Dustin Brown ( + 6.5 @ -120) Vs Rafael Nadal today at Wimbledon !!

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  • Laker_crazy
    Restricted User
    • 02-08-09
    • 9669

    #1
    Dustin Brown ( + 6.5 @ -120) Vs Rafael Nadal today at Wimbledon !!
    LAKER_CRAZY'S ONE TENNIS PLAY FOR TODAY


    1) Dustin Brown vs Rafael Nadal ( Pick Dustin Brown + 6.5 @ -120) :
    Today we have a very interesting match up between the crowd favorite dustin brown against Rafa. Dustin has been very active on the challenger circuits and rarely do we see him play in grand slam,however he has been performing decently on grass for over a period of time now and possesses a big serve in his Armour that is very handy on this surface. Nadal has got first hand experience of the same last year in halle when brown literally blew him off the court 6-4,6-1 in a straight set victory and nadal really could not figure out a way to handle the serve or the net coverage of brown.

    The odds would like us to believe that this is going to be a stroll in the park for nadal but i do not think so. I think brown has a game to make this close and given rafa's recent struggles,i cannot back him on this handicap for sure. I believe brown will keep it close and we could also see a few tie breaks today and i would really not be surprised if brown does take a set off him. I am taking the plus handicap on brown today. Good luck

    This is a 3 unit play

    Cheers,
    LC
  • Laker_crazy
    Restricted User
    • 02-08-09
    • 9669

    #2
    Good Luck to everyone on their respective plays today !
    Comment
    • Conqueror
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-08-13
      • 16778

      #3
      That's a play of unimaginable value. I also think Brown could repeat here. I guess Nadal would rather exit the tournament today than wait to be disgraced by any of his major rivals.
      Comment
      • Laker_crazy
        Restricted User
        • 02-08-09
        • 9669

        #4
        Originally posted by Conqueror
        That's a play of unimaginable value. I also think Brown could repeat here. I guess Nadal would rather exit the tournament today than wait to be disgraced by any of his major rivals.
        Totally agree Conqueror,i think the books are certainly over valuing nadal here. Brown thrives on grass and in this particular tournament where he seems to be totally enjoying his game,i certainly see a lot of value in backing brown and i will sprinkle a little on the money line as well. The handicap should cash easily.
        Comment
        • Conqueror
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-08-13
          • 16778

          #5
          Originally posted by Laker_crazy
          Totally agree Conqueror,i think the books are certainly over valuing nadal here. Brown thrives on grass and in this particular tournament where he seems to be totally enjoying his game,i certainly see a lot of value in backing brown and i will sprinkle a little on the money line as well. The handicap should cash easily.
          Please go ahead and sprinkle some $$$ on the ML before Brown wins and you go: "I wish I did the ML as well". I'm doing both too.
          Comment
          • Laker_crazy
            Restricted User
            • 02-08-09
            • 9669

            #6
            Originally posted by Conqueror
            Please go ahead and sprinkle some $$$ on the ML before Brown wins and you go: "I wish I did the ML as well". I'm doing both too.
            Just did,placed half a unit on brown to win straight up and have increased the units on brown handicap from 3 to 4. Really confident of the play so makes sense to back it all the way. Good Luck to you too buddy !
            Comment
            • Laker_crazy
              Restricted User
              • 02-08-09
              • 9669

              #7
              Will also be posting another play that i really like today soon !
              Comment
              • Conqueror
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-08-13
                • 16778

                #8
                Can't wait to see your next play.
                Comment
                • Laker_crazy
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-08-09
                  • 9669

                  #9
                  Just posted it budd,i am backing querrey plus the handicap against roger. I simply don't see roger breaking his serve twice in a set.I See at least 1 tie break in that match as well. Should also cash !
                  Comment
                  • JAKEPEAVY21
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-11-11
                    • 29302

                    #10
                    strongly disagree with both your plays, I think both Brown and Querrey get their shit pushed in but best of luck...
                    Comment
                    • Rudeboy
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 07-15-14
                      • 5725

                      #11
                      Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                      strongly disagree with both your plays, I think both Brown and Querrey get their shit pushed in but best of luck...
                      Comment
                      • Laker_crazy
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-08-09
                        • 9669

                        #12
                        Originally posted by JAKEPEAVY21
                        strongly disagree with both your plays, I think both Brown and Querrey get their shit pushed in but best of luck...
                        No problem budd,the plays were not posted for the people on the forum to agree or disagree,we are entitled to different opinions,in my opinion they are good plays and should cash,betting them or fading them is entirely upto the people reading the thread. Good luck to you too !
                        Comment
                        • jtoler
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-17-13
                          • 30967

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Laker_crazy
                          Just posted it budd,i am backing querrey plus the handicap against roger. I simply don't see roger breaking his serve twice in a set.I See at least 1 tie break in that match as well. Should also cash !
                          He doesn't have to break him twice in a set to cover the spread, one break in 2 sets and win a tiebreak would do it.
                          Comment
                          • Dburrell18
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 06-21-15
                            • 18

                            #14
                            Ive chucked 2 units on the +6.5 handicap. Cant wait for this one!
                            Comment
                            • bruceBRUCEbruce
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-20-09
                              • 2560

                              #15
                              the demise of rafa nadal has been greatly exaggerated
                              but good luck yall
                              Comment
                              • JAKEPEAVY21
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-11-11
                                • 29302

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Dburrell18
                                Ive chucked 2 units on the +6.5 handicap. Cant wait for this one!
                                save your money Webster
                                Comment
                                • Laker_crazy
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-08-09
                                  • 9669

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Dburrell18
                                  Ive chucked 2 units on the +6.5 handicap. Cant wait for this one!
                                  Good Luck mate !
                                  Comment
                                  • Laker_crazy
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 02-08-09
                                    • 9669

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by bruceBRUCEbruce
                                    the demise of rafa nadal has been greatly exaggerated
                                    but good luck yall
                                    Well,Nadal was Number 1 in the world when he lost to brown and anyone who saw the way brown played at halle last year against nadal would be willing to back him just based on that only. I am not saying it will be the same and stuff here but certainly brown has the game to unsettle nadal and even take a set off him. The handicap is a good bet.
                                    Comment
                                    • Laker_crazy
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-08-09
                                      • 9669

                                      #19
                                      Brown looks set today,a 102 mile return on a nadal serve..insane !! This guy is good !
                                      Comment
                                      • Laker_crazy
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 02-08-09
                                        • 9669

                                        #20
                                        And Brown blasts past Nadal in the 1st set...Inspiring tennis this... Go Dustin !! Nadal is yet to take a set of brown in 3 sets now !
                                        Comment
                                        • Laker_crazy
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 02-08-09
                                          • 9669

                                          #21
                                          dropped 2 units on querrey,have 4 riding on brown plus 1 unit on the moneyline..profit coming !!
                                          Comment
                                          • Rudeboy
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 07-15-14
                                            • 5725

                                            #22
                                            Fkin hell
                                            Comment
                                            • Rudeboy
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 07-15-14
                                              • 5725

                                              #23
                                              I love this guey
                                              Comment
                                              • Laker_crazy
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-08-09
                                                • 9669

                                                #24
                                                Look at that return...ffs that is just incredible ....brown on fire
                                                Comment
                                                • Rudeboy
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 07-15-14
                                                  • 5725

                                                  #25
                                                  What a call
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Laker_crazy
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 02-08-09
                                                    • 9669

                                                    #26
                                                    Honors even... 7-5, 3-6... crucial set...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • k0karn
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 09-02-14
                                                      • 158

                                                      #27
                                                      Do you think Brown will win? I've got Nadal as the last player in a four-way parlay. I can close the bet at +!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • yisman
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-01-08
                                                        • 75682

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by jtoler
                                                        He doesn't have to break him twice in a set to cover the spread, one break in 2 sets and win a tiebreak would do it.
                                                        that all depended on which player was serving first...

                                                        one break could be 6-3 or 6-4

                                                        so that's what makes it tough

                                                        easier for your player to cover if he serves first
                                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                        [/quote]

                                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Laker_crazy
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 02-08-09
                                                          • 9669

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by k0karn
                                                          Do you think Brown will win? I've got Nadal as the last player in a four-way parlay. I can close the bet at +!
                                                          I do budd,have a unit riding on him..leaving it on...he's giving nadal a run !!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Laker_crazy
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-08-09
                                                            • 9669

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by yisman
                                                            that all depended on which player was serving first...

                                                            one break could be 6-3 or 6-4

                                                            so that's what makes it tough

                                                            easier for your player to cover if he serves first
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Rudeboy
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 07-15-14
                                                              • 5725

                                                              #31
                                                              Nadal will win the match +handicap brown will cover obviously
                                                              Comment
                                                              • shari91
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 02-23-10
                                                                • 32661

                                                                #32
                                                                Even if something happens and you don't win this bet, just wanted to give you a thanks for making me want to watch the match. It's been much better than I thought it would've been and I'm cheering for you guys to get your $!!! I keep waiting for Brown to break down but even if he does, you at least picked a bet that was worth a go!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Laker_crazy
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 02-08-09
                                                                  • 9669

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by shari91
                                                                  Even if something happens and you don't win this bet, just wanted to give you a thanks for making me want to watch the match. It's been much better than I thought it would've been and I'm cheering for you guys to get your $!!! I keep waiting for Brown to break down but even if he does, you at least picked a bet that was worth a go!
                                                                  Hey Shari,Glad to see you after the longest time..Hope all's well...it has been a great match thus far and brown has played some incredible tennis.Had been following his game for a while now and also happened to witness how he demolished nadal on grass in halle last year,i had no doubt in my mind that he would give this a shot and shot he has. Some of his returns have been incredible thus far,and he is deservedly up two sets to one..Hopefully we all cash this play
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Laker_crazy
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 02-08-09
                                                                    • 9669

                                                                    #34
                                                                    and brown takes a 2 sets to 1 lead.... 7-5 3-6 6-4
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Laker_crazy
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 02-08-09
                                                                      • 9669

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Brown breaks the nadal serve early in the fourth set...come on !!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                                      Comment
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