8-20 Plays

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  • SSVIR
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-07-14
    • 861

    #1
    8-20 Plays
    No lines up yet so I'll just list the matches and update the odds later.

    There are some serious flakes left on the men's side so tomorrow and who knows what the women's motivation will be so proceed with extreme caution.

    As always, please give me your thoughts on agreements or disagreements and why.


    12:00pm J Janowicz -160 v E Roger-Vasselin +140

    Crazy Jerzy and a French guy -- uh no thanks.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1:00pm J Nieminen +190 v D Goffin -230

    Nieminen is quality but I think Goffin wins. Goffin has a very good serve that gets him quite a few easy service points and is solid from both wings. Just really like his game and he needs more hard court matches so I think he will be motivated as well.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1:00pm C Wozniacki -475 v C Giorgi +380

    Wozniacki "should" win this match pretty convincingly IF she is motivated to do so. She had a 1st set hiccup last match then proceeded to dominate again like she has for more than a month on the hard courts (only losses are twice to Serena in 3 sets). Giorgi is in poor form right now having lost 4 of her last 5 matches and the only win was this week against an unmotivated and out of condition Vanderweghe.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2:30pm S Peng +125 v BG Muguruza -145

    Muguruza is the more talented player but she is Dr Jekyll and Mr. Hyde on the court from set to set. Muguruza wins ... probably in straight sets.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    3:00pm G Garcia-Lopez +135 v D Young -155

    GGL has been in awful form lately losing 6 in a row before beating the mental midget Brown in 3 sets in the 1R. Young has been playing pretty damn well this hard court season with a lot of wins under his belt and his two losses were quality (Raonic in Wash who was the tourney winner and Baby Fed in 3 sets in Toronto). Young has to be the choice here.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    3:00pm Y.H Lu -170 v M Pujol-Granollers +150

    This match should take about 4 hours to play with these guys hitting 20 passive shots each until either Lu hits a backhand winner or makes an unforced error. Over 22.5 -110 might be the play here.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    3:00pm N Mahut +125 v A Seppi -145

    French guy vs Italian guy. No thank you.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    4:00pm A Petkovic -285 v K Flipkens +243

    Petkovic should be the winner. I think/hope she is motivated and she has been playing really well winning 8 of her last 10 matches with loses to Serena in the finals of Stanford and to Stephens who played one of her best matches of the summer.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    4:30pm P Andujar-Alba +180 v L Rosol -220

    Rosol was shaky as shit today getting the retirement win from Harrison but it looked like he had started to get his game going a little bit in the 2nd set before the match ended. That was his first match of the hard court season so I'm hoping it can just be chalked up to rust. Andujar has a career record of 29-54 vs a clay court record of 378-236. Yes those numbers are right and proved Andujar only advanced to this round b/c he played dogshit Sijsling.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    5:00pm S Querry +120 v K Anderson -140

    Fack both these guys. Whoever gets sand in their vagina first will lose.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    7:00pm J Isner -490 v M Kukushkin +390

    Kukushkin is a good Challenger tour player but I don't think he has the game to get past Isner. With that said Isner is a damn flake this hard court season so with large chalk expected this is probably going to be a no/small play.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    7:00pm S Stosur +130 v E Bouchard -150

    Stosur can cause some problems for the top players but I think the need for Bouchard to win a few matches and perform well in this event before the Open means Bouchard comes out motivated and wins in straight sets.
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  • hendrafirmanto
    SBR Hustler
    • 04-09-14
    • 81

    #2
    C Wozniacki v C Giorgi

    Halep out from competition, Wozniacki will motivated to get free points to the final at least.
    Comment
    • brodie
      SBR MVP
      • 11-25-13
      • 2212

      #3
      I like GGL and ERV as dogs.
      Comment
      • kendy
        SBR Hustler
        • 07-22-14
        • 67

        #4
        @SSVIR lmfao!!! You're mess with this line 'whoever gets sand in their vagina first loses the match'
        Comment
        • kendy
          SBR Hustler
          • 07-22-14
          • 67

          #5
          i like petkovic.
          Comment
          • greatd
            SBR Hustler
            • 01-25-13
            • 95

            #6
            Good write up SSVR, appreciated.

            I like Przysiezny to bt Travaglia too at -250
            Comment
            • kendy
              SBR Hustler
              • 07-22-14
              • 67

              #7
              ^ przy been hot shit, got his ballz together for last few matches, lets see how he does today. BOL
              Comment
              • SSVIR
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-07-14
                • 861

                #8
                Originally posted by greatd
                Good write up SSVR, appreciated.

                I like Przysiezny to bt Travaglia too at -250
                at -350 at 5D now
                Comment
                • SSVIR
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 07-07-14
                  • 861

                  #9
                  Lines in the OP updated.
                  Comment
                  • SSVIR
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-07-14
                    • 861

                    #10
                    1:00pm 122 David Goffin -230* vs Jarkko Nieminen 4.6 to win 2 units
                    1:00pm 124 D. Goffin -3 Games -125* vs J. Nieminen 2.5 to win 2 units
                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    1:05pm C WOZNIACKI -1.5 sets -160 v C GIORGI 3.2 to win 2 units
                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    2:30pm G MUGURUZA -151 v S PENG 3 to win 2 units
                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    3:00pm 126 Donald Young -155* vs Guillermo Garcia-Lopez 3.9 to win 2.5 units
                    G GARCIA-LOPEZ to win games 7 and 8 of set 3 1/2 unit to win 2.5 units
                    G GARCIA-LOPEZ to win match 1 to win 1.75 units
                    G GARCIA-LOPEZ to win match
                    1/2 to win 2 units
                    G GARCIA-LOPEZ to win match
                    1/2 to win 1 unit

                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    4:00pm A PETKOVIC -1.5 sets -105 v K FLIPKENS 2.1 to win 2 units
                    LIVE BET A PETKOVIC -200 v K FLIPKENS 5 units to win 2.5 units
                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    4:15pm 106 Lukas Rosol -220* vs Pablo Andujar 2.2 to win 1 unit
                    4:15pm 108 L. Rosol -2½ Games -120* vs P. Andujar 1.8 to win 1.5 units

                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    7:00pm E BOUCHARD -1.5 sets +155 v S STOSUR 1.3 to win 2 units
                    7:00pm 522 Eugenie Bouchard -150* vs Samantha Stosur 3.75 to win 2.5 units

                    Live Bet S STOSUR -116 to win 2nd set v E Bouchard 5.8 to win 5 units
                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    3:45pm 1251 Sesil Karatantcheva -105* vs Melanie Oudin to win 1 unit
                    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    Comment
                    • w@lt
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-08-10
                      • 2594

                      #11
                      Hmm. I wanted to take Woz and Genie as well, but I just have a bad feeling one of them blows it. I shouldn't bet with my heart when it comes to those two.

                      Click image for larger version

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                      Comment
                      • Bet10Heinekens
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-10-13
                        • 10567

                        #12
                        watch out for Rosol, he looked like dog shit yesterday

                        The card looks solid today, good luck SS
                        Comment
                        • SSVIR
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-07-14
                          • 861

                          #13
                          Wozniacki starts slow once again and loses 1st set. Wager lost.

                          Comment
                          • w@lt
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-08-10
                            • 2594

                            #14
                            Ugh. Yeah, I had a feeling her or Genie would lose. Giorgi is actually playing well.
                            Comment
                            • SSVIR
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-07-14
                              • 861

                              #15
                              Have a bad feeling about the matches today with how things are shaping up.

                              Woz wager lost and she's going to lose the match.

                              Goffin gets broken to lose the 2nd set.

                              UPDATE: Goffin breaks early in the 3rd set.

                              Comment
                              • SSVIR
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-07-14
                                • 861

                                #16
                                Added:

                                3:45pm Qualifying Tennis 1251 Sesil Karatantcheva -105* vs Melanie Oudin


                                Oudin is a dumpster fire and Karatantcheva is 2-0 H2H. Straight short Oudin play here.
                                Comment
                                • w@lt
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-08-10
                                  • 2594

                                  #17
                                  Like it.
                                  Comment
                                  • SSVIR
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-07-14
                                    • 861

                                    #18
                                    My nigg-a Goffin is ruthless.
                                    Comment
                                    • SSVIR
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-07-14
                                      • 861

                                      #19
                                      Next up is Young
                                      Comment
                                      • phokingjuice
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 06-27-14
                                        • 339

                                        #20
                                        Hmm I can't find sesil vs mel
                                        Comment
                                        • SSVIR
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 07-07-14
                                          • 861

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by phokingjuice
                                          Hmm I can't find sesil vs mel
                                          US Open women's qualifying.
                                          Comment
                                          • SSVIR
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-07-14
                                            • 861

                                            #22
                                            Muguruza gonna' Muguruza it looks like in this 2nd set. Serving 30% 1st serves in this 2nd set. Pathetic.

                                            What's up with Count Drakula working the umpire stand for Young/GGL?
                                            Comment
                                            • SSVIR
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 07-07-14
                                              • 861

                                              #23
                                              Need breaks here from Young and Muguruza.

                                              Comment
                                              • phokingjuice
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 06-27-14
                                                • 339

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by SSVIR
                                                US Open women's qualifying.
                                                Damn my book sucks
                                                Comment
                                                • SSVIR
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-07-14
                                                  • 861

                                                  #25
                                                  Muguruza is a mope. Loses game at love.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • phokingjuice
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 06-27-14
                                                    • 339

                                                    #26
                                                    Hopefully this 3rd set is a winner
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SSVIR
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 07-07-14
                                                      • 861

                                                      #27
                                                      Young gets broken. Breaks back. Gets broken again.

                                                      Dammit mane.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • phokingjuice
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 06-27-14
                                                        • 339

                                                        #28
                                                        Thanks for the winners so far
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SSVIR
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-07-14
                                                          • 861

                                                          #29
                                                          Young gets broken. He's done. Back to the shit Young after playing well the whole summer.

                                                          Never seen a professional mishit so many balls. I guess he figures he paid for the frame so he might as well use it!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • leetreaper
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 10-23-10
                                                            • 34841

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by SSVIR
                                                            Young gets broken. He's done. Back to the shit Young after playing well the whole summer.

                                                            Never seen a professional mishit so many balls. I guess he figures he paid for the frame so he might as well use it!
                                                            Always play Young 1st set, been cashing these lately...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • leetreaper
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 10-23-10
                                                              • 34841

                                                              #31
                                                              Rosol, what a piece of shit...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • phokingjuice
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 06-27-14
                                                                • 339

                                                                #32
                                                                Good god, rosol. Might as well have gotten bageled
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SSVIR
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 07-07-14
                                                                  • 861

                                                                  #33
                                                                  What a ridiculous match point save on an overhead by GGL.

                                                                  Hopefully Young pulls it out in the TB.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SSVIR
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-07-14
                                                                    • 861

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I'm all hedged on this Young match.

                                                                    Picked up 3 units wagering on GGL to win games 8 & 9 and then put those 3 units on GGL each time he was down in the TB.

                                                                    Really want to see DY win though.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SSVIR
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-07-14
                                                                      • 861

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Sucks DY lost that match.

                                                                      Unbelievable comeback on match point and then goes up in the TB and is serving for the match at 6-5 in the TB and double faults.
                                                                      Comment
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