ITT I Bet Pocket Money (2015)

[Marillion]

Hey again all. That's my thread for 2015, will be mostly tennis plus an occasional soccer pick. Maybe there won't be as much volume as last year but will see. All picks are 1 unit.

Chirico over Tatishvili (2.37)

two pending soccer plays

Real Madrid -1.5 away at Schalke (2.00)
Messi to become Champions League's top goalscorer (2.25)

[Marillion]

Herbert over Zverev (1.83)

[Marillion]

Garcia (5.00) over Kerber

[Marillion]

Hantuchova (3.25) over Errani

[Marillion]

Kar. Pliskova over Azarenka (2.62)

[Marillion]

Coppejans over Bemelmans (2.75)

[Marillion]

Gavrilova (2.62) over Kulichkova (WTA Brisbane qualifiers)

[Marillion]

Michon (1.83) over O'Connell

[Marillion]

Glushko (2.00) over Kozlova

[Marillion]

Barthel (2.50) against Konjuh.

[Marillion]

Gombos (1.53) against Reid.

[Marillion]

Pretty good start, several dogs hit.

Chirico over Tatishvili (2.37) loss
Herbert over Zverev (1.83) win
Coppejans over Bemelmans (2.75) win
Gavrilova (2.62) over Kulichkova win
Michon (1.83) over O'Connell win
Glushko (2.00) over Kozlova win
Gombos (1.53) against Reid loss

Wins - Losses - Void
5-2-0

Units Won
+4.03 units

Units Risked
7

ROI
58%

[STAY STRONG]

Good luck this season boss.

[Marillion]

Tx sir. : )

Karatantcheva (2.50) over U. Radwanska

[Marillion]

Gonzalez (2.50) over Carreno Busta

[Marillion]

Butorac/Groth (1.72) against Melzer/Simon

[Marillion]

Huta-Galung (2.00) against De Bakker

[Marillion]

Copil (2.20) against Ilhan

[Dmoneytx]

Best of luck this year Mar I look forward to some insight on future plays, vice versa, cheers!!!

[Marillion]

Thanks a lot, may the next pick be in your honour - and also a winning one : )

Brown (1.72) over Lorenzi

(obv I think Brown should have an advantage on anything but clay; ofc if the court is pretty slow - and I have no idea whether it is - then it will be tougher for him but IMO Dreddy should have an advantage against a mediocre - albeit mentally tough - grinder)

[Marillion]

As for the other plays:

Ula vs Sesil should be a 50/50 match; Sesil ended last year decently at the ITF level and fights a lot until the last point, while last year Ula failed to convince that she is due to be back among the best.

No idea why Butorac/Groth are 1.72, Melzer is good in doubles but Simon? Should pound here IMO.

Copil and Ilhan are both unstable but the Romanian had a very convincing win yesterday. IMO he has the skills to be at least top 100, very dangerous when he's serving well (like last year vs Dimitrov). I like him as a small dog.

Barthel is a nutcase + coming back after an injury but 2.50 is huge and as long as my book void any ML bets in case of a retirement, I like it, hope I'm not wrong.

Gonzalez is not horrible on hard courts (last year he even took a set from Djokovic), Carreno Busta was 2/7 on hard last year. 2.50 is value IMO.

[Marillion]

Smith (5.00) against Baghdatis

Smith is good on fast surfaces (and Marco is too, of course) and is playing in his home country, so I think he stands a chance and at 5.00 it should be worth as a long shot.

[Marillion]

Dimitrov (1.40) against Chardy

Chardy has progressed but I definitely do not see him having decent chances against Dimi. Last year, Dimitrov had very few losses against players outside of top 20, he's still with Rasheed, who is a highly demanding coach and has had a tough pre-season prep.

Kudla (2.50) against Nieminen

Nieminen isn't getting any younger, while Kudla has improved a lot recently. Line shouldn't be that high IMO.

[Marillion]

Copil (3.00) against Kukushkin

Keep rolling with him, he's in a beast mode. ^^

[Marillion]

Garcia (5.00) over Kerber loss
Hantuchova (3.25) over Errani win
Kar. Pliskova over Azarenka (2.62) win
Barthel (2.50) against Konjuh loss
Karatantcheva (2.50) over U. Radwanska loss
Butorac/Groth (1.72) against Melzer/Simon win
Huta-Galung (2.00) against De Bakker loss
Copil (2.20) against Ilhan win
Brown (1.72) over Lorenzi win

Wins-Losses-Void
10-6-0

Units Won
+6.54 units

Units Risked
16

ROI
41%

[Dmoneytx]

Lol, thanks for the Brown pick for me.. I hit Isner last night, whew that was close. I took my winnings on that play & I threw it on Brown -155. I was glad to see you had him as well. Nice hit.. I'm still deciding to put 1/2 my winnings from those two matches on the Ivo match.. I might lay off. Still thinking. Best of luck Mar!!!

[Marillion]

Best of luck to you too. : ) What do you think of the Ivo match? I can't seem to find a play I think is decent and am skipping.

[beefcake]

Agree on smith.baggy still stinks regardless of challenger success last year.

[Marillion]

Hantuchova (2.00) over U. Radwanska

[Marillion]

Gasquet -3.5 games (1.83) against Bolelli

[Marillion]

Gonzalez (2.50) over Carreno Busta loss
Smith (5.00) against Baghdatis loss
Dimitrov (1.40) against Chardy win
Kudla (2.50) against Nieminen loss
Copil (3.00) against Kukushkin loss
Hantuchova (2.00) over U. Radwanska loss
Gasquet -3.5 games (1.83) against Bolelli win

Wins-Losses-Void
12-11-0

Units Won
+2,77 units

Units Risked
23

ROI
12%

[Marillion]

Klizan +3.5 games against Dimitrov (2.00)

Dimitrov's return game is still pretty poor, I expect a close match.

[Marillion]

Berdych Seppi under 20.5 (1.72)

Berdych rolls easily.