Federer's motivation in Roma: big question mark

[tipsadontlikehim]

article in french http://www.lequipe.fr/Tennis/Actuali...peu-dur/464937 but basically i read several articles and in all of them, he says he'd better be at home with his children... the last week he lived the most memorable moments of his life as a person bla bla
Basically he says he misses his children a lot already and it doesn't matter if he wins 1 match or 5 matches in Roma.

Good fade material IMO

I am gonna start with Chardy +6 @1.44 seems good

[frugalgambler]

Not the right opp to fade Feds I think, but interesting insight.

[Chaz22]

1.44 ... good one

[tipsadontlikehim]

1.44 ... good one

what did you expect ? Chardy +8 @2.50 ?

[Chaz22]

what did you expect ? Chardy +8 @2.50 ?

i expect u play at least Chardy +1.5 sets on 3.35 or go home with your pointless 1.44

[tipsadontlikehim]

i expect u play at least Chardy +1.5 sets on 3.35 or go home with your pointless 1.44

it's my money not yours
i play whatever i want allright

[bababooey13]

ya i took chardy to win a set really small. feel fed is ripe to fade but it's chardy. and he's french.

[Chaz22]

sure, sure play your 1.44

[tipsadontlikehim]

sure, sure play your 1.44

again, i'm sharing an article, that's all.
I am not sure why you care so much about my play actually.
It's up to you to play Chardy takes a set (like bababooey decided to play) or anything else on this match, or nothing.

[Chaz22]

im just questioning why do you come up with an article post and then decide to go for "safe" play on 1.44

so what's next? if you win....you go for next 1.44 bet....let's say you win again...you go for next 1.44....the chance for you to lose 1 of those 3 bets is pretty high and your balance will be negative....and imagine that Chardy does take a set from Fed....what then? you would miss a chance....i don't see any value to this bet....
what if he wins a tiebreaker and then loses 1-6, 1-6 ? it's just not a takeable bet....but you go for that.

[tipsadontlikehim]

I go for that because I don't think Chardy takes a set and I saw many times Handicap games screwed for 1 game.
I am actually playing a lot of handicap games + "safe" like you said @around 1.50
I noticed that's the way I win when betting tennis.

So far i am 17-5-2 since january.
many of them were won for 1 game actually (and 2 were voided).

The sample is way too small i am aware of it, but we'll see in the long term.
I know last year i was something like 22-6-3 in july/august...

Then it's up to you guys if you want to trust Chardy... or play nothing and wait for Round 3. We'll obviously know more about Federer after his match today

[tipsadontlikehim]

and yeah like it has been said, Chardy is french so i'll go for the small odds this time

[Chaz22]

well, if that's your winning formula BOL to u!

[tipsadontlikehim]

thanks dude and good luck with your plays!

[Dmoneytx]

Federer gonna get ousted by the French timebomb Chardy????

Ewwww...

Motivation or not tips, that is embarrassing for Roger Federer IMO..

[Dmoneytx]

Chardy misses a SITTER volley to go up 5-3 in the third set, OMG!!! I can't believe he lets Federer back into this match, wow...



***Sorry to blow up this thread tips, I JUST woke up & took kids to school and I walk into this match where the crowd is going crazy for Federer & I am watching a huge comeback, good stuff

[EaglesPhan36]

Nice find. I'd never back Chardy because he's my albatross, but good for the OP.

[Dmoneytx]

On top of that, Chardy gets SO fukked by the "chair" umpire, omg...

He bombed a first serve & chair calls it out, clearly in so Federer wipes away the mark & he nets his next first serve, loses point & game to be back on serve 4-4, wow!!!

Bad break, but he should of made that EASY volley to go up 5-3, what a match now...

[tipsadontlikehim]

happy for the guys who took Chardy to win a set

now just for fun, come on frenchy !

[Dmoneytx]

Good hit on this play tips!!! Chardy has to hold to go to breaker now, Fed up 6-5 in the third..

[Dmoneytx]

Chardy +750 gonna cash??? Wow, lol...

[w@lt]

Fuking embarrassing.

[Cappinpicks]

chardy +800 cash like OKC last night

[beefcake]

Never have twins and fly to Rome to play tennis..Even French bastards can beat you..

[tipsadontlikehim]

CHARDY THE MAN!! what a shot on the match point against him!!

[Dmoneytx]

Federer =

[Cappinpicks]

Federer =

Atleast hes not as bad as Kyle Edmond.. guy was -160 and looked like dogshit all match as expected

[Dmoneytx]

I feel bad for those who took Federer money line today..

Guy had the match on his raquet & couldn't beat Chardy..

Twins or not, once in that breaker - he tried 110%, Fed got owned..

[tipsadontlikehim]

who seriously backed Federer at...what, 1.10?

[Dmoneytx]

who seriously backed Federer at...what, 1.10?

I think he was -900. And I don't know, but I am sure 1,000's of people did, right???

They said Chardy should keep that shirt - prob his biggest win of his life, LOL

[Dmoneytx]

I keep passing out at night & I am missing almost all the tennis matches in Italy, LOL...

Still hurting from that LAC loss on ML last night, GROSS!!!

Chris Paul should be wearing a bullet proof vest for 24 hrs, LOL...

[tipsadontlikehim]

biggest win of Chardy was in Australia over Del Potro, remember

Yes i know some noobs will put Federer in a parlay... (i'm no noob and will do once in a while )

Living in Taiwan now and it's great because matches start at 5pm until late at night, just perfect

[aussiebet]

I keep passing out at night & I am missing almost all the tennis matches in Italy, LOL...

Still hurting from that LAC loss on ML last night, GROSS!!!

Chris Paul should be wearing a bullet proof vest for 24 hrs, LOL...

haha I had OKC 1-10 $2.75 wow I got luck . Unlucky bud

[bababooey13]

I keep passing out at night & I am missing almost all the tennis matches in Italy, LOL...

Still hurting from that LAC loss on ML last night, GROSS!!!

Chris Paul should be wearing a bullet proof vest for 24 hrs, LOL...

it wasn't a loss, it was a robbery.

[aussiebet]

it wasn't a loss, it was a robbery.

I will take that all the way to the bank hahaa! Pacers got me though