8-18 Plays

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  • SSVIR
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-07-14
    • 861

    #1
    8-18 Plays
    12:00pm David Goffin -166 v Jurgen Melzer +146

    Melzer is quality and leads the H2H 3-0 but Goffin has won like 20 matches in a row (admittedly on clay) and I'm rolling with his win streak/confidence. Melzer has also not played many matches on hard courts this year (0-2 v Sock/Hewitt) and has lost 3 1R in a row since Wimbledon.

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    12:00pm Sara Errani +115 v Garbine Muguruza -135

    If they both play their best then Muguruza wins but I don't think Muguruza has been playing well and I don't think she has the consistency to beat the feisty little firecracker. Muguruza's serve has also been hot garbage so live plays game by game wagering for breaks is something I'll be looking at doing if I have the time.

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    12:00pm Barbora Zahlavova Strycova -115 v Belinda Bencic -105

    Should be a good match but I really like the way Strycova plays and how she is playing right now.

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    1:15pm Kurumi Nara +215 v Samantha Stosur -255

    If the Stosur that played Serena shows up this will be a quick loss. If the normal up/down Stosur shows up then the steady Nara will frustrate Stosur.
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    1:15pm Silvia Soler-Espinosa -123 v Magdalena Rybarikova +103

    Soler-Espinosa has been playing pretty well on the hard courts but this is more a wager against Rybarikova. She has played Istanbul, Baku, Washington, Montreal, and Cincy and lost in the 1st rd of every one of them other than Montreal which she lost in the 2R.

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    2:45pm Blaz Rola +132 v Wayne Odesnik -152

    Higher rated player with decent hard court record vs lower rated player that has recently won a lot of matches in challenger hard court season.

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    3:30pm Eugenie Bouchard -380 v Bojana Jovanovski +315

    Jovanovski is not very consistent so this should help Bouchard actually win a g-d damn 1R match for once in a non Major tournament.

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    8:15pm Andrea Petkovic -140 v Dominika Cibulkova +130

    I've lost a shit ton betting with Cibulkova so I'm looking to make my $ back betting against her. Can't fail strategy right? LOL. Petkovic has been playing really well and only losing to better players (Serena & a hot Stephens). Cibulkova on the other hand seems to lose every other match and has been a 1R/2R loser every tournament since the French Open.
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  • professionalAD
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-29-14
    • 941

    #2
    i will be in attendance tomorrow
    Comment
    • matt1216
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-27-11
      • 14683

      #3
      FYI... Cibulkova has had a heal injury for most of the year... This is why she can not hold serve. I'm not sure many people know this. I will be posting Petkovic to win later as well
      Comment
      • jtoler
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-17-13
        • 30967

        #4
        Originally posted by matt1216
        FYI... Cibulkova has had a heal injury for most of the year... This is why she can not hold serve. I'm not sure many people know this. I will be posting Petkovic to win later as well
        What does that have to do with holding serve over precedence of every other part of her game.
        Comment
        • SSVIR
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 07-07-14
          • 861

          #5
          Originally posted by matt1216
          FYI... Cibulkova has had a heal injury for most of the year... This is why she can not hold serve. I'm not sure many people know this. I will be posting Petkovic to win later as well
          Are you done with the curse? Need to know before I step up to the window with my wager.
          Comment
          • SSVIR
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-07-14
            • 861

            #6
            Original post updated. Plays for the day:

            12:00pm 145 David Goffin -166* vs Jurgen Melzer to win 3.5 units
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            12:00pm 526 Sara Errani +117* vs Garbine Muguruza 2.5 to win 3 units
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            12:00pm 549 Barbora Zahlavova Strycova -115* vs Belinda Bencic to win 2.5 units
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            1:15pm 538 Kurumi Nara +210* vs Samantha Stosur to win 3.15 units
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            1:15pm 502 Silvia Soler-Espinosa -118* vs Magdalena Rybarikova 2.36 to win 2 units

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            2:45pm 126 Blaz Rola +132* vs Wayne Odesnik 2 to win 2.6 units
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            3:30pm E Bouchard -1.5 sets (-130) v B Jovanovski to win 4 units
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            8:15pm 530 Andrea Petkovic -112* vs Dominika Cibulkova 2.8 to win 2.5 units
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            Parlay: 2 to win 3 units
            C WOZNIACKI -1.5 sets -265
            v T BACSINSZKY
            A PETKOVIC -122 v D CIBULKOVA

            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #7
              Melzer has been practicing on hard lately getting ready for the US Open... He also won this tournament last year
              Comment
              • Cappinpicks
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-11-10
                • 14986

                #8
                espinosa is rytardikova's bitch today lol wow
                Comment
                • w@lt
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-08-10
                  • 2594

                  #9
                  Bouchard rolling so far...
                  Comment
                  • matt1216
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-27-11
                    • 14683

                    #10
                    Originally posted by SSVIR
                    Are you done with the curse? Need to know before I step up to the window with my wager.
                    Bud, I have actually done well the last couple weeks now... Just live wagers hurt.. The curse was pretty much my 0-14 run in tiebreakers
                    Comment
                    • Cappinpicks
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-11-10
                      • 14986

                      #11
                      Originally posted by w@lt
                      Bouchard rolling so far...
                      who cares? it was -400 lol
                      Comment
                      • w@lt
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-08-10
                        • 2594

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                        who cares? it was -400 lol
                        Well, SSVIR would care because he played her at -1.5 sets for -130. I care because I have her in a parlay. Thanks for the smart ass reply though.
                        Comment
                        • SSVIR
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-07-14
                          • 861

                          #13
                          Originally posted by w@lt
                          Bouchard rolling so far...
                          Comment
                          • SSVIR
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-07-14
                            • 861

                            #14
                            Added Petkovic. Line has dropped quite a bit from last night (-140) until just now (-112).
                            Comment
                            • SSVIR
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-07-14
                              • 861

                              #15
                              Wozniacki = surprised. I thought she'd have a hangover from playing so many hard court matches but figured she'd take a dive a little later in the week. Da' Fack.
                              Comment
                              • SSVIR
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-07-14
                                • 861

                                #16
                                B Rola =
                                Comment
                                • SSVIR
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 07-07-14
                                  • 861

                                  #17
                                  +7 units on the day.

                                  Let's do it again tomorrow.
                                  Comment
                                  • SSVIR
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-07-14
                                    • 861

                                    #18


                                    I knew I could count on Cibulkova to lose and she didn't let me down.
                                    Comment
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