R2's big value is here

kenz · 03-07-14, 04:08 AM

Indian Wells is a bit of a slow for a hard court though, which may favor Janowicz. Janowicz likes clay and the Paris Masters' slow indoor condition. In 2012 that court got really slow in contrast to 2011. Janowicz also plays good in grass but he plays better in the 2 courts above.

The slower the court, he executes those deadly drops easier. His drops in 2012 Paris Masters was insane.

I may pound Falla +5 or +5.5 which are not available right now. Now I can take +4 @1.90 @Marathonbet but I dont trust the Colombian that much. +5.5 around @1.50 looks good to me

BOL tipsa

tipsadontlikehim · 03-07-14, 04:44 AM

thanks man i believe this is a 60/40 for Janowicz here, Falla may be inconsistent but he won a lot of matches on hard court since january
also check how many GOOD outdoor hardcourt players did Janowicz beat in his career ?
i can see only 2 guys: Nalbandian and Benneteau, that's it. Nobody else. He is very vulnerable
check all his matches here http://www.tennisexplorer.com/player...=all&surface=4
he is still young though i give you that

kenz · 03-07-14, 05:06 AM

I know Janowicz sucks on outdoor hard. Hope Falla can seal the deal. BOL

tipsadontlikehim · 03-08-14, 03:37 PM

Falla

kenz · 03-08-14, 04:14 PM

Great call

tipsadontlikehim · 03-08-14, 04:14 PM

Janowicz double fault on MP

tipsadontlikehim · 03-08-14, 04:15 PM

Originally posted by kenz

Great call

a bit lucky (1 MP saved) but well needs luck sometimes for a @4.10 !!

kenz · 03-08-14, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

a bit lucky (1 MP saved) but well needs luck sometimes for a @4.10 !!

Thats acceptable for that odd. I pounded +5, but yours were a lot sharper. Congratulations

tipsadontlikehim · 03-08-14, 04:21 PM

Janowicz was up 5-2 in the third, what a clown.

JC1186 · 03-08-14, 04:27 PM

I've got a 3 leg multi with him in it.

Pending Bets

TICKET

ACCEPTED

EVENT DATE

TYPE

DESCRIPTION

RISKING

TO WIN

BET STATUS

5:52pm 7-Mar-14

Parlay

3-Team Parlay.

83.77

1,216.99

Pending

1.	Win 7-Mar	Tennis/M Kyoto SF	(Match Odds)	Go Soeda vs Tatsuma Ito for Match ( 2.150)	0 - 2
2.	Win 8-Mar	Tennis/MParibas R2	(Match Odds)	Alejandro Falla vs Jerzy Janowicz for Match ( 3.750)	2 - 1
3.	8-Mar-14	Tennis/WParibas R2	(GAME HANDICAP )	Aleksandra Wozniak (+4) vs Sabine Lisicki for Match ( 1.926)	Pending

Enjoyed that match. When Janowicz served for the match he missed the easy volley for 30-15, then double faulted to gift 15-40.. and then Falla hit a KILLER return off a first serve.

Falla hadn't troubled him since the first set. Was a lucky escape. From that point on until late in the TB Falla couldn't find a first serve. When Janowicz had match point I was grateful he went hard down the line off a second serve... but into the net it went.

And then the Double Fault on Match Point #2 for Falla in the TB? Just sooooooooooooooooooooo

tipsadontlikehim · 03-08-14, 04:30 PM

haha
don't know anything about WTA but would be wiser for you to hedge I guess ?

JC1186 · 03-08-14, 04:43 PM

Was just looking it in and have decided I will hedge. As much as I like the bet, Lisicki has monstrous disparity between her best and worst. On a good serving day backed up with winners off the ground (less likely on OHC) she can reel off games while being unplayable almost.

So yeah will lay off now.

tipsadontlikehim · 03-08-14, 05:20 PM

hey man i guess that's a good decision

and congrats for this parlay

Falla I was confident (or i'd better I was confident in Janowicz playing crap

) but a match between 2 obscure japanese players I would never play on

brodie · 03-08-14, 08:53 PM

damn JC and Tipsa nice hits

tipsadontlikehim · 03-09-14, 01:43 AM

Originally posted by brodie

damn JC and Tipsa nice hits

always fade Janowicz on outdoor hardcourt, you'll win money long term

tipsadontlikehim · 03-09-14, 01:45 AM

btw JC i just checked and your WTA play was a winner too!

JC1186 · 03-09-14, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

btw JC i just checked and your WTA play was a winner too!

Sure did. Shame I laid off but it was the right play anyway. Could have easily lost.

Btw fantastic name! One of the best I've seen. Tipsa don't like him haha. Tbh in recent years I've liked him very much when viewing his shithouse body language and backing against him live.

tipsadontlikehim · 03-09-14, 11:07 AM

haha yeah he won me some money last year as well
i remember i won a parlay of 3 matches at @11 last year, one of the 3 plays was a fade of Tipsa