Miami ATP/WTA Masters 1000 Thread

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  • SharpyUSA
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-22-11
    • 213

    #1
    Miami ATP/WTA Masters 1000 Thread
    Hi Guys, have been a lurker for several years, and now time for me to start posting.


    Melzer/Harrison

    Young Ryan has showed a tremedous display in his game this year. He creeped into the bigger ATP events last year, but only to find himself being inconsistent, due to the inexperience at top notch competitions. This year is a totally different Ryan Harrison, who has pretty much been great serving throughout his whole career (especially challenger circuits) but has stepped up in his rallying. I don't know if any of you watched this guy much last year, but when rallies took a little longer to finish the point, he would just slam the ball anywhere creating several unforced errors, and that was mostly due to his mentally meltdowns. And from then on, would lose the whole match with a hot head.

    Again, totally different player for him in 2015.

    Now we have Jurgen, who has always been a difficult player to bet on. He would play tremendous tennis in one event, followed by a "Forrest Gump" type of display in the following events. Real tough player to bet on. But at least we know he HAS the talent, and can show a great quality of tennis.

    One thing here that separates the two players, is Jurgen's ability to handle big servers. As Harrison pretty much relies on his service game, more than his rallying, this could be one of those matches Jurgen can win in two sets, because of his ability to figure players like Ryan out. ESPECIALLY when Ryan is at home, and he may feel a little shaky, trying to show off for the home crowd. Jurgen's experience and rallying should ware Ryan down, and also very important for Jurgen to win the first set too.



    Melzer ML +168




    I also took Posisil at -104




    Cheers, and goodluck guys
  • SharpyUSA
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-22-11
    • 213

    #2
    0 YTD
    0 RECORD

    All plays are $100 unless stated
    Comment
    • Honeybadger44
      SBR MVP
      • 01-03-14
      • 1675

      #3
      Great analysis! I jumped on Melzer +160 few hours ago, for pretty much the same reasons. Especially because ha has a decent return to handle big servers, as you mentioned. And also, despite Harrison improved lately and is not as erratic as in earlier seasons, I think it is still too early to trust him with all that juice. Good luck!
      Comment
      • SharpyUSA
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-22-11
        • 213

        #4
        Originally posted by Honeybadger44
        Great analysis! I jumped on Melzer +160 few hours ago, for pretty much the same reasons. Especially because ha has a decent return to handle big servers, as you mentioned. And also, despite Harrison improved lately and is not as erratic as in earlier seasons, I think it is still too early to trust him with all that juice. Good luck!

        Exactly!

        GL man
        Comment
        • kenz
          SBR MVP
          • 12-09-12
          • 4879

          #5
          Took Melzer 3 days ago and also on Jaziri

          BOL guys
          Comment
          • makman
            SBR MVP
            • 10-31-10
            • 1019

            #6
            Originally posted by SharpyUSA
            Hi Guys, have been a lurker for several years, and now time for me to start posting.


            Melzer/Harrison

            Young Ryan has showed a tremedous display in his game this year. He creeped into the bigger ATP events last year, but only to find himself being inconsistent, due to the inexperience at top notch competitions. This year is a totally different Ryan Harrison, who has pretty much been great serving throughout his whole career (especially challenger circuits) but has stepped up in his rallying. I don't know if any of you watched this guy much last year, but when rallies took a little longer to finish the point, he would just slam the ball anywhere creating several unforced errors, and that was mostly due to his mentally meltdowns. And from then on, would lose the whole match with a hot head.

            Again, totally different player for him in 2015.

            Now we have Jurgen, who has always been a difficult player to bet on. He would play tremendous tennis in one event, followed by a "Forrest Gump" type of display in the following events. Real tough player to bet on. But at least we know he HAS the talent, and can show a great quality of tennis.

            One thing here that separates the two players, is Jurgen's ability to handle big servers. As Harrison pretty much relies on his service game, more than his rallying, this could be one of those matches Jurgen can win in two sets, because of his ability to figure players like Ryan out. ESPECIALLY when Ryan is at home, and he may feel a little shaky, trying to show off for the home crowd. Jurgen's experience and rallying should ware Ryan down, and also very important for Jurgen to win the first set too.



            Melzer ML +168




            I also took Posisil at -104




            Cheers, and goodluck guys
            BOL to you with your picks and new thread.
            Comment
            • SharpyUSA
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-22-11
              • 213

              #7
              cheers, Makman
              Comment
              • makman
                SBR MVP
                • 10-31-10
                • 1019

                #8
                ^^ Good analysis on Melzer.

                But imo, this analysis should lead you to skip this game, Melzer can not be trusted. Harrison doesnt have too much value for his ML odd.
                Maybe to play Harrison -1.5 sets ??

                If Melzer pass this round, he will face Chardy. In that game it will be good shot to bet on Melzer, because Chardy is playing terrible.

                But not in this one imo

                Anyways good luck to you all on Melzer
                Comment
                • SharpyUSA
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-22-11
                  • 213

                  #9
                  pospisil winner
                  Comment
                  • SharpyUSA
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-22-11
                    • 213

                    #10
                    Gavrilova/sharapova
                    over 18.5 +105
                    Comment
                    • SharpyUSA
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 11-22-11
                      • 213

                      #11
                      Nice job by melzer. He really showed toughness in that 2nd set
                      Comment
                      • JohnnyRudeboy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-30-09
                        • 1646

                        #12
                        Nice calls today.
                        Comment
                        • SharpyUSA
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-22-11
                          • 213

                          #13
                          Thanks Johnny
                          Comment
                          • SharpyUSA
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 11-22-11
                            • 213

                            #14
                            I had a feeling about gavrilova ml but didn't have the balls. Maria had no answers for her
                            Comment
                            • Steamroller
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-30-12
                              • 1003

                              #15
                              Me too but not even a small bet
                              Comment
                              • kenz
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-09-12
                                • 4879

                                #16
                                Originally posted by kenz
                                Took Melzer 3 days ago and also on Jaziri

                                BOL guys
                                Melzer wins, Jaziri blows 6-2 5-3
                                Comment
                                • SharpyUSA
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 11-22-11
                                  • 213

                                  #17
                                  3-0 YTD
                                  +$469(Includes $100 deposit)



                                  Ramos/Mannarino

                                  Mannarino played some great tennis last week at Indian Wells and is showing a great improvement in his form thus far. Adrian has been pretty inconsistent in his career, but has shown signs of improvement in the past couple of years. For a 26 yr old who's been at ATP level since 2005, he needs to be showing better results, so things can quickly slip away from him, and he can become another French Journeyman. He HAS the quality to win some ATP 250-500's and reach latter stages of 1000's and GS's. Again, he's on the right track thus far.

                                  Same kind of situation with Albert. Pretty much been flying up and down the ATP rankings his whole life, and just can't get a break. He's a great player and like Mannarino, has shown improvement this game. The dude even broke Djokovic a couple of times this year, which ISN'T an easy thing to do.

                                  I like Albert in this matchup as he is playing the same type of tennis as Adrian, and is controlling the match's to his advantage. It's not going to be an easy match for him, especially is Mannarino shows the same quality and display as Indian Wells, but, I just have a feeling Adrian is going to have a let down spot today, and Ramos takes this in 2 tight sets, or maybe even 3...


                                  Ramos ML +138
                                  Comment
                                  • SharpyUSA
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-22-11
                                    • 213

                                    #18
                                    Nieminen/Mayer

                                    Like Jarkko's groove right now and think he can win this one in 2 sets. Mayer a great player, but will wait a couple of months to bet on him. Can't bet on someone who is not showing his best this year. Mayer got kind of sloppy after he nearly/should've beaten federer last year. It will take him a minute to get back on track. For now, I think Nieminen takes advantage of it.


                                    Nieminen ML +106
                                    Comment
                                    • Vinnie Paz
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-27-12
                                      • 12177

                                      #19
                                      Damn was eyeing mannarino but you got me second guessing now lol . You know better than me so I'll lay off now.
                                      Comment
                                      • SharpyUSA
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-22-11
                                        • 213

                                        #20
                                        Vinnie Paz go with your instincts!
                                        Comment
                                        • SharpyUSA
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-22-11
                                          • 213

                                          #21
                                          Thiem ML +158
                                          Comment
                                          • Honeybadger44
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-03-14
                                            • 1675

                                            #22
                                            Backing Ramos as well (on the spread), so we are on the same side again

                                            I understand that Jarkko found some rhythm lately, but he really struggles in slow conditions often. And he also admited that his win in the first round wasn't neccessarily result of his super performance, because Matosevic wasn't on very high level that day. I was thinking about Mayer, but didn't see enoug value in those odds, so I skipped that one. BOL
                                            Comment
                                            • SharpyUSA
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-22-11
                                              • 213

                                              #23
                                              Thanks HB44. Yeah Jarkko seems kind of sluggish, but he's woken up in the 2nd. Hopefully he can somehow win this and go into the 3rd...and who knows what happens then.

                                              GL man
                                              Comment
                                              • SharpyUSA
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-22-11
                                                • 213

                                                #24
                                                Nieminen did a great impression of a WTA player to get broken in the 2nd. Really convincing
                                                Comment
                                                • Hardcoar
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 02-17-13
                                                  • 15606

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm sure you saw it unfolding live and in person.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SharpyUSA
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-22-11
                                                    • 213

                                                    #26
                                                    silly little girl, Jarkko. Very silly. Had a chance to win that 2nd set TB
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SharpyUSA
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 11-22-11
                                                      • 213

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                      I'm sure you saw it unfolding live and in person.

                                                      I see you're picking a load of winners. I haven't flicked onto your previous pages, but I see you're already 1-6 and 3 matches pending.

                                                      You're doing well there, champ.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SharpyUSA
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-22-11
                                                        • 213

                                                        #28
                                                        I have my first official troll.

                                                        But one that has a serious losing record...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Hardcoar
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-17-13
                                                          • 15606

                                                          #29
                                                          The average odds of my bets tend to be high. Logically, it follows that the average proportion of winners is lower than the average bettor's. Thanks for pointing out a useless observation of yours in an attempt to appear less pathetic though; well done!

                                                          Not that my record has any relevance to the fact that there is no footage of Nieminen–Mayer. I bet you didn't realize that...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hardcoar
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-17-13
                                                            • 15606

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by SharpyUSA
                                                            I have my first official troll.

                                                            But one that has a serious losing record...
                                                            If you call a sarcastic remark pointing out an absolute fact "trolling", I take it you don't know much about internet trolling, my friend.

                                                            I have a losing record? That's news to me... thanks for letting me know!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SharpyUSA
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 11-22-11
                                                              • 213

                                                              #31
                                                              I never actually said I watched it, as Euro sport keeps switching match to match. You're a bitter loser.

                                                              Do me a favor? Don't post here again. You're not really wanted...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Hardcoar
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-17-13
                                                                • 15606

                                                                #32
                                                                No, but what you did say is this:

                                                                "Nieminen did a great impression of a WTA player to get broken in the 2nd."

                                                                I may be bitter, but I'm no loser.
                                                                : )

                                                                I will be kind enough to you to do my best to stay away from your thread. This is a public forum after all...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RRed8925
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 03-18-15
                                                                  • 74

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Why is the Ramos game delayed? I though it started at 2 central
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SharpyUSA
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-22-11
                                                                    • 213

                                                                    #34
                                                                    great match there by thiem. showed class to beat him
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SharpyUSA
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-22-11
                                                                      • 213

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Cornet ML +179
                                                                      Comment
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