Wimbledone Day 1 Plays

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  • FlipsideRM
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-28-11
    • 10518

    #1
    Wimbledone Day 1 Plays
    A lot of tasty dogs on the mens side. A lot of plays so will be playing all for .5 units

    Niemen +155 over Hewitt
    Kokkinakis +165 over L Mayer
    Dustin Brown +130 over Yen-Lu
    Haase +120 over Falla
    Thiem -170 over Dudi Sela
    Gilles Muller +150 over Tsonga

    WTA:

    Bencic -150 vs Pironkova
    Cornet +170 over Kunjah
    Kurumi Nara -130 over Magda Linette


    Good luck!
  • FlipsideRM
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-28-11
    • 10518

    #2
    Thread title mispelled accidentally, if a mod can fix that, would be great. Otherwise I guess we're wimbledone after day 1
    Comment
    • prior22usaf
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-28-11
      • 151

      #3
      Thanks for sharing the picks Flipside! Tailing you... GL on the plays!
      Comment
      • BennyBigNuts
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-16-12
        • 8700

        #4
        I can see Muller giving Tsonga a decent match, but his price is awful at only +150.
        Over seems way better to go with IMO. I can see a couple tiebreakers between them.

        And kokkiface is way overmatched in this one. That little punk won't beat Mayer on grass.

        BOL
        Comment
        • FlipsideRM
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-28-11
          • 10518

          #5
          Originally posted by FlipsideRM
          A lot of tasty dogs on the mens side. A lot of plays so will be playing all for .5 units

          Niemen +155 over Hewitt
          Kokkinakis +165 over L Mayer
          Dustin Brown +130 over Yen-Lu
          Haase +120 over Falla
          Thiem -170 over Dudi Sela
          Gilles Muller +150 over Tsonga

          WTA:

          Bencic -150 vs Pironkova
          Cornet +170 over Kunjah
          Kurumi Nara -130 over Magda Linette


          Good luck!

          3-1 on the day, the rest of the plays are tomorrow.
          Comment
          • FoxMulder
            SBR MVP
            • 05-02-13
            • 1139

            #6
            Not so sure about Konjuh and Linette, Nara has been horrible in the last few months and Linette has better serve and similar determination. If Konjuh actually brings her A-game from Nottingham, that may spell trouble for Cornet. She was simply unbeatable.

            Good luck with your bets
            Comment
            • FlipsideRM
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-28-11
              • 10518

              #7
              Originally posted by FoxMulder
              Not so sure about Konjuh and Linette, Nara has been horrible in the last few months and Linette has better serve and similar determination. If Konjuh actually brings her A-game from Nottingham, that may spell trouble for Cornet. She was simply unbeatable.

              Good luck with your bets
              Love the price on Cornet, +170 is great value imo. Konjuh beat a bunch of hamburgers in nottingham, I'm not sure she's ready for a run in Wimbledon. Cornet has the pedigree, been there done that. Love the value, whether it works out for me or not.
              Comment
              • FoxMulder
                SBR MVP
                • 05-02-13
                • 1139

                #8
                Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                Love the price on Cornet, +170 is great value imo. Konjuh beat a bunch of hamburgers in nottingham, I'm not sure she's ready for a run in Wimbledon. Cornet has the pedigree, been there done that. Love the value, whether it works out for me or not.
                It's WTA tennis, they are all hamburgers I'd lean more on over 21.5 or so. Cornet dies hard, it's what I like about her.
                I'd take Linette to win the first set. Nara always starts slow whereas Linette always plays the first set better until she gets figured out by her opponent.

                BOL
                Comment
                • FlipsideRM
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-28-11
                  • 10518

                  #9
                  Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                  A lot of tasty dogs on the mens side. A lot of plays so will be playing all for .5 units

                  Niemen +155 over Hewitt
                  Kokkinakis +165 over L Mayer
                  Dustin Brown +130 over Yen-Lu
                  Haase +120 over Falla
                  Thiem -170 over Dudi Sela
                  Gilles Muller +150 over Tsonga

                  WTA:

                  Bencic -150 vs Pironkova
                  Cornet +170 over Kunjah
                  Kurumi Nara -130 over Magda Linette


                  Good luck!
                  Can you say 7-2 record, a clean sweep of WTA matches, and hitting 4/6 dogs?

                  BANG!
                  Comment
                  • FlipsideRM
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-28-11
                    • 10518

                    #10
                    8/1:

                    Kudla -140 over Zverev

                    Will add more if I see anything. Not a lot of great lines out
                    Comment
                    • prior22usaf
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-28-11
                      • 151

                      #11
                      Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                      Can you say 7-2 record, a clean sweep of WTA matches, and hitting 4/6 dogs?

                      BANG!
                      Excellent job man! Thanks for the picks!
                      Comment
                      • FlipsideRM
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-28-11
                        • 10518

                        #12
                        Originally posted by prior22usaf
                        Excellent job man! Thanks for the picks!
                        No problem! Lets keep it rolling
                        Comment
                        • FlipsideRM
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-28-11
                          • 10518

                          #13
                          Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                          8/1:

                          Kudla -140 over Zverev

                          Will add more if I see anything. Not a lot of great lines out
                          Winner! 8-2 on the tournament!
                          Comment
                          • prior22usaf
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-28-11
                            • 151

                            #14
                            Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                            Winner! 8-2 on the tournament!

                            Hell of a job man!
                            Comment
                            • FlipsideRM
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-28-11
                              • 10518

                              #15
                              Loving a lot of dogs in ATP again

                              8/2:

                              Dolgopolov -140 over Karlovic

                              8/3:
                              Leonardo Mayer +185 over Anderson
                              John Isner +115 over Cilic
                              Giraldo +155 over Kudla


                              TOP PLAY:
                              Kygrios +178 over Raonic

                              Love Kyrgios in this spot. Raonic still isn't at top level condition since coming back from injury. Kyrgios just continues to improve every tournament and I think this might be the tournament he goes real deep in. Love this line, love the value. Big play for me
                              Last edited by FlipsideRM; 07-01-15, 08:48 PM.
                              Comment
                              • FlipsideRM
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-28-11
                                • 10518

                                #16
                                8/2:
                                WTA

                                Safarova-125 over Stephens
                                Comment
                                • prior22usaf
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-28-11
                                  • 151

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                  Loving a lot of dogs in ATP again

                                  8/2:

                                  Dolgopolov -140 over Karlovic

                                  8/3:
                                  Leonardo Mayer +185 over Anderson
                                  John Isner +115 over Cilic
                                  Giraldo +155 over Kudla


                                  TOP PLAY:
                                  Kygrios +178 over Raonic

                                  Love Kyrgios in this spot. Raonic still isn't at top level condition since coming back from injury. Kyrgios just continues to improve every tournament and I think this might be the tournament he goes real deep in. Love this line, love the value. Big play for me
                                  For your top play on Kygrios, would 2 units be acceptable? Or are you loving it even more than that? Thanks again for sharing the plays!
                                  Comment
                                  • FlipsideRM
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-28-11
                                    • 10518

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by prior22usaf
                                    For your top play on Kygrios, would 2 units be acceptable? Or are you loving it even more than that? Thanks again for sharing the plays!
                                    2 Units max. I try not to get crazy, even though I've been eyeing this match up since I saw the draw originally.
                                    Comment
                                    • prior22usaf
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-28-11
                                      • 151

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                      2 Units max. I try not to get crazy, even though I've been eyeing this match up since I saw the draw originally.

                                      Understood, thank you sir! Best of Luck!
                                      Comment
                                      • badgerguy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-21-13
                                        • 2281

                                        #20
                                        We are only in July, not August

                                        Great picks though! Keep up the good work.
                                        Comment
                                        • FlipsideRM
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-28-11
                                          • 10518

                                          #21
                                          Adding 1 more for today:

                                          8/2:

                                          Dolgopolov -140 over Karlovic PENDING

                                          Fognini -140 over Pospisil
                                          Comment
                                          • prior22usaf
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 01-28-11
                                            • 151

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                            Loving a lot of dogs in ATP again

                                            8/2:

                                            Dolgopolov -140 over Karlovic

                                            8/3:
                                            Leonardo Mayer +185 over Anderson
                                            John Isner +115 over Cilic
                                            Giraldo +155 over Kudla


                                            TOP PLAY:
                                            Kygrios +178 over Raonic

                                            Love Kyrgios in this spot. Raonic still isn't at top level condition since coming back from injury. Kyrgios just continues to improve every tournament and I think this might be the tournament he goes real deep in. Love this line, love the value. Big play for me

                                            Let's hit this Top Play! BOL!
                                            Comment
                                            • FlipsideRM
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-28-11
                                              • 10518

                                              #23
                                              0-2 yesterday. Not sure how Dolgopolov blew it, and I should have known better by adding Fognini.

                                              Oh well, Kyrgios time!

                                              8/3:
                                              Leonardo Mayer +185 over Anderson
                                              John Isner +115 over Cilic
                                              Giraldo +155 over Kudla
                                              Safarova -125 over Stephens
                                              TOP PLAY:
                                              Kygrios +178 over Raonic


                                              Comment
                                              • FlipsideRM
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-28-11
                                                • 10518

                                                #24
                                                Kyrgios baby!!!!! Big win!
                                                Comment
                                                • FlipsideRM
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-28-11
                                                  • 10518

                                                  #25
                                                  Buying out of Isner and putting 2 units on Cilic

                                                  Cilic -136 over Isner 2 UNITS
                                                  Comment
                                                  • FlipsideRM
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-28-11
                                                    • 10518

                                                    #26
                                                    8/3:
                                                    Leonardo Mayer +185 over Anderson
                                                    Cilic -136 over Isner 2 Units
                                                    Giraldo +155 over Kudla
                                                    Safarova -125 over Stephens
                                                    TOP PLAY:
                                                    Kygrios +178 over Raonic

                                                    2-1 day so far and hitting top play Kyrgios
                                                    Comment
                                                    • prior22usaf
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 01-28-11
                                                      • 151

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                                      8/3:
                                                      Leonardo Mayer +185 over Anderson
                                                      Cilic -136 over Isner 2 Units
                                                      Giraldo +155 over Kudla
                                                      Safarova -125 over Stephens
                                                      TOP PLAY:
                                                      Kygrios +178 over Raonic

                                                      2-1 day so far and hitting top play Kyrgios

                                                      Congrats on the big hit with Kyrgios! Thanks for sharing!

                                                      I wanted to ask you.... I didn't see you bought out of the Isner bet until just now... I still have 1 unit on Isner. With the match being suspended, do you still think it's a good idea to buy out of it with Cilic? My book has Cilic as a -173 favorite right now...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • FlipsideRM
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 09-28-11
                                                        • 10518

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by prior22usaf
                                                        Congrats on the big hit with Kyrgios! Thanks for sharing!

                                                        I wanted to ask you.... I didn't see you bought out of the Isner bet until just now... I still have 1 unit on Isner. With the match being suspended, do you still think it's a good idea to buy out of it with Cilic? My book has Cilic as a -173 favorite right now...
                                                        I got Cilic at -136. The value right now is on Isner, I couldn't tell you who's going to get a break and win this tomorrow. Cilic blew a shit ton of chances to win it already. Hard to hedge with a line of -179. I'd probably just let it ride if I was you since you already have Isner.
                                                        Last edited by FlipsideRM; 07-03-15, 03:53 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • prior22usaf
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-28-11
                                                          • 151

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                                          I got Cilic at -136. The value right now is on Isner, I couldn't tell you who's going to get a break and win this tomorrow. Cilic blew a shit ton of chances to win it already. Hard to hedge with a line of -179. I'd probably just let it ride if I was you since you already have Isner.
                                                          Ok, I hear ya. Kind of a coin flip now waiting for someone to break serve... Thanks for the advice as always.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • nosweat
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 01-31-15
                                                            • 36

                                                            #30
                                                            any thoughts on ward vs pospisil? Seems like ward is the obvious play with how he's played so far and the inconsistency in pospisil's game but the juicy odds make this seem like a trap.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • FlipsideRM
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-28-11
                                                              • 10518

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by nosweat
                                                              any thoughts on ward vs pospisil? Seems like ward is the obvious play with how he's played so far and the inconsistency in pospisil's game but the juicy odds make this seem like a trap.
                                                              Id learn ward, pospisil has been playing a lot of tennis between doubles and singles. He also said that hes had issues with the heat/fatigue factor in this tournament so far due to being best of 5. I don't have the balls to make it a play for me though
                                                              Comment
                                                              • FlipsideRM
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-28-11
                                                                • 10518

                                                                #32
                                                                8/4:

                                                                Cilic -136 over Isner PENDING
                                                                Simon -110 over Monfils
                                                                Comment
                                                                • FlipsideRM
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 09-28-11
                                                                  • 10518

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Cilic wins on first isner service game today! Couldn't have drawn it up any better

                                                                  Alright I've talked myself into it, I'm going to jump on Ward over Pospisil after looking at a few things.

                                                                  8/4:


                                                                  Cilic -136 over Isner
                                                                  Simon -110 over Monfils
                                                                  James Ward +193 over Pospisil
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • FlipsideRM
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-28-11
                                                                    • 10518

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Tough beat on Ward being up 2 sets to 1 but couldn't close it out. Would have been a monster day. Still a 2-1 day. Looking over plays for monday soon
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • FlipsideRM
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-28-11
                                                                      • 10518

                                                                      #35
                                                                      8/6 Plays:

                                                                      Kyrgios -130 over Gasquet
                                                                      Simon +220 over Berdych
                                                                      Comment
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