Kenz's Tennis

[kenz]

$1500 on Nadal ML @1.164 @Pinnacle

+$246

$500 on Federer ML @1.20 * Serena ML @1.22 = @1.464 @Tempobet

-$500

[kenz]

26/03/2014: -$500

27/03/2014: +$246

Began recording: 25/02/2014
Total Won: $17,455.45
Total Lost: $9,300
Total Profit: +$8,155.45

Total Wager: $44,075
Return of Investment: +18.50%

[kenz]

In Month 1: +$8,155.45


This month's calendar:

Casablanca 250, Houston 250, Monte Carlo Masters, Barcelona 500, Bucharest 250

[ingga]

Damnnnn awesomee broo

[AceAce]

Terrific Run Kenz, you are the man. Keep up the awesomeness this upcoming month!!

[charley365]

Great month kenz!!
Pitty mostly only 250 events this month.
I love the big tourneys.
i guess we will see lots of upsets.
Hope u play them tho, ur advice is golden.

[kenz]

Damnnnn awesomee broo

Thanks bro

[kenz]

Terrific Run Kenz, you are the man. Keep up the awesomeness this upcoming month!!

Thanks AceAce, you are a great guy too Hope to be in the winners circle this month again

[kenz]

Great month kenz!!
Pitty mostly only 250 events this month.
I love the big tourneys.
i guess we will see lots of upsets.
Hope u play them tho, ur advice is golden.

Thanks charley365

My main plans are going heavier on Monte Carlo and Barcelona, not surprisingly.
I agree there will some upsets in 250s. Bucharest has a different clay court, tha ball bounces high. Aggressive clay courters would benefit there. Casablanca is pretty slow, I think. Houston would be tougher to bet I feel, as 250s in US soil usually has many upsets especially in the early rounds. In 250s hope we nail it on who wants it/needs it more pregame. Wish all of us a prospereous April

[poet]

Kenz, are you tempted to risk your winnings from you Nadal/Djoker futures by betting it on one guy? I'm thinking Nadal, especially if it is windy (gives him the edge).

[kenz]

Kenz, are you tempted to risk your winnings from you Nadal/Djoker futures by betting it on one guy? I'm thinking Nadal, especially if it is windy (gives him the edge).

Probably no poet

I feel a Nadal win, but being cautious in betting helps me more than being greedy. In the first half of the month, I was heavy on some bets but I was very confident on them. In the last week, I know I was being greedy before some games and they cost me money. Now I am starting a new month recording from scratch, and want to go back to what made me money, being cautious not bet when I am not very confident.

However

I feel a Nadal win

1. Nadal 3 time finalist here, never won. This must be in his head all the time, motivating himself this week. Nadal is a mental beast when he needs.
2. Novak did not play much tennis coming to final, he is more of a guy who gets in good form by playing and who gets rusty after long breaks. Adding probable insufficient coaching from Boris Becker, he might be out of rhythm in final. And he did not look good this week
3. As you said Novak does not like wind, I remember 2012 US Open final vs Andy Murray. Novak was the more affected side

[poet]

Probably no poet

I feel a Nadal win, but being cautious in betting helps me more than being greedy. In the first half of the month, I was heavy on some bets but I was very confident on them. In the last week, I know I was being greedy before some games and they cost me money. Now I am starting a new month recording from scratch, and want to go back to what made me money, being cautious not bet when I am not very confident.

However

I feel a Nadal win

1. Nadal 3 time finalist here, never won. This must be in his head all the time, motivating himself this week. Nadal is a mental beast when he needs.
2. Novak did not play much tennis coming to final, he is more of a guy who gets in good form by playing and who gets rusty after long breaks. Adding probable insufficient coaching from Boris Becker, he might be out of rhythm in final. And he did not look good this week
3. As you said Novak does not like wind, I remember 2012 US Open final vs Andy Murray. Novak was the more affected side

Thanks, Kenz. I'm a bit down this week and so I'm thinking of betting my profits on Nadal. You make a convincing case. I also think Nadal could have easily beaten Raonic in two (he had lots of chances in that 1st set) so the books are giving us a better price on Nadal (+116). And Andy could have easily taken Djoker to 3 sets (and maybe even have won) if he had been able to control his emotions and if the chair umpire knew the rules regarding the racket crossing over the net. Overall I think Nadal has looked much stronger this week, playing with a sense of purpose and determination we usually see in the slams.

[kenz]

Thanks, Kenz. I'm a bit down this week and so I'm thinking of betting my profits on Nadal. You make a convincing case. I also think Nadal could have easily beaten Raonic in two (he had lots of chances in that 1st set) so the books are giving us a better price on Nadal (+116). And Andy could have easily taken Djoker to 3 sets (and maybe even have won) if he had been able to control his emotions and if the chair umpire knew the rules regarding the racket crossing over the net. Overall I think Nadal has looked much stronger this week, playing with a sense of purpose and determination we usually see in the slams.

Good luck man

Nadal +1.5 sets around @1.45-@1.50 might be a good one. Novak swept Nadal in the end of 2013 in some finals but Novak was in great form and Nadal was not in great from after US Open. Now Novak not looking good, I am not sure he can sweep Nadal.

I you like Serena, Bryan Bros or some another pick to parlay, I think Nadal +1.5 sets is good (if you have to play this game). You can play it single too, of course

[kenz]

$300 on Bjorn Phau ML @1.33 @William Hill

[JC1186]

Don't like that bet kenz. Though I do see why you're taking it given the clear gulf in class.

Anyway the biggest issue I have is that players like Phau sometimes couldn't care less when they win or lose at various Challenger Tournaments. They've tasted higher success.

Marie on the other hand. Playing at home too. You know he'll be hungry.

So I'm always very careful in such situations.

Best of luck though. You know your stuff.

[kenz]

$500 on Novak Djokovic to win Roland Garros @2.75 Tempobet

[kenz]

$500 on Ferrer ML @1.77 @Pinnacle

[kenz]

$500 on Domi @1.33 * Novak @1.33 = @1.77 tempobet

Domi
-2014 WTA-leading 23 wins
-Excluding retirement 5 losses on outdoor hard, 1 to World no 1, 3 to World no 2 and 1 to Kerber
-Self proclaimed reason for Diyas game: "First day no rain, very humid, I felt tired at times but I am a fighter".
-If she wins this tourney, gap with World no 9 Sharapova will be 30 points. Although Halep and Azarenka has a lot of points to defend, She needs every point possible for cracking top 8 for world finals in year-end
-Pliskova never won against an attacking player with Domi-level groundstrokes
-Domi is very ambitious, beating last year's champ of Malaysia will be a motivation. She took all the sh-t of this sh-tty rainy tourney, why not grind teeth for 2 more days and go back home feeling a winner.

Novak
-Looks good this week, Fed does not look bad but not very extraordinary
-Dİfferent from last year, this year Novak does not only focus on winning ROland Garros but the clay tourneys before that mentally too. Better mindset
-He is guarding his points here. Also He needs to steal points from Nadal on clay season for being world no 1
-Novak will make less ues than Tsonga, will win more long rallies
-It is not easy for Federer to beat Novak on a slow clay court. Novak will work Federer's backhand
-Wİn against a very good GGL should boost confidence. GGL exceeded my wildest expectations, and Novak won an important win,even if GGL is not a big name. Novak practised a lot of high class rallies against GGL

I will try to stay away from these odds in the future but I like them for todays matchups

[Cappinpicks]

Cibulkova vekic big ferrer

[Cappinpicks]

lets go bulldog and hot blondes!!

[kenz]

$250 on Vekic - Zhang over 21 @1.78 @Pinnacle

[kenz]

Romania Qualification

$100 on Mate Pavic @1.88 @Pinnacle

Pavic has a good serve. This clay is a bit different, ball bounces high in Boucharest and goes fast. Gonna try Pavis who has a good serve and plays good doubles. He really played good against Monfils and Granollers last year on clay

[kenz]

Morocco qualifications $100 on Parra Santonja ML @1.80 Marathonbet

I am gonna fade Brianti till she is gone

[kenz]

Gonna revive this thread. My best one

$100 on Marc Gicquel - Menendez Maceiras over 22 @1.94

[kenz]

gicquel wasted 6 set points on his serve

[kenz]

7th

[kenz]

8th

[kenz]

Gonna revive this thread. My best one

$100 on Marc Gicquel - Menendez Maceiras over 22 @1.94

+$94

Finaly on 9th

[kenz]

$50 on Eric Prodon +3.5 @1.94

[kenz]

$100 on Jan Mertl ML @1.81

[kenz]

$50 on Toni Androic ML @1.57

[kenz]

$50 on Esyyeric - Viola over 22.5 @2.04

[kenz]

$50 on Esyyeric - Viola over 22.5 @2.04

+$52

[kenz]

$50 on Gastao Elias -3.5 @1.84

[kenz]

$50 on Eric Prodon - Dustov over 21.5 @1.90