Tennis Picks (ATP, WTA, CH)

[rmx]

looks not bad

[nash13]

Just the first couple of days. The system is over performing so far. I had 5% yield with 2000 picks last month. So let's see where it takes us.

[nash13]

WTA Tashkent
Kichenok L. 2.22@Marathon
Panova A. 1.59@Pinnacle
Govortsova O. 2.26@Marathon
Kurdyavtseva A. 2.26@Marathon
Pervak K. 1.3@Marathonbet
Vekic D. 1.84@Pinnacle
Knapp K. 1.55@Marathon
Tsurenko L. 2.53@Pinnacle

[nash13]

WTA Hong Kong
Gajdosova J. 2.38@Pinnacle
Lisicki S. 1.23@Marathonbet
Date Krumm K. 2.49@Pinnacle
Wickmayer Y. 1.84@Pinnacle

Biella Challenger
Balleret B. 3@Bet365

[felix_felicus7]

Just the first couple of days. The system is over performing so far. I had 5% yield with 2000 picks last month. So let's see where it takes us.

Very interesting so far Nash - congrats. Always wanted to do a simulation based on the matchstat bet ratings. Have you run the numbers to see if its more profitable to only bet 0.5 units on players paying $2 or better?

[nash13]

Banja Luka Challenger

Rola B. 1.6@Pinnacle

[nash13]

Banja Luka Challenger
Bedene A. 1.2@Pinnacle
Coppejans K. 1.45@Pinnacle
Troicki V. 1.15@Pinnacle

Biella Challenger
Kubler J. 1.2@Pinnacle
Volandri F. 1.48@Pinnacle
Hajek J. 1.47@Pinnacle
Cecchinato M. 1.29@5Dimes

Istanbul Challenger
Mannarino A. 1.08@Pinnacle
Wang J. 1.83@Pinnacle
Ito T. 1.11@Pinnacle
Ward J. 1.05@Pinnacle

Sevilla Challenger
Carreno-Busta P. 1.18@Tempobet
Westerhof B. 2.72@Marathon
Daniel T. 1.18@Tempobet
Munoz de la Nava D. 1.25@Marathon
Huta Galung J. 1.89@Tempobet
Ortega Olmedo R. 3.4@Bet365
Eysseric J. 1.8@SBOBet
Giustino L. 1.26@Pinnacle

Szczecin Challenger
Arguello F. 1.37@Pinnacle
Kovalik J. 1.25@Marathon
Nedovyesov A. 1.5@Tempobet
Montanes A. 1.32@Pinnacle

[nash13]

WTA Quebec
Brengele M. 1.8@Marathon
Oudin M. 2.92@Pinnacle
Karatantcheva S. 3.33@Pinnacle
Rogers S. 1.27@Pinnacle

[nash13]

89-46
+13.66

[fitguy67]

as of this posting (and my xls' accounting)...98-48, +14.63 (=10.02% of the 146 risked)...still substantially over-performing even most optimistic long-term yield...very intriguing

[nash13]

Maybe i miscalculated some of the picks.
I have hem in a spreadsheet up on dropbox.

https://www.dropbox.com/s/wj0waiqh8sbmyrf/Tennis%20Picks.xlsx?dl=0

99-53
+10.11

[nash13]

as of this posting (and my xls' accounting)...98-48, +14.63 (=10.02% of the 146 risked)...still substantially over-performing even most optimistic long-term yield...very intriguing

As I stated before, i started to track them in august. one thing to consider is, that i take near maximum odds from main bookies. still with more than 2000 picks a profit of 110 units is very promising.

[nash13]

i looked back at my results, there is only one odds range which had produced negative profit.
slightly underdogs of odds between 2.00 and 2.3 had negative value.
most profit came from odds of 2.4 and above. (289 games)
+80 units

for anyone interested in the method, i can share the main concept, but not everything via pm.
the hardest thing to do is enter data.
i use SPSS and Excel to analyze and backtrack games.

[nash13]

Banja Luka Challenger
Ramos A. 1.16@Pinnacle
Haider-Maurer A. 1.25@Pinnacle
Pospisil J. 1.3@Tempobet
Krstin P. 1.63@5Dimes

Biella Challenger
Obry J. 2.66@SBOBet

Istanbul Challenger
Ilhan M. 1.92@Pinnacle
Kamke T. 1.33@Tempobet
Petzschner P. 1.78@Pinnacle
Daniell M. 4.95@Pinnacle

Szczecin Challenger
Brown D. 1.44@Pinnacle
Michon A. 1.67@Tempobet
Mertl J. 3.55@Bet365
Struff J-L. 1.4@Tempobet

WTA Hong Kong
Pliskova Ka. 1.96@Marathon
Hantuchova D. 1.68@Pinnacle
Cepelova J. 1.34@Tempobet

WTA Quebec
Lucic M. 1.61@5Dimes
Krejcikova B. 2.02@Marathon
Williams V. 1.11@Tempobet

WTA Tashkent
Amanmuradova A. 1.77@Pinnacle
Knapp K. 1.57@Tempobet
Jovanovski B. 2.08@Pinnacle
Pervak K. 2.1@PaddyPower

[nash13]

man mertl 3 match points wasted.... could have been a huge swing...
stil maintaining profit

[nash13]

115-63
+10.43

[Marillion]

i looked back at my results, there is only one odds range which had produced negative profit.
slightly underdogs of odds between 2.00 and 2.3 had negative value.
most profit came from odds of 2.4 and above. (289 games)
+80 units

for anyone interested in the method, i can share the main concept, but not everything via pm.
the hardest thing to do is enter data.
i use SPSS and Excel to analyze and backtrack games.

Will drop you a PM later and ask for the main concept. GL, seems you're doing really well. It will be really interesting to see whether the "small dogs" with odds between 2 and 2.3 will keep being a negative over a larger sample size.

[nash13]

thanks for the interest. any help and critic is appreciated.

[nash13]

WTA Hong Kong
Gajdosova J. 2@Bet365
Lisicki S. 1.29@Tempobet
Schiavone F. 1.87@Marathonbet

WTA Tashkent
Jovanovski B. 1.4@Marathonbet
Knapp K. 1.66@Pinnacle

[nash13]

if anyone is looking for davis cup, i will stay away from that as far as possible.

[felix_felicus7]

if anyone is looking for davis cup, i will stay away from that as far as possible.

Nice going Nash. I'm always surprised when cappers here avoid Davis Cup, when player's motivation is on average at a higher level than usual tour matches.

[nash13]

Banja Luka Challenger
Haider-Maurer A. 1.34@5Dimes
Coppejans K. 3.45@Marathon
Troicki V. 1.47@Tempobet

Biella Challenger
Viola M. 2.3@Unibet
Volandri F. 2.38@Marathon

Istanbul Challenger
Petzschner P. 3.1@Marathon
Kamke T. 1.84@Marathon
Sorensen L. 4.3@Pinnacle
Wang J. 1.95@Pinnacle

Sevilla Challenger
Carreno Busta P. 1.26@Pinnacle
Daniel T. 1.4@Marathon

Szczecin Challenger
Pouille L. 1.35@Marathon
Brown D. 1.4@Marathon
Arguello F. 2.35@Pinnacle
Struff J-L. 1.45@Tempobet

[nash13]

Nice going Nash. I'm always surprised when cappers here avoid Davis Cup, when player's motivation is on average at a higher level than usual tour matches.

The main reason for me is: it is a team competition. Outside Davis Cup, Fed Cup or Hopman Cup, you don't depend on the results of others. The main reason I choose Tennis for betting is, that it is an individual sport. So the concept of Tennis is a contradiction to the Concept behind Team Events.

[nash13]

Banja Luka
Sakharov vs Ramos Ramos 1.15@Pinnacle

WTA Quebec
Williams V. 1.17@Tempobet
Goerges J. 1.36@Tempobet
Karatantcheva S. 3.4@Marathon
Rogers S. 1.71@Pinnacle

[nash13]

130-69
+15 Units in 5 days. looking good whoohoo

[nash13]

Goerges wins
+15.36 Overall
7.68% Yield on 200 picks
still some selections open or switched to tomorrow
Troicki, Carreno-Busta, Williams, Karantantcheva, Rogers and Ramos.
More to come later.

[fitguy67]

keep 'em coming nasher

[nash13]

WTA Hong Kong
Pliskova Ka. 1.38@Tempobet
Lisicki S. 1.49@Pinnacle

WTA Tashkent
Knapp K. 1.75@bwin

[fitguy67]

"any similarity with what women do on a tennis court and real tennis is purely coincidental"....

bitches love to break each other...but just can not/will not hold their own frakkin' service...,

Venus Williams is drivin' me nuts here

[fitguy67]

3 frakkin' times in a row now in the deciding set..."break, then get broken"...rinse, lather, repeat...pathetic...

"all's well that ends well", i suppose...but betting on gash-rackets is like betting on cockroach races...throw in the chalk on the favorite and u got a recipe for

[nash13]

Ranking the results i got this far with the matches before i started this thread proves your point.
Most profit: Challengers +55 Units
Medium profit: ATP +47 Units
Least Profit: WTA +32 Units

[nash13]

Finished the night with 2 wins. Superb day it was.
134-70
+15.50

[nash13]

WTA Quebec
Lucic M. 2.35@5Dimes
Williams V. 1.25@Pinnacle

Biella Challenger
Balleret B. 3.65@Marathon
Cecchinato M. 1.73@William Hill

Istanbul Challenger
Mannarino A. 1.55@Pinnacle
Ito T. 1.8@Marathon

Sevilla Challenger
Daniel T. 4.65@Pinnacle

Sezczecin Challenger
Arguello F. 2.75@Marathon
Pouille L. 2.9@Unibet

[nash13]

143-75
+15.69

[nash13]

Some of you asked me for past results.
I was on vacation in July, so no results for then.
Here are my picks front he past:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1lSaISkt4Gjw4m0lonzaJ-2_Ll-pOp6iD0mTR_J9AfnM/edit?usp=sharing