8-4 Plays

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  • SSVIR
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-07-14
    • 861

    #1
    8-4 Plays
    12:00pm ATP Tennis 125 Benoit Paire -175* vs Alejandro Falla

    Ignoring my fade the French mantra b/c I like what I've seen the last couple of weeks from Paire on the hard courts.

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    12:00pm WTA Tennis 362 Sabine Lisicki +100* vs Sara Errani
    12:00pm WTA Tennis 362 Sabine Lisicki -120* vs Sara Errani


    Gut says Lisicki. Pretty evenly matched.
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    12:00pm WTA Tennis 370 Barbora Zahlavova Strycova +155* vs Roberta Vinci
    12:00pm WTA Tennis 372 B.Zahlavova Strycova Games +3 Games -118* vs R.Vinci

    Vinci is on a roll but Strycova is the more talented player and has had excellent results on faster courts.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    12:15pm ATP Tennis 130 Thanasi Kokkinakis +335* vs Kevin Anderson
    12:15pm ATP Tennis 132 T.Kokkinakis +4 Games -105* vs K.Anderson

    I don't like Anderson's game and he has cost me about a $15k swing in parlay/ML losses b/c he is a stiff. He will probably win but putting my money on the young Aussie.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1:00pm ATP Tennis 153 Lleyton Hewitt -210* vs Julien Benneteau

    Hewitt has had good results lately and is just mentally stronger than most on tour. Benneteau is French.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    2:30pm Challenger Tennis 804 Marco Cecchinato -330* vs Flavio Cipolla
    2:30pm Challenger Tennis 804 Marco Cecchinato -245* vs Flavio Cipolla

    Excellent clay court record/player wins.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    4:00pm WTA Tennis 310 Lucie Safarova -275* vs Sorana Cirstea

    Safarova better across the board.

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    7:00pm ATP Tennis 110 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -350* vs Edouard Roger-Vasselin

    Hopefully Tsonga shows up to play.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    7:00pm WTA Tennis 337 Flavia Pennetta -280* vs Yulia Putintseva

    Pennetta playing well.

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    8:15pm ATP Tennis 193 Peter Polansky +210* vs Jerzy Janowicz

    Night match probably on main court in front of his home crowd for Polansky. Janowicz has been underwhelming on all surfaces this year. Gunning for the upset.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    3:45pm Challenger Tennis 701 Ante Pavic -230* vs Marcos Giron
    3:45pm Challenger Tennis 701 Ante Pavic -245* vs Marcos Giron

    4:30pm Challenger Tennis 703 Illya Marchenko -210* vs Di **
    4:30pm Challenger Tennis 703 Illya Marchenko -215* vs Di **

    6:00pm Challenger Tennis 706 Mackenzie McDonald +220* vs Marton Fucsovics
    6:00pm Challenger Tennis 706 Mackenzie McDonald +175* vs Marton Fucsovics

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    8:45pm ATP Tennis 161 Roberto Bautista-Agut -210* vs Feliciano Lopez

    I have always liked Lopez's game and the fact he is lefty causes problems for right handed players to adjust to but Bautista-Agut is playing lights out.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    8:30pm WTA Tennis 374 Sloane Stephens -195* vs Aleksandra Wozniak

    Stephens is more talented, leads the H2H 2-1, has been playing better competition and hopefully shakes off her shitty play the last few weeks.

  • GoBlue77
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-20-11
    • 9166

    #2
    I will be playing Paire, Lisicki and Tsonga. 2 french dudes, god help me.

    Also, Cirstea will be defending 620 of her 1351 points here, she falls out of the top 70 if she loses to Safarova. Added pressure plus motivation, I will be laying off that one.
    Comment
    • Geoff_Saari
      SBR High Roller
      • 04-30-14
      • 166

      #3
      Nice. I got Hewitt and Isner for tomorrow.
      Comment
      • matt1216
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-27-11
        • 14683

        #4
        I like Hewitt, he looked good in Atlanta. He barely lost to Raonic
        Comment
        • kenz
          SBR MVP
          • 12-09-12
          • 4879

          #5
          I hate Hewitt. Bad for cholosterol
          Comment
          • SSVIR
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-07-14
            • 861

            #6
            Added a few more to the original post.
            Comment
            • SSVIR
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-07-14
              • 861

              #7
              Cilic is a turd. Up a break in the 3rd set .... and broken right back. This is like a WTA match.
              Comment
              • pattymayo
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-19-09
                • 10221

                #8
                Are you winning with this strategy of huge juice + tons of plays?
                Comment
                • kendy
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 07-22-14
                  • 67

                  #9
                  ^^ if she/he is not winning, will they continue?
                  Comment
                  • SSVIR
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-07-14
                    • 861

                    #10
                    Strycova is a winner.

                    Really fun match to watch actually.

                    Strycova was feisty as hell and both came to net a decent number of times and tried to dictate the points rather than just acting like backboards.

                    Strycova is a nicely put together package.

                    Comment
                    • SSVIR
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-07-14
                      • 861

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pattymayo
                      Are you winning with this strategy of huge juice + tons of plays?
                      Yes
                      Comment
                      • pattymayo
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 05-19-09
                        • 10221

                        #12
                        Originally posted by kendy
                        ^^ if she/he is not winning, will they continue?
                        Could be treading water ., I never see this guy post a record or unit gain / loss so just a question
                        Comment
                        • SSVIR
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-07-14
                          • 861

                          #13
                          Took out Matosevic plays b/c he withdrew.
                          Comment
                          • kendy
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 07-22-14
                            • 67

                            #14
                            @pattymayo you're right,tho he/she does post her results, but i think it wud be nice if @SSVIR starts posting/adding her allocated Units for each play.
                            Comment
                            • brodie
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-25-13
                              • 2212

                              #15
                              Originally posted by pattymayo
                              Are you winning with this strategy of huge juice + tons of plays?
                              Originally posted by pattymayo
                              Could be treading water ., I never see this guy post a record or unit gain / loss so just a question
                              yea i noticed this as well.. dude will update with a w/l record like it means anything without the amount of units won/lost.... you could go 6-4 and still be negative on the day playing some of the juice this guy is. I've never seen anybody consistently put single units (assuming that's what he's doing) on big chalk like this haha

                              that being said i do usually peep the threads so you should keep them coming, even if your reasoning behind your picks is pretty elementary

                              Originally posted by kendy
                              ^^ if she/he is not winning, will they continue?
                              i need to introduce you to my friend matt
                              Comment
                              • SSVIR
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-07-14
                                • 861

                                #16
                                I'm not looking for Internet cred or to establish some sort of following so not sure why you guys give a shit what my profit/loss is but regardless ...

                                I do most of my tennis wagers on 5D which limits me to $100 for Qualifiers and Challengers. When you see a double post its b/c I waited for the line to change to add to the size.

                                Most other wagers are $250-$400 with the occasional $500-$1500 wager.

                                I only post my thoughts to see what others are thinking and looking for opposing views so that I can sharpen my knowledge as the season progresses.
                                Comment
                                • brodie
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-25-13
                                  • 2212

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by SSVIR
                                  I'm not looking for Internet cred or to establish some sort of following so not sure why you guys give a shit what my profit/loss is but regardless ...

                                  I do most of my tennis wagers on 5D which limits me to $100 for Qualifiers and Challengers. When you see a double post its b/c I waited for the line to change to add to the size.

                                  Most other wagers are $250-$400 with the occasional $500-$1500 wager.

                                  I only post my thoughts to see what others are thinking and looking for opposing views so that I can sharpen my knowledge as the season progresses.
                                  lol then why do you bother updating every win and loss?
                                  Comment
                                  • SSVIR
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-07-14
                                    • 861

                                    #18
                                    Pavic getting smoked by Marcos Giron.

                                    Pavic has been playing regular tour matches the last two months with a 50/50 record and Giron is 400+ in the world and average on the Challenger tour.

                                    What did I miss on this one?
                                    Comment
                                    • FlipsideRM
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-28-11
                                      • 10518

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by SSVIR
                                      Strycova is a winner.

                                      Really fun match to watch actually.

                                      Strycova was feisty as hell and both came to net a decent number of times and tried to dictate the points rather than just acting like backboards.

                                      Strycova is a nicely put together package.

                                      lol at you literally posting the ONLY decent pic of her
                                      Comment
                                      • SSVIR
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 07-07-14
                                        • 861

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by FlipsideRM
                                        lol at you literally posting the ONLY decent pic of her
                                        There are some others but this is definitely the best one. Pretty damn good picture though.
                                        Comment
                                        • FlipsideRM
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-28-11
                                          • 10518

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by SSVIR
                                          There are some others but this is definitely the best one. Pretty damn good picture though.
                                          Yeah would definitely smash if she actually looked like that
                                          Comment
                                          • SSVIR
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-07-14
                                            • 861

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by SSVIR
                                            Pavic getting smoked by Marcos Giron.

                                            Pavic has been playing regular tour matches the last two months with a 50/50 record and Giron is 400+ in the world and average on the Challenger tour.

                                            What did I miss on this one?
                                            Pavic breaks at 4-5 and then wins the 2nd set TB 8-6.

                                            On to the 3rd set!
                                            Comment
                                            • pattymayo
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-19-09
                                              • 10221

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by brodie
                                              lol then why do you bother updating every win and loss?
                                              I don't get it either .. If you aren't looking for followers why even post picks and then update your post with the final result?

                                              And how are you seeking discussion when you're posting the picks after you've played them
                                              Comment
                                              • SSVIR
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 07-07-14
                                                • 861

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by pattymayo
                                                I don't get it either .. If you aren't looking for followers why even post picks and then update your post with the final result?

                                                And how are you seeking discussion when you're posting the picks after you've played them
                                                I'm making my own informed decisions and posting them. Others have expressed their opinions otherwise. I read them and take them into account for the next time.

                                                If you don't like it then GTFO.
                                                Comment
                                                • pattymayo
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-19-09
                                                  • 10221

                                                  #25
                                                  Would it kill you to post a record and your unit gains/ losses?

                                                  How else are we supposed to know how you're doing and if we should tail or not
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SSVIR
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-07-14
                                                    • 861

                                                    #26
                                                    Hewitt's serve smells like a dirty diaper wrapped in Indian food.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kendy
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 07-22-14
                                                      • 67

                                                      #27
                                                      @brodie u wrong for that 'matt' line....lmao.ha!.....matt is actually trying to get it 2geda, am happy for him hopefully he doesnt flip. Oan: am not a fan of lengthy write ups on picks or matches,short, straight & precise write ups does it for me. No need to go on about how this players forehand floats to the corner when he/she hits it or what stance he/she chooses to hit a backhand in a preview. Cause it's not a given that having a long a s s preview gurantees a WIN. @pattymayo am sure he'll do something about it
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SSVIR
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 07-07-14
                                                        • 861

                                                        #28
                                                        Marchenko getting crushed by **.

                                                        Surprising since Marchenko has had some decent wins recently and his losses were against good players (Pospisil,Matosevic) and ** has been hiding in China playing challengers.

                                                        As I type this he saves a couple match points and breaks serve to go back on serve 5-5 in the 2nd set.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SSVIR
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-07-14
                                                          • 861

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by SSVIR
                                                          Marchenko getting crushed by **.

                                                          Surprising since Marchenko has had some decent wins recently and his losses were against good players (Pospisil,Matosevic) and ** has been hiding in China playing challengers.

                                                          As I type this he saves a couple match points and breaks serve to go back on serve 5-5 in the 2nd set.
                                                          Marchenko takes the 2nd set 7-5.

                                                          W-U (not sure why it keeps correcting to **) has the worst serve I have ever seen. Literally just spins it in at 85 mph.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SSVIR
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 07-07-14
                                                            • 861

                                                            #30
                                                            Marchenko is done. Broken twice and down 3-0.

                                                            He's wilting under the pressure to hit 20 shots to win a point.

                                                            W-U is a backboard.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kendy
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 07-22-14
                                                              • 67

                                                              #31
                                                              ^^ errani 2.0..lol...bam! It becomes a bait for their opponent to overcook it.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SSVIR
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-07-14
                                                                • 861

                                                                #32
                                                                Loose service game by Kokk getting broken to lose the 2nd set is going to F UP my +4 games wager. Cost me two games by losing that and not being able to start the 3rd set serving. Damn.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SSVIR
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 07-07-14
                                                                  • 861

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by SSVIR
                                                                  Loose service game by Kokk getting broken to lose the 2nd set is going to F UP my +4 games wager. Cost me two games by losing that and not being able to start the 3rd set serving. Damn.
                                                                  YUP
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SSVIR
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-07-14
                                                                    • 861

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Added a couple more.

                                                                    Went from up 15 units to up 5 units after consecutive losses by Kokk, Hewitt, Marchenko, and McDonald.

                                                                    FACK
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SSVIR
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-07-14
                                                                      • 861

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Pannetta had the first set up 6-5 and love-40 to break .... and choked.

                                                                      Lost 5 straight points to lose that game and then 4 more to start the TB..... then climbs back to 5-5 in the TB and goes all Italian on me.

                                                                      Now she's going full blown Italian and getting beat like a drum in the 2nd set.
                                                                      Comment
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