FML...All in on Nishikori

[ap1ftw]

got my ass hammered on overs in both nba games tonight. went on full tilt and dumped 20 units on Nishikori. I shouldn't of done that, but let's see what happens.

Good luck to all! Lets do this Nishikori! Hoping to wake up a winner

[Cappinpicks]

Chudinelli at 1

[Geoff_Saari]

He´s def not losing to Raonic. Shoulda parlayed it with Bautista Agut .. locks

How much $ is 20 units if I may ask?

GL broseph

[hendrafirmanto]

Mate, do not chase your losses, it won't end well in long term. Bol!

[Cappinpicks]

raonic can only win if he serves lights out in TB's.. or can break possibly once.. looks good but could be scary

[ap1ftw]

He´s def not losing to Raonic. Shoulda parlayed it with Bautista Agut .. locks

How much $ is 20 units if I may ask?

GL broseph

$2000. Good luck to all!!

[SirtySree]

Nish returning well. Shouldnt be a problem but still not worth big amounts of money at those odds.

[ap1ftw]

Mate, do not chase your losses, it won't end well in long term. Bol!

Thanks, I definitely agree with this.

[drfunkmaster]

thanks for the fade!!!

[tipsadontlikehim]

You know what guys, Dodig and Nishikori had the same number of break points in R1. Dodig had 4 converted 1, Nishikori had 4 converted 3.
The surface is fast, I wouldn't say it is a lock, I still think Nishikori will win this but don't think it's a lock.
Bautista-Agut is a lock yep.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Not saying he will but I've seen Nishikori tank matches when he's this much of a favorite. I like him better as a dog or less than -175 but -270 is way too much considering his opponent can have a lights out serving day.

[Cappinpicks]

You know what guys, Dodig and Nishikori had the same number of break points in R1. Dodig had 4 converted 1, Nishikori had 4 converted 3.
The surface is fast, I wouldn't say it is a lock, I still think Nishikori will win this but don't think it's a lock.
Bautista-Agut is a lock yep.

how? kubot beat simon and agut is shaky

[bababooey13]

how? kubot beat simon and agut is shaky

agut has beaten who hes supposed to beat past couple months since davis cup. hes only lost to nishikori, fognini, gulbis, joker. kubot is shit, simon is shit. plus , agut is a dirt baller.

[SirtySree]

You know what guys, Dodig and Nishikori had the same number of break points in R1. Dodig had 4 converted 1, Nishikori had 4 converted 3.
The surface is fast, I wouldn't say it is a lock, I still think Nishikori will win this but don't think it's a lock.
Bautista-Agut is a lock yep.

Shouldn't over read statistics as they only paint a small part of the picture. Had to watch the game to see that Nish was in complete domination. Nish had Dodig at deuce in almost all his service games except 2 where he held to 30 if I remember correctly. Dodig was only in the match cause he came up with big serves and big defensive plays at crucial points. As for the break points, they all came for Dodig in 2 games and Nish is always going to have break points against him as his serve ain't the best. Just like players like Ferrer and even Nadal to some extent, they will face a fair amount of break points even when they r completely dominating.

EDIT: Just had a look at some numbers. Seppi had more break points against Nadal despite losing 6-3 6-1 and Gabishvili had one less despite losing 6-4 6-1. This happens for players who don't have the biggest serves.

[matt1216]

agut has beaten who hes supposed to beat past couple months since davis cup. hes only lost to nishikori, fognini, gulbis, joker. kubot is shit, simon is shit. plus , agut is a dirt baller.

I watched the whole Verdasco/Agut match... Agut was steady but Verdasco should have broken him and won as he was the better player for most of the match. Verdasco did his usual self destruct after not getting thre break up 40-0 with Agut serving. Although Verdasco lost it does show Agut is a fighter

[matt1216]

Not saying he will but I've seen Nishikori tank matches when he's this much of a favorite. I like him better as a dog or less than -175 but -270 is way too much considering his opponent can have a lights out serving day.

Raonic has been deceptively solid on clay lately. This is much closer than the odds would suggest. If Milos is hitting that huge first serve consistantly look out, his return game is improving.

[bababooey13]

itty bit of rlm in raonic's favor on pinny.

[pokerwhiz90]

should have taken serena -1.5 sets and nadal -1.5 sets

[kenz]

Never ever gonna trust Raonic again, the guy might not be that bad at clay but once he begins to suspect himself he is done.

Sushikori

[kenz]

Last year watched both his games. Did not watch against Chardy but Chardy faks up in Masters

Last year barely beat Davydenko and began to fade when Nando played well and Spanish supported him.

Raonic is weak-hearted, plain and simple

[JustSomeCash]

Never ever gonna trust Raonic again, the guy might not be that bad at clay but once he begins to suspect himself he is done.

Sushikori

Smart words man

This matchup is not for betting(winner side), in one hand Nishi play great so far and he's clear fav against Raonic this days, but he aint deserves to be 1.30 fav against any top15 player, and we def dont want to pay this price on this game.

On the other hand Giraff can be trusted like you said,esp on clay,and the last thing we want to do is to back this candian ass against on-form Nishikori,even if odds looks very good.

So on the winner side,no bet is the best option.

[kenz]

Not saying he will but I've seen Nishikori tank matches when he's this much of a favorite

He said his goal is be in the ATP year-end World Championships. He said it is very hard to be consistent to be in top 10 or top 8 "but I am good on clay and will give all my efforts". With Delpo nowhere to be seen, Tsonga declining, Gasquet not a threat, Murray questionable Nishi might have his best shot this year

Raonic is world no 9 currently while Nishi is 12, so he should be more motivated to stop Raonic advance in a Masters event which distributes a lot of points

[kenz]

Smart words man

This matchup is not for betting(winner side), in one hand Nishi play great so far and he's clear fav against Raonic this days, but he aint deserves to be 1.30 fav against any top15 player, and we def dont want to pay this price on this game.

On the other hand Giraff can be trusted like you said,esp on clay,and the last thing we want to do is to back this candian ass against on-form Nishikori,even if odds looks very good.

So on the winner side,no bet is the best option.

I am on Nishi @1.37

You said Radwanska should be around @1.35 agaisnt Kuznetsova and not like Nishi at these odds? No offence JustSomeCash, you are a good guy

[JustSomeCash]

I am on Nishi @1.37

You said Radwanska should be around @1.35 agaisnt Kuznetsova and not like Nishi at these odds? No offence JustSomeCash, you are a good guy

Never offence

Nishi at 1.30 against top15 = not tempting for bet

Arad (always soild against bad temper players) at 1.70 against crazy-f\*\*k russian(considering she is not what she was used to be in the past and these days, she does not do nothing except some noise and wind.) = way more tempting for me

However,even that arad saves 3mp in a row,it didnt say nothing to me,she need to finish this one in stright,but like i said above,Kuz only did noise and wind,she make some noise when she comback against CSN and lead *4:1 in the 3rd set,one touch from that title,then lost 5 games in a row,and yesterday again,she didnt finished the game after she lead 4:1 and even more shit came on the TB,so for me, only by accident , (you could say maybe because Arad could not entirely escape from the past between the them) she pushed thats game so far.

And one more little thing, if you do not agree with someone, that does not make him necessarily wrong.

Peace and love

[kenz]

Never offence

Nishi at 1.30 against top15 = not tempting for bet

Arad (always soild against bad temper players) at 1.70 against crazy-f\*\*k russian(considering she is not what she was used to be in the past and these days, she does not do nothing except some noise and wind.) = way more tempting for me

However,even that arad saves 3mp in a row,it didnt say nothing to me,she need to finish this one in stright,but like i said above,Kuz only did noise and wind,she make some noise when she comback against CSN and lead *4:1 in the 3rd set,one touch from that title,then lost 5 games in a row,and yesterday again,she didnt finished the game after she lead 4:1 and even more shit came on the TB,so for me, only by accident , (you could say maybe because Arad could not entirely escape from the past between the them) she pushed thats game so far.

And one more little thing, if you do not agree with someone, that does not make him necessarily wrong.

Peace and love

I feel you are biased against Kuznetsova and I think it was a coin flip. Kuznet was way more than noise and wind by wasting 3 match points (If he won 1 of those 3 points you would not write this) still leading H2H 10-4 so @2.42 was value, but respect your view

[Marillion]

Am I the only one who thinks Agut is not a lock at all lol.

[JustSomeCash]

I feel you are biased against Kuznetsova and I think it was a coin flip. Kuznet was way more than noise and wind by wasting 3 match points (If he won 1 of those 3 points you would not write this) still leading H2H 10-4 so @2.42 was value, but respect your view

still leading H2H 10-4 so @2.42 was value

But that was in the past you get my point,we all know that two of them change from then to know so at this moment she aint deserved to be so close to even against player like Arad. also,lets take Federer@Waw H2H,after he lead by 15-0 and even now 15-1,I never going to back Federer at this time of the year against Waw as big Fav and even as low fav(high odds) he will not worth the bet IMO,although he lead 15:1, different times, different things.

And you know, "maybe if things was..." it's not for realistic people.

Like we say: " If Kuz was winning the first 15/20 points she was able to bagle arad ass" If and If,but we all care about waht was,not if

Keep up the good work,you are very essential for this forum

[ap1ftw]

BANG FAM! 6-7, 6-7 NISHIKORI!!! Glad i was able to minimize my losses from the NBA last night. Tonight i will get em again!

[beefcake]

Must have been a hell of a rush...Congrats..

[ap1ftw]

Must have been a hell of a rush...Congrats..

I sleep through my Tennis matches. Notification went off when Nishikori won 1st set. Peaked and went back to sleep. Next notification showed he won, now i'm up Thanks beefcake

[beefcake]

Do you have flashscore set up next to your bed on your favorites? So when he wins the set does it go" URGGH, GAME SET!!" in a manly voice..

[hendrafirmanto]

BANG FAM! 6-7, 6-7 NISHIKORI!!! Glad i was able to minimize my losses from the NBA last night. Tonight i will get em again!

Congrats! Maybe you should focus, you have better luck on tennis

[ap1ftw]

Do you have flashscore set up next to your bed on your favorites? So when he wins the set does it go" URGGH, GAME SET!!" in a manly voice..

no

[bababooey13]

Do you have flashscore set up next to your bed on your favorites? So when he wins the set does it go" URGGH, GAME SET!!" in a manly voice..

ive done this

[ap1ftw]

ive done this

If I bet on tennis more, I believe that's something I WOULD do...then again...I don't want the girl knowing when i'm winning while we're out

I only come to Tennis when I'm on tilt....plus with the games starting early, these seem like the best type of bets to place so when I wake up i'm usually out of tilt mode (unless I lose again lol). I learned that when I over analyze matches, I make wrong plays. For some reason I make better ones on tilt. It's like a game of poker to me.