Federer +1400 hedge play?

[CheeseBoy323]

Is he gonna win? probably not. He will be lucky to get past Monfils in a few hours. But if he does, +1400 is awesome value.. You can hedge every match against federer to get your money back if he loses. im pissed I didn't get him at +2000

Nadal, Djok and Murray, are in the same bracket..
Federer is imo the best player in his bracket. so if he makes it to the finals, you can hammer whoever he faces to get a profit.. Hopefully Federers old ass gets in the zone.. Good luck to all

[Tsonga]

Not too bad of an idea...nishikori would beat fed though IMO...or even maybe Wawa.

But it is worth a try...you never know

[terpkeg]

Hedge before finals likely a poor move.

[brodie]

if he's facing nove in the final you'll have to lay -300ish to hedge. bad idea imo

[maletaja]

Not any value. Fed faces in the final Djoko-Rafa-Murray and gets best +300 mayby +400
Meanwhile he can really loose Nishikori-Wawrinka-Monflis and he is not big favour these matches
U have to keep notice that Federer is already 34 and im not sure, could he keep his top-level final matches

[CheeseBoy323]

Im guessing Fed will be a slight favorite over Nishi as Fed beat him the last 2 outings. Thats if Nishi gets past Tsonga, whos playing well.. I think Feds on a mission and will try to take advantage of this sweet draw he's received.. If somehow Fed makes it to the finals, I can throw my entire bankroll on Djoko and get back what I put on Fed and a lot more even at -400 (get real here, its not gonna be murray or rafa)

[DrSalt]

I liked it and I did it... if it guarantees me $100 then who cares or at least get my initial $100 back

$100 on fed +1400 = $1500 return =$1400 profit
$50 on Monfils +245 = $172 return = $ 22 profit
$80 on Waw +188 = $230 return

so now im looking at spending $230 so far... i may not bet on the Waw match and hope for a win....

but if i do... and fed wins... were looking at nishi now... who could at worst be +100 (guessing) im ok to bet $230 on that

460 now is spent ..... is the final with fed in it really going to be -300 for djoko or whoever....

fed is fave at -228 against wawa and betting 1000 wins 438 - lets say that is the the price for djoko in final vs feds... djoko wins, i lose a couple bucks... if feds pulls out the win, i win 400 profit?



yea this sounds stupid... im not doing it. its to much.. il just ride it outand hopefully he wins haha

[krenwinkle]

ive got a small $35 fed future.. Waiting til the final (if he gets there) then hedge for small profit. i personally dont think he wins against djoker.

[CheeseBoy323]

Of course hes not beating Djoko. The bet is basically Fed getting to the finals or even semi finals.. Its gambling lol. Fed is the greatest player of all time, I just thought +1400 with his great draw was good value.. Im waiting until live betting to decide whether im hedging with him vs Waw