My Large "Must Play" for French Open Round 1

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  • JC1186
    SBR MVP
    • 02-21-14
    • 1070

    #1
    My Large "Must Play" for French Open Round 1
    So just the quick glance at the French Open markets. One match stood out and I've given it a lot of thought. Then some more. Now I've gone ahead and placed it. Decided to play it hard.

    Tennis – French Open
    Wawrinka vs Guillermo Garcia-Lopez
    Selection: Guillermo Garcia-Lopez

    Odds of 7.160.
    Stake = 7.5 units.

    Wawa was often underrated. Now that he's won a Grand Slam and the recent Madrid Masters, he's overrated for sure. I've seen enough of both players to know I'm happy with my stakes.

    Given my bets size I really hope the odds don't drift out. I've got a hunch they'll actually come in a little which is why I pounced.

  • kenz
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-12
    • 4879

    #2
    If you can afford to bet $750 on GGL you dont need to worry if your bet wins or loses

    BOL JC
    Comment
    • kenz
      SBR MVP
      • 12-09-12
      • 4879

      #3
      Hope the better version of GGL shows up
      Comment
      • bababooey13
        SBR MVP
        • 11-13-13
        • 1897

        #4
        Comment
        • matt1216
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-27-11
          • 14683

          #5
          Originally posted by JC1186
          So just the quick glance at the French Open markets. One match stood out and I've given it a lot of thought. Then some more. Now I've gone ahead and placed it. Decided to play it hard.

          Tennis – French Open
          Wawrinka vs Guillermo Garcia-Lopez
          Selection: Guillermo Garcia-Lopez

          Odds of 7.160.
          Stake = 7.5 units.

          Wawa was often underrated. Now that he's won a Grand Slam and the recent Madrid Masters, he's overrated for sure. I've seen enough of both players to know I'm happy with my stakes.

          Given my bets size I really hope the odds don't drift out. I've got a hunch they'll actually come in a little which is why I pounced.

          the way wawrinka has been playing, I would suggest the odds to be around 3.5....good luck
          Comment
          • kenz
            SBR MVP
            • 12-09-12
            • 4879

            #6
            When GGL plays good he is good, when he is bad he is horrible.

            Talking from experinece, backed GGL a lot of times to see his 2 extremes. BOL JC
            Comment
            • Hardcoar
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-17-13
              • 15606

              #7
              Holy shit those are high odds!

              P.S: Wawrinka got anally raped in Madrid.
              Comment
              • beefcake
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-26-09
                • 14029

                #8
                GG Fukking LOPEZ!! Already on it for 3 dollars..You my friend are a rich bastard..More power to ya!!!
                Comment
                • tipsadontlikehim
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-14-13
                  • 2569

                  #9
                  Very nice odds indeed
                  also check Golubev's odds they are the same... good luck, if GGL takes a nice start you can hedge easily
                  Comment
                  • rmx
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 02-24-14
                    • 161

                    #10
                    interesting game.
                    Comment
                    • kenz
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-12
                      • 4879

                      #11
                      Comment
                      • tennis005
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-27-14
                        • 386

                        #12
                        You may have something here...Bigger Balls than me to do ML, figured it would go a close 4 or 5
                        Comment
                        • tipsadontlikehim
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-14-13
                          • 2569

                          #13
                          Go Guillermo,
                          Stan is clearly in a bad day it's hilarious to watch
                          Comment
                          • brodie
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-25-13
                            • 2212

                            #14
                            wow lol i just started watching and the 1st game in the 4th set was just a disaster for stan... ggl looking real good
                            Comment
                            • rmx
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 02-24-14
                              • 161

                              #15
                              congratz
                              Comment
                              • brodie
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-25-13
                                • 2212

                                #16
                                unforced errors: wawa 60 ggl 26
                                lol
                                Comment
                                • Hardcoar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-17-13
                                  • 15606

                                  #17
                                  Free money.
                                  Comment
                                  • tipsadontlikehim
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-14-13
                                    • 2569

                                    #18
                                    Yeah man!!!!!!!!!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • tsimmns
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-23-13
                                      • 677

                                      #19
                                      Nice hit, wish I would have tailed for a small amount.
                                      Comment
                                      • tipsadontlikehim
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-14-13
                                        • 2569

                                        #20
                                        just curious JC (don't answer if don't want to), what's the size of your bank ?
                                        Comment
                                        • bababooey13
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-13
                                          • 1897

                                          #21
                                          holy shit.
                                          Comment
                                          • ParlayininHTown
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 06-27-10
                                            • 7561

                                            #22
                                            Nailed it. Nice job.
                                            Comment
                                            • sluggy1616
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-21-13
                                              • 1317

                                              #23
                                              Nice hit!!
                                              Comment
                                              • kenz
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-09-12
                                                • 4879

                                                #24
                                                Great job JC!

                                                Out and celebrating?
                                                Comment
                                                • JC1186
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-21-14
                                                  • 1070

                                                  #25
                                                  Thanks fellas. Missed the match and I'm surprised just how easily GGL did it. Then again there's a huge part of me who isn't at all.

                                                  Very happy for all those who got on.

                                                  I live in (the ridiculously beautiful) Australia Kenz. Arrived in Singapore last night for a longish stint and crashed at about 9pm local time. So awoke a couple of hours ago to the good news.

                                                  I'll certainly have a good stiff drink or three tonight.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • da_hustla
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 01-22-14
                                                    • 89

                                                    #26
                                                    Great call man, and you weren't shy about your stake either
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JC1186
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-21-14
                                                      • 1070

                                                      #27
                                                      My second Large "Must Play" of the French Open.

                                                      I've been patiently waiting for the moment to oppose Gulbis and have anticipated this match for a couple days now. Stepanek is precisely the man I want for the job, and I was excited to see the draw bring these two guys together. The veteran certainly has the tools. Attitude, persistence, cleverness, adaptability and most importantly, the mental prowess on the big stage (think Davis Cup).

                                                      Gulbis' recent form and dominant record against him only improves the odds I'm getting. The two factors don't bother me much in this matchup (for various reasons). Either does Stepanek's relatively poor record on clay. I know this will be closely contested and there is significant value here.

                                                      Wish me luck.

                                                      Comment
                                                      • brodie
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-25-13
                                                        • 2212

                                                        #28
                                                        no fukkking way! thhis dudes gonna bury me, i got gulby in some big parlays tomorrow
                                                        Comment
                                                        • kenz
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-09-12
                                                          • 4879

                                                          #29
                                                          I dont wish you luck as I have Gulbis in a $75 parlay
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JC1186
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-21-14
                                                            • 1070

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by kenz
                                                            I dont wish you luck as I have Gulbis in a $75 parlay
                                                            Haha. Well at least I don't see a "I wish you bad luck" in there.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Perilsend5
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 12

                                                              #31
                                                              Im in. Going for Stepanek!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JC1186
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-21-14
                                                                • 1070

                                                                #32
                                                                Double dipping Sexy!



                                                                A touch under 10 units all up.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Perilsend5
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                                  • 12

                                                                  #33
                                                                  This will be my first time betting tennis. Lets win this together JC!!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JC1186
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-21-14
                                                                    • 1070

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Perilsend5
                                                                    This will be my first time betting tennis. Lets win this together JC!!!
                                                                    It would certainly be a sweet victory. Just be careful with your staking. I'm not an idiot and I can afford to bet big (considering the odds) here. First and foremost it's a value bet.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • tipsadontlikehim
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-14-13
                                                                      • 2569

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I like the play. Of course it could lose but given Gulbis's mental midget when playing in grand slams, it's a 65/35 for Gulbis and not more, so yes good value on Stepanek.
                                                                      Comment
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