Diary of a Handicapper

[kenz]

why do you like sijling kenz?

Actually I think he should win this, but he is very self-destructive closing a match. The thing with Sisjling is he is talented but he gets bored

-Watched their clay clash last year in Germany. Sisjling was dominant, a break ahead in the 3rd but suddenly got bored of long rallies and stopped playing good.
-He has a good serve, a classy backhand a good forehand
-Nieminen is out of shape recently, always shaky even in good form
-RG is around, Sijling played pretty good tennis last year these times. He was close to beating Robredo but he got bored Again this week he beat Bellucci and Haas who were not in top shape. Now not-in-shape Nieminen is very beatable for Sisjling but thinking about his self desctructive ways I am betting on the possibility of Sisjling playing real good before closing the deal and choking.

[kenz]

VAMOS Kenzie

Thanks Tipsa BOL today!

[kenz]

Live $25 on Kokolava/Niculescu ML @2 marathonbet

[ardacet8]

Sisjling gets bored?? Hahahaha I never watched him play so I dont know how he gets "bored" but probably you are right. Because when I check results, I see time to time that he wins some kinda big matches and then jinx the others so I wouldnt bet a penny on or against him. And I dont know why people say that women tennis is full of WTFs. I win a lot more at girls side. GL to you dude!

[kenz]

Live $25 on Kokolava/Niculescu ML @2 marathonbet

-$25

Horrible waste of money

2 minutes I looked into the stats, I knew I was on the wrong side

[kenz]

Sisjling gets bored?? Hahahaha I never watched him play so I dont know how he gets "bored" but probably you are right. Because when I check results, I see time to time that he wins some kinda big matches and then jinx the others so I wouldnt bet a penny on or against him. And I dont know why people say that women tennis is full of WTFs. I win a lot more at girls side. GL to you dude!

He gets bored mostly on clay. He likes quick points but thats not always possible on clay.

[fcmb]

He gets bored mostly on clay. He likes quick points but thats not always possible on clay.

That"s fact #1.
Fact #2 is that this surface suits his laziness because he has more time to get on the ball

[matt1216]

$110 on Sisjling +1.5 set handicap @1.47 Pinnacle
$40 on Sisjling +2.5 games @1.81 Pinnacle

Good luck man I'm on Sjsling as well

[kenz]

Good luck man I'm on Sjsling as well

Thanks matt. BOL

[kenz]

That"s fact #1.
Fact #2 is that this surface suits his laziness because he has more time to get on the ball

Good Point

I think 1 outweighs 2 tough

[paulnikolo]

sijsling got lazy on the first and he lost

[fitguy67]

We were definitely on the right side of the Kuznetsova/ARad bet, kenz...but the two-hour coin-flip that is tennis came up on the other side...damn 3rd set tie-breakers are excruciating...especially with the broads and their special brand of sports entertainment (aka. failure to execute when it matters most)

damn Arad...just like Vinci...they just KNOW when I have a bet on or against them...and play exactly as Murphy's Law would have it...fukk, i feel like i just lost a bet on The Undertaker at Wrestlemania

[kenz]

We were definitely on the right side of the Kuznetsova/ARad bet, kenz...but the two-hour coin-flip that is tennis came up on the other side...damn 3rd set tie-breakers are excruciating...especially with the broads and their special brand of sports entertainment (aka. failure to execute when it matters most)

damn Arad...just like Vinci...they just KNOW when I have a bet on or against them...and play exactly as Murphy's Law would have it...fukk, i feel like i just lost a bet on The Undertaker at Wrestlemania

I just did not feel right when Kuznetsova got broken @4-2 in the 3rd set. Wasting 3 match points in tiebreaker while leading 6-3, it is a pity.

We were on the right side though, as you said

[kenz]

$300 on Svetlana Kuznetsova ML @2.42 @Marathonbet

H2H 10-3 Kuznetsova leads. Too much power for A. Rad to handle. Radwanska is not the best clay-courter

-$300

$110 on Sisjling +1.5 set handicap @1.47 Pinnacle
$40 on Sisjling +2.5 games @1.81 Pinnacle

-$150

$150 on Isner - Matosevic over 22.5 @1.80 bet365

+$120

[kenz]

Day 2: -25-300-150+120 = -$355

Total: -$157

[kenz]

$500 on Ernesto Gulbizio ML @1.67 tempobet

[kenz]

$500 on Batistuta * Sushikori = @1.62 tempobet

[kenz]

Sushi prices increasing

[paulnikolo]

why do you like gulbis, kenz?

[tipsadontlikehim]

Sushi prices increasing

Raonic 3.30 to 2.80 hope Nishikori is not kinda injured again?

[kenz]

They better fix him in an hour

Raonic is mentally-injured, so now we are even

[kenz]

why do you like gulbis, kenz?

Paulnikolo I might be wrong but I like Gulbis here.

He needs to play aggressive(95% of the time he does this), does not go crazy/stay calm (thats not the case at times) and work on Cilic's Backhand with deep returns, best is close to his legs and avoid his Forehand as much as possible(I am ssure he knows this better than me) Yesterday he worked the court well, did not solely stay in the baseline. This will help too

[kenz]

$300 on Berdshit - Dimitrov over 23 @1.83 Pinnacle

[kenz]

$300 on Berdshit - Dimitrov over 23 @1.83 Pinnacle

$200 more on this
Total: $500

[kenz]

$250 on Radwanska - Vinci over 20 @1.94 Pinnacle

[paulnikolo]

nishi is injured?

[fcmb]

no, Milos is

[kenz]

$500 on Ernesto Gulbizio ML @1.67 tempobet

+$335

$500 on Batistuta * Sushikori = @1.62 tempobet

+$310

$300 on Berdshit - Dimitrov over 23 @1.83 Pinnacle

$200 more on this
Total: $500

+$415

$250 on Radwanska - Vinci over 20 @1.94 Pinnacle

-$250

[kenz]

Day 3: 335+310+415-250 =+$810

Total: +$653

[paulnikolo]

you still ferrer in 3 sets, kenz?

[kenz]

you still ferrer in 3 sets, kenz?

I was thinking about Isner to win a set @2.08 and Isner first set +1.5 games @2.08 but JustSomeCash watched yesterdays game and wrote Isner did not look healthy.That made me skipping this play

[paulnikolo]

I was thinking about Isner to win a set @2.08 and Isner first set +1.5 games @2.08 but JustSomeCash watched yesterdays game and wrote Isner did not look healthy.That made me skipping this play

ok kenz thanks. impressive day kenz! keep it up! cheers!

[kenz]

Probably gonna lose it but late night action

$50 on Isner first set +1.5 games @2.02

[sluggy1616]

Probably gonna lose it but late night action

$50 on Isner first set +1.5 games @2.02

You gotta move bro. Your picks come in 2am my time!!!

[fitguy67]

most appealing value-dog play on tomoro's WTA card by far to me is Garcia over Arad...at 3.87 (implied odds required to break even just 25.8%)...thing to note is that Garcia is decidedly non-French (neither a choker like the men, nor an easily distracted head-case like Alize)...despite the Arad-loving odds, Garcia has at least as good a chance as Kuznetsova who had triple-break point a few days ago before pulling an MMMm (Mannarino-Monfils-Mahut meltdown) and letting ARad off the hook

and if you prefer REAL tennis...Deliciano at 6.84 over Nishikori...no way he's got a less than 14.6% chance of winning...these two guys h2h record is dead even...they've alternated straight-setting each other over the last few years...JapMaster won their last meeting in Japan...so it's Lopez' "turn" and playing in his home country of Spain would make it all the more fitting