Bastad/Stuttgart/Newport

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  • Chaz22
    SBR MVP
    • 09-30-10
    • 1152

    #1
    Bastad/Stuttgart/Newport
    As always going for 2.00+ odds only

    Bastad

    #
    Hanescu @ 2.28

    Both are good enough for each other, but Victor has a better serve and in close match-ups he tends to come out as winner more than a looser.

    #
    Ramos @ 2.45

    Vesely has improved this season and played some good tennis on clay as well, but will be tough against a tricky Ramos who lives on cheap clay tours. Ramos had some good Qualifiers to practice his game so he should win this as well. Thought about 2-0 here as well, but Vesely can probably fight hard for one set so better take this.

    #
    Albot @ 2.27
    Albot seems to be in good form, and Kenny is more a hard court player so think this is worth a risk.

    #
    D.Brown @ 3.10
    Will be interesting to see if Busta can adapt against the Brown's offered game. German's mentality pushes him to play better when being a dog.


    Stuttgart

    #
    Zverev A. @ 3.82
    This is the match of the day so far for me as I think in-form youngster who just won a challenger can pull of a win against unstable Rosol.



    will add more bets as matches go underway
  • kenz
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-12
    • 4879

    #2
    Originally posted by Chaz22
    As always going for 2.00+ odds only

    Bastad

    #
    Hanescu @ 2.28

    Both are good enough for each other, but Victor has a better serve and in close match-ups he tends to come out as winner more than a looser.

    #
    Ramos @ 2.45

    Vesely has improved this season and played some good tennis on clay as well, but will be tough against a tricky Ramos who lives on cheap clay tours. Ramos had some good Qualifiers to practice his game so he should win this as well. Thought about 2-0 here as well, but Vesely can probably fight hard for one set so better take this.

    #
    Albot @ 2.27
    Albot seems to be in good form, and Kenny is more a hard court player so think this is worth a risk.

    #
    D.Brown @ 3.10
    Will be interesting to see if Busta can adapt against the Brown's offered game. German's mentality pushes him to play better when being a dog.


    Stuttgart

    #
    Zverev A. @ 3.82
    This is the match of the day so far for me as I think in-form youngster who just won a challenger can pull of a win against unstable Rosol.



    will add more bets as matches go underway
    Quite the opposite for Hanescu, he is also a choker. Clash of the chokers

    BOL Chaz in your plays, hope it will be a green day
    Comment
    • kenz
      SBR MVP
      • 12-09-12
      • 4879

      #3
      Andujar is horrible today. Will be quite the surprise if he wins this
      Comment
      • kenz
        SBR MVP
        • 12-09-12
        • 4879

        #4
        Hanescu to break game 14 was @3.75. I did not play, but maybe I should
        Comment
        • matt1216
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-27-11
          • 14683

          #5
          add Krajicek ML @2.70

          Saville ML + Kuznetsov +1.5 sets @2.00
          Comment
          • zec
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-03-14
            • 548

            #6
            Ah, I see, now you are hiding picks in here so people can't bash you in your thread, smart move
            Comment
            • pattymayo
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-19-09
              • 10221

              #7
              Originally posted by zec
              Ah, I see, now you are hiding picks in here so people can't bash you in your thread, smart move
              Unreal
              Comment
              • Zwong
                SBR Hustler
                • 05-18-14
                • 92

                #8
                Wow, so many underdogs winning today at the Bastad tournament, it's freaking surreal. Could have bought your wife a diamond ring if you just bet on all of the underdogs today.
                Comment
                • SirtySree
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-19-13
                  • 2370

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Zwong
                  Wow, so many underdogs winning today at the Bastad tournament, it's freaking surreal. Could have bought your wife a diamond ring if you just bet on all of the underdogs today.
                  It's a 250 tourney so sometimes the big guns dont show too much motivation. Also a lot of players wont be use to the slowness and bounciness of the surface. Fading the big servers would be good here and putting your money on players that can rally with good ground strokes.
                  Comment
                  • Chaz22
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-30-10
                    • 1152

                    #10
                    adding...

                    Bastad


                    #
                    Olivo +1.5 sets @ 2.39

                    More betting against worn out old-man Mathiue. He may win this, but Olivo can surely take a set away.
                    Comment
                    • Primer
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 04-26-14
                      • 48

                      #11
                      Good call on albot. Kenny was a huge choker
                      Comment
                      • Cappinpicks
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-11-10
                        • 14986

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Zwong
                        Wow, so many underdogs winning today at the Bastad tournament, it's freaking surreal. Could have bought your wife a diamond ring if you just bet on all of the underdogs today.
                        sickening parlaying them all would have bought a yacht for each
                        Comment
                        • Chaz22
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-30-10
                          • 1152

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Cappinpicks
                          sickening parlaying them all would have bought a yacht for each
                          .uckin D.Brown lost it, so no yachts for anyone....

                          here's a parlay for you that might boost your financing up

                          Renzo Olivo 4.44 X Peter Polansky 3.20 X Facundo Arguello 8.46 >>> total odds around @ 120

                          Try it.
                          Comment
                          • Cappinpicks
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-11-10
                            • 14986

                            #14
                            well knew brown was gonna lose it, but until that one all upsets
                            Comment
                            • matt1216
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-27-11
                              • 14683

                              #15
                              Originally posted by zec
                              Ah, I see, now you are hiding picks in here so people can't bash you in your thread, smart move
                              If any of you value cash in here I would jump on Krajicek as your last play at sweet odds today. 2.70 still.
                              Comment
                              • Simon Gruber
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-02-13
                                • 2342

                                #16
                                Polansky is just worthless. auto-fade for me the entire summer
                                Comment
                                • matt1216
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 14683

                                  #17
                                  Saville is on a roll, Polansky's worst surface is grass
                                  Comment
                                  • Chaz22
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-30-10
                                    • 1152

                                    #18
                                    Bastad

                                    #
                                    Lajovic @ 224
                                    On clay Janowitz is even worse than on any other surface and Lajovic has improved this year.

                                    Stuttgart

                                    #
                                    Becker @ 2.99
                                    Ok, I also went for this knowing that Becker sucks ass on clay but then again Paire has had awful season so far so german on german clay might have a chance here.
                                    Comment
                                    • SirtySree
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-19-13
                                      • 2370

                                      #19
                                      wot clay is jerzy's best surface and hard court is his worst. i think the matchup is a coin flip so there is a bit of value on lajovic
                                      Comment
                                      • Chaz22
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-30-10
                                        • 1152

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by SirtySree
                                        wot clay is jerzy's best surface and hard court is his worst. i think the matchup is a coin flip so there is a bit of value on lajovic
                                        Yeah, Janowitz is so good on clay....

                                        adding to

                                        Bastad

                                        #
                                        Ymer +1.5 sets @ 2.15

                                        Sousa is a classier player but he had a free pass in 1st round so I doubt he will be ready to rock. Ymer surprised Kukushkin so he can take at least a set here as well
                                        Comment
                                        • Chaz22
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-30-10
                                          • 1152

                                          #21
                                          Bastad

                                          #
                                          Lorenzi @ 2.34
                                          I saw Busta playing against Doo Doo and i did not like what i saw. Lorenzi can get a win here.Stuttgart

                                          #
                                          Youzhny @ 2.14
                                          I'll give a chance to Youzhny. Mayer is playing good lately but he can also get tired or something, wasn't very impressive against Berrer so Youzhny might have a chance.
                                          Comment
                                          • Chaz22
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-30-10
                                            • 1152

                                            #22
                                            Bastad

                                            #
                                            Ramos @ 2.37
                                            I can't see Nando playing well here. Yes, he likes clay, yes he is a better player, but he is so unstable and Ramos has some good matches under his belt already, while Nando has been waiting.

                                            Stuttgart

                                            #
                                            Becker +1.5 sets @ 2.37
                                            Can Becker take at least a set? Doubtful, Del Bonis looked really good in his first match against Monaco, then again you never know what to expect from Becker.
                                            Comment
                                            • Chaz22
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-30-10
                                              • 1152

                                              #23
                                              Bastad

                                              #
                                              Olivo +1.5 sets @ 2.15

                                              You got to give this guy a credit for getting in 1/4's and beating old man Robredo.
                                              I don't think Cuevas who is more experienced in this level will be so overwhelming and this can be a long match.


                                              Stuttgart

                                              #
                                              GG Lopez @ 2.64

                                              Even though Bautista has been playing very well this season i think it will be very even today and GG Lopez might be fresher.
                                              Comment
                                              • Chaz22
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-30-10
                                                • 1152

                                                #24
                                                adding Parlay >>

                                                Carreno Busta +1.5 sets * Fognini -1.5 sets * Ferrer -5.5 * Rosol ML * Lajovic ML * Del Bonis ML

                                                Here of course the alarms are about Fognini who can lay off a set and then destroy his opponent. Giraldo may just be to weak for him on clay and Fognini is motivated to go deep into this tourn.

                                                Ferrer's huge handicap is the play because saw him yesterday and he was on fire as always, Berlocq on the other hand struggled. Think Ferrer will blast one set here and should cover.

                                                Rosol is feeling good and should overpower Lopez who may finally feel some tiredness after the unreal grass season.

                                                Lajovic is just more reliable then Sousa especially on clay.

                                                Del Bonis will fire through Youzhny but this promises to be entertaining. If parlay is still on till this game I might back up Youzhny a bit.

                                                Busta i think can win this match but this most likely will go the distance because of Nando who is famous for his ups and downs vs anyone.

                                                total odds are around 75
                                                Comment
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