Well, yesterday was a fun day of tennis wagering, lol.. I had Zverev to win & he loses first set and wins the match. I had Kraj to win yest, he wins the first & proceeds to lose the match. To top it off, had ERV already up a set & proceeds to lose the match.. Felt like I was on the right side of those last two, just not my day I guess..
Today I saw a line that stood out to me & when I looked up the numbers I became more interested.. Sousa is not the best clay courter, but he does like this surface over any other. I saw him play at RO a few years ago & when he hugs the baseline he takes balls early and is a solid ball striker & moves really well. When he gets way behind the baseline, 10 ft range, he is not nearly as good. I am thinking that with his blowout win in the first round, he has a good amount of confidence & will hug that baseline today, hopefully he is hitting well. With a 10-8 record this year on clay I think, he has had some loses, but has played almost 20 matches on the dirt.. Some of those loses were to good players for sure. If he plays well today, I can see him taking this match.. maybe making a little push in this tment - ya never know..
Seppi on the other hand is not playing the clay tments this year for some reason. He played quite a few in 2014, but he has only played TWO matches on clay all year long & he is 0-2. He played a TON of grass this year (losing in the final to the GOAT) and I am hoping he is really tired from that long grass season he scheduled. He hasn't played one match since Wimbledon & IF you take out his result in Halle, he is actually 3-7 his last 10 matches (with wins against Klein, Coric & Becker). He does not seem interested in the clay at ALL this year, none, and I have a feeling his is going to save his energy for a big run on the hard courts this summer in the US, gearing towards the Open. Just my feelings here, I would not be shocked at all to see Sousa take this in straights..
Best of luck to anyone on this match, my play is Sousa +125 for the win - Vamos!!!
Today I saw a line that stood out to me & when I looked up the numbers I became more interested.. Sousa is not the best clay courter, but he does like this surface over any other. I saw him play at RO a few years ago & when he hugs the baseline he takes balls early and is a solid ball striker & moves really well. When he gets way behind the baseline, 10 ft range, he is not nearly as good. I am thinking that with his blowout win in the first round, he has a good amount of confidence & will hug that baseline today, hopefully he is hitting well. With a 10-8 record this year on clay I think, he has had some loses, but has played almost 20 matches on the dirt.. Some of those loses were to good players for sure. If he plays well today, I can see him taking this match.. maybe making a little push in this tment - ya never know..
Seppi on the other hand is not playing the clay tments this year for some reason. He played quite a few in 2014, but he has only played TWO matches on clay all year long & he is 0-2. He played a TON of grass this year (losing in the final to the GOAT) and I am hoping he is really tired from that long grass season he scheduled. He hasn't played one match since Wimbledon & IF you take out his result in Halle, he is actually 3-7 his last 10 matches (with wins against Klein, Coric & Becker). He does not seem interested in the clay at ALL this year, none, and I have a feeling his is going to save his energy for a big run on the hard courts this summer in the US, gearing towards the Open. Just my feelings here, I would not be shocked at all to see Sousa take this in straights..
Best of luck to anyone on this match, my play is Sousa +125 for the win - Vamos!!!
appreciate the pick/insight ... tailed on this one
