Somebody tell me why I shouldn't bet on Fed to win this tournament at +220

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  • poet
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-11-13
    • 796

    #1
    Somebody tell me why I shouldn't bet on Fed to win this tournament at +220
    The way I figure it, if he gets by Dolgo (and he should) and Isner somehow beats Djoker I'm in great shape. If Djoker wins, he won't be more than -270 against Fed, will he? In which case, I can still hedge a bit.
  • MartyFR
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-14-14
    • 317

    #2
    I don't think he will win, personal feeling though.

    I think he'll get a tough match tonight.
    Comment
    • Goat Milk
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-24-10
      • 25850

      #3
      Seems like a good bet to me. Djokovic is kinda struggling right now.
      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #4
        Because there is no value in that line.
        Comment
        • poet
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-11-13
          • 796

          #5
          Originally posted by Hardcoar
          Because there is no value in that line.

          Since I consider you the expert on such matters, I'll take your word for it.
          Comment
          • Hardcoar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-13
            • 15606

            #6
            Well I just don't see him winning more than 1/3 times from this position. Dolgopolov could well upset him and he won't have an easy time in the final either.

            Obviously, he might still win.
            Comment
            • Goat Milk
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 03-24-10
              • 25850

              #7
              You will get Federer +200 in the finals if he plays Joker. If he plays Isner Federer -350
              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
              Comment
              • slayer14
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-12-13
                • 22021

                #8
                dolgo win today he has overcome his blood disorder
                Comment
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