Moar Threads? My Brand New Pick Outing Place

[fitguy67]

i'm interested...when the fave drops the first set but doesn't look like ABSOLUTE shit doing it...very often it simply creates lots of value =you get a much better than pre-game price (on either the match or on the upcoming set...)...

imo, here's a more appropriate place than there

[Hardcoar]

Errani just won four straight points on serve. Lickibitch to be broken up the ass in game no. 11. You can bank on it. This game is ovah.

[Hardcoar]

i'm interested...when the fave drops the first set but doesn't look like ABSOLUTE shit doing it...very often it simply creates lots of value =you get a much better than pre-game price (on either the match or on the upcoming set...)...

imo, here's a more appropriate place than there

I agree. I'll post the ones I like the most and actually bet.

[Hardcoar]

Errani just won four straight points on serve. Lickibitch to be broken up the ass in game no. 11. You can bank on it. This game is ovah.

OH YEEAAAAAAAAAAH!!!

DOUBLERUUUU FAULTERUUUUUUUUUU!!!

[Simon Gruber]

Fognini should win this 2nd set at some point, but I doubt you'd want to trust that guy - just got finished being crushed by Stosur

[fitguy67]

Errani just won four straight points on serve. Lickibitch to be broken up the ass in game no. 11. You can bank on it. This game is ovah.

errani is just one more maddening muff...just could...no, WOULD not hold serve to win the goddam match

[Hardcoar]

Verdasco @ 4

Utterly ridiculous

[Simon Gruber]

As long as Chillich covers the games I'll be happy, so 0-6,7-6,7-6?

[Hardcoar]

Isner @ 3+

[Hardcoar]

Aww

[Hardcoar]

Sharapova @ 4 almost down a set.

[Hardcoar]

Lamasine (vs Kovalik) @ 3

1:st is preferable if odds are above @ 2.5

[Hardcoar]

Qualies I like:

Barthel
Beck
Cirstea
Knapp
Konta
Wickmayer

[Hardcoar]

S. Wiliams down a break @ 1.72

[FlipsideRM]

S. Wiliams down a break @ 1.72

Played her to take the 2nd set at -140

[Hardcoar]

I figured those were pretty good odds considering she very often comes back to win even 1:st from a break down, and even if she loses 1:st 1-6 (which basically happened) she'll still only be @ 2.2 ML tops.

[Ronald S.]

HC do you like Benneteau to take a set today?

[Hardcoar]

I think his chances are at least as good as the odds would imply, but Ferrer wasn't bad overall yesterday either. I don't trust Benneteau enough and am just staying away myself, but if you like it I wouldn't say it's bad at least.

[Ronald S.]

Understood. Thanks as always for the insight!

[Simon Gruber]

Nice pick HC. I unfortunately missed the game handicap. Jemima!!!!

[ManeOnFire]

What % of your total bankroll do you bet on wagers (live or not)?

[Hardcoar]

It varies a great deal. Too much in general though.

Speaking of betting:

Look to lay Ivanovic a break or even set up (that means back or bet on Sharapova to win with Ivanovic in such a situation).

[poet]

Due to unfortunate circumstances, it is no longer feasible for me to maintain my previous thread, which included detailed gradings and results. In order to post my thoughts on bets worth a shot I am now starting this thread instead. Discussion and feedback is more than welcome.

I still don't get it, HC. Why couldn't you simply transfer your old record here (wins/losses/units wagered/etc) and continue from there? And why are you no longer posting your new bets in the old style (with units won/lost etc)? Did someone tell you you couldn't?

[ManeOnFire]

It varies a great deal. Too much in general though.

Speaking of betting:

Look to lay Ivanovic a break or even set up (that means back or bet on Sharapova to win with Ivanovic in such a situation).

Too much in general...That has worked out well though?

[Hardcoar]

Sharapova down a break and a hold @ 2.5.

Down a set @ 3.25 and above also looks good.

[Hardcoar]

Kovalik @ 3.3

[Hardcoar]

I still don't get it, HC. Why couldn't you simply transfer your old record here (wins/losses/units wagered/etc) and continue from there? And why are you no longer posting your new bets in the old style (with units won/lost etc)? Did someone tell you you couldn't?

Because I'm currently not using any bookmaker. All my trading is done on Betfair as of a few weeks ago. It's simply not practical given the way Betfair operates, both in terms of what odds bets are actually matched at, as well as deduction of commission from potential winnings.

[Hardcoar]

Too much in general...That has worked out well though?

It does so long as you're winning.

[Hardcoar]

Barthel @ 1.95

[Hardcoar]

Knapp @ 2.24

[Hardcoar]

Soler-Espinosa set down @ 4+

[Hardcoar]

Anderson down set and hold @ 3.5

[Hardcoar]

Daniel @ 2.5
Pavlovic @ 2.5

[Hardcoar]

Giorgi @ 3.1 down a set

[Hardcoar]

Rosol @ 2.9 one set all