La Monf

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  • professionalAD
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-29-14
    • 941

    #1
    La Monf
    why shouldnt i unload on him tomoro at -150? im actually willing to listen to u guys this time since i lost that tsonga jano over lol
  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #2
    I like him regardless of my GG Lopez future. As a whole I think people on this forum dont trust Feasel with a 10 foot pole, but I think due to the favorable draw motivation and the home crowd, he is going to get it done. He is still available at 100-1 to win it by the way.Most likely a loser, but you never know if he can win 2 matches(very feasible) and only 1 joker bad day away from a finals appearance vs Nadal.
    Comment
    • professionalAD
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-29-14
      • 941

      #3
      yea man thats what im sayin. monfils has been in this position before, GGL has never been. monfils will get behind the crowd and win 3-1 i believe. i just hope hes not too winded
      Comment
      • matt1216
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-27-11
        • 14683

        #4
        Originally posted by professionalAD
        why shouldnt i unload on him tomoro at -150? im actually willing to listen to u guys this time since i lost that tsonga jano over lol
        As the last standing Frenchman, he will have the support. I think it's a excellent price too!
        Comment
        • professionalAD
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-29-14
          • 941

          #5
          thats what im sayin matty! may do it to win 2 gs... lets roll
          Comment
          • GoBlue77
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-20-11
            • 9166

            #6
            Originally posted by professionalAD
            thats what im sayin matty! may do it to win 2 gs... lets roll
            caution. he was VERY tired, thats why he didn't even try in that 0-6 set and his ankle isn't 100%. i'd be worried about laying large on him here. not sure yet here but i was leaning lopez, haven't decided yet. i'd feel more confident going 2g on verdasco to be honest.
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #7
              Originally posted by GoBlue77
              caution. he was VERY tired, thats why he didn't even try in that 0-6 set and his ankle isn't 100%. i'd be worried about laying large on him here. not sure yet here but i was leaning lopez, haven't decided yet. i'd feel more confident going 2g on verdasco to be honest.
              He was playin in up... Watch set 5 again with Monfils, everytime Fognini pressed the issue Monfils pushed even harder back...it was clever on Monfilis part

              I may have a play on Verdasco as well... Solid price imo
              Comment
              • amolg24
                SBR Sharp
                • 04-26-13
                • 373

                #8
                Scary to go against Murray, he never gives up and plays well down. Not many players more talented and motivated than Murray. I think Murray wins against Verdasco IMO.
                Comment
                • professionalAD
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-29-14
                  • 941

                  #9
                  may just skip this and hammer cska. euro bball is my thing, dont think tennis is lol
                  Comment
                  • tipsadontlikehim
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-14-13
                    • 2569

                    #10
                    GGL is a tough player
                    I didn't think Fognini played really well ... GGL can beat Monfils IMO, won't bet on this match
                    Comment
                    • frugalgambler
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-30-13
                      • 3418

                      #11
                      Yeah Monfils looked a bit vulnerable vs Fognini, but GGL struggling to beat freaking Donald Young ? How was that not a shaky performance ? I smell a 5-setter.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        C'mon learn from the 1st time - NORMAL SIZE bets. Tennis is a sport where you do not need to "unload" or "go big" ... especially not on a match like this. It's like trying to win a five set match every week ... you can't go balls out the 1st two sets and then limp to the finish as you get bageled by the books. Simplify, it'll add units to your bankroll even when you lose.

                        You can kill a lot of quality work with one poor :big: bet.
                        Comment
                        • bababooey13
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-13
                          • 1897

                          #13
                          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                          C'mon learn from the 1st time - NORMAL SIZE bets. Tennis is a sport where you do not need to "unload" or "go big" ... especially not on a match like this. It's like trying to win a five set match every week ... you can't go balls out the 1st two sets and then limp to the finish as you get bageled by the books. Simplify, it'll add units to your bankroll even when you lose.

                          You can kill a lot of quality work with one poor :big: bet.
                          you always buzzkill me with your truthful reasoning.
                          Comment
                          • kenz
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-09-12
                            • 4879

                            #14
                            Not a fan of GGL's style. Soft player, he does not hit hard. Presuure may be on him after Wawrinka. He looked very vulnerable against Mannarino and Young. But Monfils beat the laziest performance in RG

                            Take over
                            Comment
                            • professionalAD
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-29-14
                              • 941

                              #15
                              im done posting here ppl always talk me out of big plays good luck pce
                              Comment
                              • sluggy1616
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-21-13
                                • 1317

                                #16
                                Originally posted by professionalAD
                                im done posting here ppl always talk me out of big plays good luck pce
                                Yeah dude I learned that lesson also. You should start a thread. If I'm going to look for plays to make, I always do my work before looking at the forum and post them in my thread. I like having a thread because it has kept me from making a lot of stupid low value plays that I know I shouldn't play and would be embarrassed to post so I don't make them.
                                I like looking at the forum because there are alot of great gold nuggets I pick up after the fact from some of the really sharp posters. It is great to see how experienced posters think about matches and how much of their roll they will lay on a single match and how I have learned that the tennis season is a marathon and not a sprint. There's always another match to evaluate!!!
                                Comment
                                • Bumdeal
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-17-13
                                  • 3954

                                  #17
                                  bet big every time you think you have a good pick and see how that fares for you.

                                  EP was correct in telling you consistent, responsible betting is strategy conducive to long term success.

                                  you were right this time, but will you be the next time? or will you blow your bankroll?
                                  Comment
                                  • WalkingLuckCharm
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-07-10
                                    • 4192

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by professionalAD
                                    im done posting here ppl always talk me out of big plays good luck pce
                                    or the majority of plays posted are usually losers.... should just fade everyone
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #19
                                      It's your call at the end of the day. For every big bet you win, there's one you lose or two or three. Seen a lot of guys on here who hit 55% or better, but are barely even or losing units because of this strategy.

                                      It's personal preference because hitting the Lotto is rare and keeping your winnings after, rarer still. If you're in this to get rich quick, good luck it's tough.
                                      Comment
                                      • bababooey13
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-13
                                        • 1897

                                        #20
                                        you asked for reasons why you shouldn't go big, you got them, then you shit on them for being given.
                                        Comment
                                        • Vinnie Paz
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-27-12
                                          • 12177

                                          #21
                                          Don't let guys on here talk you on or off plays....been down that road many times and it rarely works in my favor . I makr all my picks before I even come on here*for this*very purpose. Trust yourself and fire the fukk away. Trust me when I find that monster play theres not a soul on earth talking me off it. GL man hope you come back
                                          Comment
                                          • professionalAD
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-29-14
                                            • 941

                                            #22
                                            alright guys im sorry was just frustrated. im being a scared gambler for some reason, i talk myself in and out of bets. no more bullshiiting. will start my own thread with tennis and my euro ball expertise. ill give u guys a winner tomorrow. bulgaria bball. lukoil -165. home vs levski. lukoil playing in game 5 at home (last game of finals). lukoil winners of the league last 3 years, they come out on top tomorrow. theyve beaten levski 6/9 times at home. lukoil also 20-5 at home.

                                            lukoil 1650/1000
                                            Comment
                                            • w@lt
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-08-10
                                              • 2594

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by professionalAD
                                              alright guys im sorry was just frustrated. im being a scared gambler for some reason, i talk myself in and out of bets. no more bullshiiting. will start my own thread with tennis and my euro ball expertise. ill give u guys a winner tomorrow. bulgaria bball. lukoil -165. home vs levski. lukoil playing in game 5 at home (last game of finals). lukoil winners of the league last 3 years, they come out on top tomorrow. theyve beaten levski 6/9 times at home. lukoil also 20-5 at home.

                                              lukoil 1650/1000
                                              Will 5dimes offer this? It's not up ATM.
                                              Comment
                                              • professionalAD
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-29-14
                                                • 941

                                                #24
                                                yes. i use 5dimes and local. 5dimes will put it up in the AM man. theyve had the series all week. lets get this cream.
                                                Comment
                                                • w@lt
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-08-10
                                                  • 2594

                                                  #25
                                                  Sweet. I will blindly follow.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • professionalAD
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-29-14
                                                    • 941

                                                    #26
                                                    cheers walt
                                                    Comment
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