Wednesday QF - Nadal V Ferrer

[JC1186]

Almost there.

Thoughts?

Ferrer playing at a very high standard but of course he's Rafa's little bitch.

I'm expecting something around the 1.34/3.75 mark.

There's a lot to think about in this one.

[frugalgambler]

Nadal's payout is not gonna be higher than 1.2, and it is gonna be higher than 1.1 only b/c Nadal lost to Ferrer recently and b/c of some injury concerns. If it was 1.3+ I'd be all over it. Most likely, Ferrer will lose this match before stepping on the court.

[tipsadontlikehim]

Nadal's payout is not gonna be higher than 1.2, and it is gonna be higher than 1.1 only b/c Nadal lost to Ferrer recently and b/c of some injury concerns. If it was 1.3+ I'd be all over it. Most likely, Ferrer will lose this match before stepping on the court.

This. Maybe 1.25 not more IMO... books are aware it's a best of 5 match.

[zec]

I think around 1.15; Nadal looked great today, I am changing my opinion to no chance Ferrer beats him.

[Chaz22]

I also think Nadal will win, but Rafa has not been tested yet while Ferrer had to up his game a bit today. Im not sure if these 4 easy rounds did good to Nadal. Don't think it's gonna be clear path for him against Ferrer.

[tipsadontlikehim]

1.17 on bwin right now http://www.oddsportal.com/tennis/fra...avid-4Yn6lxYd/

[frugalgambler]

I would put zero weight into today's performance by Nadal. That was a heavyweight going against a featherweight. I am kicking myself for not taking Nadal's GL: I remembered vividly how Lajovic was destroyed by Step in the deciding Davis Cup match, on clay too. Instead of parlaying Nadal 3-0 & Ferrer 3-0, I shoulda just taken Nadal -11 (or whatever it was).

[frugalgambler]

1.17 seems a bit too low. Maybe Ferrer's setline or gameline will have some value; but then again maybe not.

[JC1186]

Glad to be so wrong. Ferrer @ 7's on Betfair.

So about 1.80 or so to win a set.

[zec]

I would put zero weight into today's performance by Nadal. That was a heavyweight going against a featherweight. I am kicking myself for not taking Nadal's GL: I remembered vividly how Lajovic was destroyed by Step in the deciding Davis Cup match, on clay too. Instead of parlaying Nadal 3-0 & Ferrer 3-0, I shoulda just taken Nadal -11 (or whatever it was).

I guess not so vividly to remember it was indoor hard surface