle
1.5u play

Not sure what I like on the other game, slight lean towards the under but hopefully the market bump it up a bit.

Not sure what you like in the other game? Djokovic -2.5 sets. Cilic won't do squat against Djokovic.

[Jeff_Black]

Yeah I agree, worried Djoker drops his concentration but I think he will learn from last year and his poor performance.

[Jeff_Black]

US Open Semi Finals: Novak Djokovic vs Marin Cilic
Set Betting: Novak Djokovic 3-0 @ 2.15 on Pinnacle, 1u play
Total Score: Under 36.5 @ 1.934 on Pinnacle, 1u play

US Open Semi Finals: Stan Wawrinka vs Roger Federer
1st set Winner: Stan Wawrinka @ 2.80 on Pinnacle
1u play

[Jeff_Black]

Nailed one game, big fail on the other, eh it happens

[Jeff_Black]

US Open: Mens Final
Novak Djokovic vs Roger Federer
Moneyline: Novak Djokovic @ 1.826 on Pinnacle
3u play

[Jeff_Black]

And with that win wraps up a successful US Open

19 - 11 - 1, +7.01u