Couple plays for this morning

bet-lag · 05-02-15, 04:18 AM

Wow Rosol and VEB looks solid. Hoping they don't blow the cover

slayer14 · 05-02-15, 04:24 AM

Goffin to beat kholschriber?

kdawgy · 05-02-15, 04:40 AM

Complete implosion by Estrella-Burgos. Still holding out hope that Rosol can make a run at it in his third set.

I do think the rain delay yesterday and the fact that both of the winners this morning will have to play again today is changing the players mindsets more than I thought.

slayer14 · 05-02-15, 04:48 AM

you would think goffin is mentally tougher player he would not care about 2 matches in 1 day, kholi it would effect his mind set

kdawgy · 05-02-15, 05:13 AM

Well, Rosol covered so we ended up 3-2 yesterday. I won't complain but so many opportunities to get up big. LOL.

Curious to see what the lines end at for these say day semi's.

kdawgy · 05-02-15, 05:39 AM

Taking Garcia-Lopez @ +165
and Garcia-Lopez +3 @ EV

kdawgy · 05-02-15, 07:36 AM

My book doesn't have a game line up yet, but I'm taking a small bet on Buatista-Agut @ 3.23 and will probably add the gl as well when it comes out if it's +3.5-4.5.

Also thinking Kohlshcreiber will beat Melzer in straight sets in the other semi-final match in Munich. But I have a sneaking suspicion the line will be something like -4.5 or -5 and that would probably be too much to lay on anyone playing their second match of the day in an ATP tournament.

gaebiskon · 05-02-15, 08:05 AM

mugray sure as hell is a funny guy.

kdawgy · 05-02-15, 10:35 AM

Cuevas is looking lively again for a +2.98 underdog. Will this be another tease for us or are we finally gonna hit a big one. LOL

slayer14 · 05-02-15, 10:51 AM

fooking hate these teasers they look good for a set and a half then they start making errors non stop lol

kdawgy · 05-02-15, 11:20 AM

Originally posted by slayer14

fooking hate these teasers they look good for a set and a half then they start making errors non stop lol

No tease here. Cuevas closes it out!

Now we just need Garcia-Lopez to pull his match out and we've got one heck of a day!

bet-lag · 05-02-15, 01:03 PM

Cuevas hits

kdawgy · 05-02-15, 01:44 PM

Can't even be mad at Garcia-Lopez. Thought we had the money line win after he broke back and held to go up 6-5 in the third. But Gasquet played some amazing tennis, and of course we still covered the +3 game line so put it in the W column.

Amazing week so far. I'll post my thoughts for tomorrow, but most likely they will be no play or small plays. Feel like most of the value betting in tennis is in the early rounds of these tournaments.

bet-lag · 05-02-15, 11:59 PM

What do you have for today? I wanna roll my money from mayweather

kdawgy · 05-03-15, 04:32 AM

Originally posted by bet-lag

What do you have for today? I wanna roll my money from mayweather

I hit mayweather big too! To win, and to win by decision.

Back to tennis. My only full play today is Cuevas +4.5 games for 2 units and +350 for a couple bucks. If Federer plays his absolute best game I think he could easily cover, but I don't think that happens. Clay is his worst surface, and he's dropped a set in both his last two matches.

For the other two finals, it's a no play for me. Although if I was betting either it would surely be on the underdogs.

bet-lag · 05-03-15, 09:19 AM

Cool let's keep rolling!!

kdawgy · 05-03-15, 10:50 AM

Not gonna lie, I was actually cheering for Cuevas to lose that second set tiebreaker to lock in the game line win at +4.5. Federer definitely played flawless tennis in that first set. And I didn't want to see a third set with Federer serving first where only one break would ruin the bet.

Anyways, glad to close out the week with another win!

bet-lag · 05-03-15, 11:13 AM

Hoping Kohl hits

bet-lag · 05-04-15, 12:05 AM

Madrid dogs?

kdawgy · 05-04-15, 11:39 AM

Had a lot to do for work today and didn't want to force it so I only took one small play, Belluci over Chardy.

If you're looking for live dogs I also like Vanni vs Tomic who has been horrible on clay the last couple years, and Rosol vs Tsonga tomorrow. Both pretty small plays though, and could easily both lose. Just were I see the most value.

bet-lag · 05-04-15, 04:35 PM

That Vanni guy just hit and grats on Belluci

bet-lag · 05-05-15, 02:24 AM

Any picks today?

kdawgy · 05-05-15, 07:41 PM

Sorry man, works been kicking my but lately. I'll be rewatching some first round matches tonight though and should have a couple plays for tomorrow. Only play I made today was the over in the last match (Sousa v Wawrinka), it did hit but wasn't a big one for me.

kdawgy · 05-06-15, 12:49 AM

Live dogs for this morning:

Jack sock +140
Nick Kyrgios +475
And a couple dollars on Steve Johnson +1800

I'm also on Mayer -124 versus Lopez pretty big.

Think that will be it, but I may play some totals if my book posts them in time.

kdawgy · 05-06-15, 02:52 PM

Kyrgios and Mayer hit, so up 2 units today. So close on that Jack Sock match though!!!

MaxEMillion · 05-06-15, 02:55 PM

I took Sock but didnt have balls to pull trigger on Kyrgios although I felt he was a winner as well. Good picks. I kind of like Kohlschreiber tonight. Seems books are begging for bets on Murray only putting him at -235. Can his ankles hold on clay?

kdawgy · 05-06-15, 03:05 PM

Originally posted by MaxEMillion

I took Sock but didnt have balls to pull trigger on Kyrgios although I felt he was a winner as well. Good picks. I kind of like Kohlschreiber tonight. Seems books are begging for bets on Murray only putting him at -235. Can his ankles hold on clay?

My only concern is that Kohlschreiber had more or less home court advantage in the final in Munich and still couldn't get it done. I'm afraid this match may be even more difficult for him. That said, he's always a live dog on clay!

bet-lag · 05-07-15, 07:36 PM

Any plays kdawgy?

kdawgy · 05-08-15, 04:22 AM

I may be reaching a bit here, but I think we see some upsets tomorrow.

I'm taking small bets on:
Isner +305
Dimitrov +400
Ferrer +200

Only need 1 to hit and we break even or end up, small. If something crazy happens and 2 hit and we're golden.