You're better off following about five players

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  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #1
    You're better off following about five players
    Know everything about them and just their matches their involved then I do think you will have a little Edge instead of trying to handicap match after match day after day
  • rankslash
    SBR MVP
    • 07-29-13
    • 1562

    #2
    Great conversation starter.
    Comment
    • Punchy
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-16-13
      • 289

      #3
      Serena Williams
      Novak Djokovic
      Rafael Nadal
      Stanislas Wawrinka
      Roger Federer
      Comment
      • kenz
        SBR MVP
        • 12-09-12
        • 4879

        #4
        Horrible 5, Top players are hard to make money from

        Not 5 names but I would say these ones, because of better odds,

        Fognini (Usually back ML and over games)
        US Players ( Fade material)
        Janowicz ( Fade on outdoor hard)
        French male players (Fade material)
        Berdych( Fade nowadays)
        Comment
        • pazim
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-09-10
          • 316

          #5
          Originally posted by kenz
          Horrible 5, Top players are hard to make money from

          Not 5 names but I would say these ones, because of better odds,

          Fognini (Usually back ML and over games)
          US Players ( Fade material)
          Janowicz ( Fade on outdoor hard)
          French male players (Fade material)
          Berdych( Fade nowadays)

          Fognini is not good at the moment. Isner is profitable if you pick your spots. Berdych is usually money outside of top 5.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            The top players are the best bets because most of time you get max effort and they are very consistent

            Suckers bet challengers and early round matches that have very low seeds/rankings
            Comment
            • pazim
              SBR Sharp
              • 02-09-10
              • 316

              #7
              Originally posted by Punchy
              Serena Williams
              Novak Djokovic
              Rafael Nadal
              Stanislas Wawrinka
              Roger Federer
              Serena doesn't feel that safe anymore. I think she has been to the final round once this year. Federer actually is the most consistent one this year.
              Comment
              • cryptocap
                SBR MVP
                • 03-04-14
                • 1528

                #8
                i love playing ivo karlovic...hes always good for a round or 2 when hes playing well and his odds are very good
                Comment
                • cryptocap
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-04-14
                  • 1528

                  #9
                  ...also its very easy to predict who is going to crush him and take the spread
                  Comment
                  • tipsadontlikehim
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-14-13
                    • 2569

                    #10
                    Fade :
                    Youzhny this year
                    Paire
                    Fognini when favourite
                    Dustin Brown of course!
                    Lately Simon is good to fade as well but i never dare to for some reason...
                    Comment
                    • beefcake
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 14029

                      #11
                      Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                      Fade :
                      Youzhny this year
                      Paire
                      Fognini when favourite
                      Dustin Brown of course!
                      Lately Simon is good to fade as well but i never dare to for some reason...
                      Most intelligent post this year!!
                      Comment
                      • face
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-31-11
                        • 14740

                        #12
                        good parlay stuffers that win a lot
                        suarez navarro
                        yen hsun lu
                        ivanovic
                        bogomolov junior
                        nishikori


                        in challengers i only bet on matt reid and hiroki moriya sometimes bc i don't know what i'm doing, both are fighters though and win a lot
                        Comment
                        • pazim
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-09-10
                          • 316

                          #13
                          Originally posted by face
                          good parlay stuffers that win a lot
                          suarez navarro
                          yen hsun lu
                          ivanovic
                          bogomolov junior
                          nishikori


                          in challengers i only bet on matt reid and hiroki moriya sometimes bc i don't know what i'm doing, both are fighters though and win a lot
                          Navarro and nishikori, I like. Rest aren't consistent at all.
                          Comment
                          • Marillion
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-06-14
                            • 1453

                            #14
                            Haha, I also like to bet for (and sometimes against) Hiroki Moriya, one of my first bets ever was on him to defeat Jenkins, he won, of course.

                            OK, so my favourite players to bet on now are:

                            1. Katarzyna Piter (fade material now; she had a good season last year so books give decent odds against her, she may win if her opponent is very, very weak, if not, you can bet her to lose in straights)
                            2. Jelena Jankovic (good to back her opponents to cover the spread, she is often a huge favourite against weaker players but opponents cover the +5.5 games spread)
                            3. Caroline Garcia (had a mug start of the year but is now on fire, books keep making her an underdog)
                            4. Jarkko Nieminen (a nice guy with solid experience and tennis knowledge and a good blogger... but a pretty good fade material against strong players nowadays)
                            5. Albano Olivetti (the ultimate challenger level serving bot... if he's playing on indoor hard, either back him to win and/or bet on the over... if he plays on clay, fade him!)

                            ed: you can also add lovely Alize Cornet, always bet OVER on her matches lol.
                            Comment
                            • jtoler
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 12-17-13
                              • 30967

                              #15
                              That wont work to make money cuz you need to know about their opponent.
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #16
                                Originally posted by face
                                good parlay stuffers that win a lot
                                suarez navarro
                                yen hsun lu
                                ivanovic
                                bogomolov junior
                                nishikori


                                in challengers i only bet on matt reid and hiroki moriya sometimes bc i don't know what i'm doing, both are fighters though and win a lot
                                Bogo jr??? Wtf is wrong with u
                                Comment
                                • matt1216
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 14683

                                  #17
                                  If you guys havnt figured out yet....

                                  Over on Volandri.. Almost always hits
                                  Comment
                                  • tipsadontlikehim
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-14-13
                                    • 2569

                                    #18
                                    lol Bogomolov

                                    Nishikori i kinda disagree, he's being more consistent lately but not a long time ago he was tanking, i remember last year lost to Baghdatis 6/1 6/2 and the year before something like 6/1 6/3 against Soeda, same tournament Washington

                                    I agree about Lu, pretty reliable

                                    Dolgopolov was good fade material, maybe he'll become again soon

                                    Ferrer when he is ON, always take the game spread -5 or even -6 when big favourite
                                    Also you'll notice Ferrer often starts his matches poorly, very often will get broken at the start of the match and then win 6/4 6/1 or something like that

                                    Take the handicap game spread +++ when Hanescu/Volandri/Rosol/Monfils/Verdasco and many others are big favourite

                                    Also i noticed, its very dangerous to take the handicap games + against Berdych when he is on, many times i lost in the past (example +9 games De schapper at the Australian open, big server, lost)
                                    Comment
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