Tsonga -465 is insane...

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  • wagerjunkie
    SBR MVP
    • 08-24-13
    • 4105

    #1
    Tsonga -465 is insane...
    Muller has been on an absolute tear. This is a very very dangerous match up for Tsonga... Muller huge server on indoor hardcourts...could very well end up being a coin flip with 2 tie breaks.

    all the value is on the dog.
  • ayojj727
    SBR Sharp
    • 05-14-14
    • 285

    #2
    Originally posted by wagerjunkie
    Muller has been on an absolute tear. This is a very very dangerous match up for Tsonga... Muller huge server on indoor hardcourts...could very well end up being a coin flip with 2 tie breaks.

    all the value is on the dog.
    was thinking the same thing about throwin a couple hundred on the dog
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30057

      #3
      i doubt it. Tsonga is better rested his last match
      was a doubles a few days which he and Gasquet won
      to get to Davis Cup finals in November.
      He's in good spirits and Muller is probably spent.
      There isn't much of a comparison anyway, Tsonga
      has become elite in recent years while Muller has
      ticked down.
      Comment
      • wagerjunkie
        SBR MVP
        • 08-24-13
        • 4105

        #4
        Originally posted by Snowball
        i doubt it. Tsonga is better rested his last match
        was a doubles a few days which he and Gasquet won
        to get to Davis Cup finals in November.
        He's in good spirits and Muller is probably spent.
        There isn't much of a comparison anyway, Tsonga
        has become elite in recent years while Muller has
        ticked down.
        it's actually kind of the opposite. Tsonga could be physically and emotionally spent after his Davis Cup run and his run with Djoker, Murray, Fed and Dmitrov. that's a lot of tough tennis.

        as far as your comment as Muller ticking down..he's actually sky rocketing. from 360+ in the rankings to somewhere around 65 I believe. He's won I think 3 challengers titles already this year. He's got nothing to be spent from, he handled ERV quite easily yesterday.

        look I'm not saying he's going to go out there and beat Tsongas ass I'm just saying I think this price is out of wack.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          Muller really isn't as good on indoor courts as you'd think. Check his record.
          Comment
          • Djoking
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 04-18-12
            • 823

            #6
            Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
            Muller really isn't as good on indoor courts as you'd think. Check his record.
            LOL. 21/6 this year
            Comment
            • Djoking
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 04-18-12
              • 823

              #7
              15.09. Muller G. - Roger-Vasselin E. 1R 6-1, 7-66 2.24 1.62
              Taipei challenger Round Result H A
              04.05. Muller G. - Smith J. F 6-3, 6-3 1.15 4.75
              03.05. Muller G. - Soeda G. SF 6-2, 6-4 1.21 3.94
              02.05. Muller G. - Lacko L. QF 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 1.65 2.12
              01.05. Muller G. - Sekiguchi S. R16 7-5, 7-60 1.10 5.75
              30.04. Muller G. - Groth S. 1R 7-61, 7-68 1.33 3.02
              Kazan challenger Round Result H A
              14.03. Kuznetsov A. - Muller G. QF 6-4, 6-4 2.27 1.57
              13.03. Muller G. - Bozoljac I. R16 4-2 1.53 2.35
              11.03. Muller G. - Puetz T. 1R 6-3, 6-4 1.52 2.46
              10.03. Muller G. - Gadomski P. Q-QF 7-6, 6-2
              09.03. Muller G. - Strelkov S. Q-R16 6-1, 6-2
              08.03. Muller G. - Polyakov V. Q-1R 6-4, 6-3
              Cherbourg challenger Round Result H A
              27.02. Pospisil J. - Muller G. R16 6-4, 6-4 3.60 1.28
              26.02. Muller G. - Gicquel M. 1R 6-3, 7-5 1.88 1.89
              Astana challenger Round Result H A
              23.02. Golubev A. - Muller G. F 6-4, 6-4 1.51 2.41
              22.02. Muller G. - Dustov F. SF 6-3, 7-64 1.37 2.99
              21.02. Muller G. - Ilhan M. QF 7-67, 6-2 1.30 3.26
              20.02. Muller G. - Gerasimov E. R16 6-4, 6-4 1.26 3.74
              19.02. Muller G. - Pospisil J. 1R 7-65, 7-5 1.25 3.59
              Quimper challenger Round Result H A
              15.02. Herbert P. - Muller G. SF 6-4, 62-7, 7-65 2.09 1.68
              14.02. Muller G. - Mertl J. QF 7-67, 7-66 1.50 2.43
              12.02. Muller G. - Eysseric J. R16 6-1, 65-7, 6-1 1.21 4.02
              10.02. Muller G. - Gombos N. 1R 6-4, 6-4 1.42 2.74
              Heilbronn challenger Round Result H A
              23.01. Struff J. - Muller G. R16 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 1.38 2.83
              21.01. Muller G. - Cecchinato M. 1R 6-4, 3-2 1.73 1.99
              Futures 2014 Round Result H A
              16.01. Katic D. - Muller G. R16 4-6, 7-66, 6-4 6.62 1.07
              15.01. Muller G. - Arneodo R. 1R 6-2, 6-3 1.20 3.95
              Comment
              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30057

                #8
                pulling up CHALLENGER records to justify a bet against
                TSONGA is ridiculous.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  ATP level, he's barely above .500. Muller is like 90% winning on Challengers this year, ATP level 3-2. There's a reason he is choosing to play Challengers. Easier paychecks.
                  Comment
                  • PharaohUB
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-23-07
                    • 4865

                    #10
                    I would take a shot 1st set. Tsonga comes out slow sometimes against competition he knows he can beat down. Most top players do. Once Muller goes up an early break, hedge your 1st set bet so you guarantee profit on both sides, and watch Tsonga come back for the 2-0 sets beat down.
                    Comment
                    • Pippen aint easy
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 03-03-14
                      • 11

                      #11
                      What do you guys think about Rosol taking down Mathieu? I like Rosol as the dog here
                      Comment
                      • Djoking
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-18-12
                        • 823

                        #12
                        Mathie is hard opponent to Rosol at indoor, if it was hardcourt Rosol wins, but on indoor it was hard game for him
                        Comment
                        • Pippen aint easy
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 03-03-14
                          • 11

                          #13
                          Thanks. I guess Rosol has beat them once on clay the only time they have played. Seems like Rosol is hot right now..I like his serve. Im gonna put a small play on him
                          Comment
                          • brodie
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-25-13
                            • 2212

                            #14
                            for tsonga/muller I would say the line is fair. Tsonga is beating this guy 9 times out of 10 if motivated and I really doubt tsonga is fatigued

                            Originally posted by Pippen aint easy
                            What do you guys think about Rosol taking down Mathieu? I like Rosol as the dog here
                            you gotta love rosol at +110. normally you'd expect him to be a -200 favorite against mathieu. rosol is a 250 aficionado and should be motivated to take mathieu out in his home country

                            i have a solid play on him
                            Comment
                            • Bumdeal
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-17-13
                              • 3954

                              #15
                              Why do I torture myself. Tsonga couldn't make it easy, could he?
                              Comment
                              • Bumdeal
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-17-13
                                • 3954

                                #16


                                Doing my best to get the worst possible lines. -440 for a match where there isn't a break of a freaking point until 7-7 tiebreak
                                Comment
                                • Snowball
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 11-15-09
                                  • 30057

                                  #17
                                  was never in doubt
                                  Comment
                                  • Djoking
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 04-18-12
                                    • 823

                                    #18
                                    yeah Mathie very good
                                    Comment
                                    • Bumdeal
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-17-13
                                      • 3954

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by brodie
                                      you gotta love rosol at +110. normally you'd expect him to be a -200 favorite against mathieu. rosol is a 250 aficionado and should be motivated to take mathieu out in his home country

                                      i have a solid play on him
                                      Comment
                                      • Tmuston Beltics
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-14-13
                                        • 1253

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Djoking
                                        yeah Mathie very good
                                        No he's not..
                                        Comment
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