Let's get the discussion rolling in here.
1:00pm Serena Williams -325 v Caroline Wozniacki +295
Both are beating everyone in front of them and they played to a close 3 set Serena win last week in Montreal. Serena leads the H2H 7-1. They are close friends and normally I would take a serious look at Woz as Serena has played a lot of tennis the last three weeks but they are in a points race and if Serena wins this and the Open she gets something along the lines of a $2M bonus. I would also have taken Woz had this match been played two matches ago but since then Serena has played two consistent baseline players in a row (Pennetta/Kankovic) and moved through them like a hot knife through butter so I doubt she has an unforced error meltdown like she is sometimes prone to do. Bottom line is I have no idea what I'm doing (if anything) in this match. Maybe Woz +5 games? Maybe the Over though that seems trappy since its what happened last week.
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3:00pm David Ferrer -235 v Julien Benneteau +215
The Gnat has really turned things around the last two + matches and Benne is paying well but is French so I loathe to pick Benne straight up but the OVER 21.5 (-120) and Benne +4 (-145) seem like good options.
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7:00pm Ana Ivanovic +180 v Maria Sharapova -195
I think this is Sharapova's match but it goes three sets. Ivanovic has been beating the ladies she is supposed to but losing to the big hitters she has played since hitting the hard courts (Vandeweghe in 3 tough sets and Serena in 3 tough sets). Sharapova has played five hard court matches this season and four have gone three sets (the other was 6-4 7-5) so I'm leaning heavy on what is sure to be a trap OVER when its posted.
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9:00pm Milos Raonic +167 v Roger Federer -178
Raonic really wants to make amends for his rout at Wimbledon and the post Murray match comments from Fed seem like a) he wants to keep Raonic under his thumb (5-0 lifetime) and b) even if he wins this tournament he will have a full week to rest for the Open. Fed can't be trusted as much as in prior years to ruthlessly win in 2 sets but I do think that he wins. No real props up yet to look at.
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1:00pm Serena Williams -325 v Caroline Wozniacki +295
Both are beating everyone in front of them and they played to a close 3 set Serena win last week in Montreal. Serena leads the H2H 7-1. They are close friends and normally I would take a serious look at Woz as Serena has played a lot of tennis the last three weeks but they are in a points race and if Serena wins this and the Open she gets something along the lines of a $2M bonus. I would also have taken Woz had this match been played two matches ago but since then Serena has played two consistent baseline players in a row (Pennetta/Kankovic) and moved through them like a hot knife through butter so I doubt she has an unforced error meltdown like she is sometimes prone to do. Bottom line is I have no idea what I'm doing (if anything) in this match. Maybe Woz +5 games? Maybe the Over though that seems trappy since its what happened last week.
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3:00pm David Ferrer -235 v Julien Benneteau +215
The Gnat has really turned things around the last two + matches and Benne is paying well but is French so I loathe to pick Benne straight up but the OVER 21.5 (-120) and Benne +4 (-145) seem like good options.
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7:00pm Ana Ivanovic +180 v Maria Sharapova -195
I think this is Sharapova's match but it goes three sets. Ivanovic has been beating the ladies she is supposed to but losing to the big hitters she has played since hitting the hard courts (Vandeweghe in 3 tough sets and Serena in 3 tough sets). Sharapova has played five hard court matches this season and four have gone three sets (the other was 6-4 7-5) so I'm leaning heavy on what is sure to be a trap OVER when its posted.
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9:00pm Milos Raonic +167 v Roger Federer -178
Raonic really wants to make amends for his rout at Wimbledon and the post Murray match comments from Fed seem like a) he wants to keep Raonic under his thumb (5-0 lifetime) and b) even if he wins this tournament he will have a full week to rest for the Open. Fed can't be trusted as much as in prior years to ruthlessly win in 2 sets but I do think that he wins. No real props up yet to look at.
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