Matt's Tennis Plays & Record keeping...

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 01:48 PM

Play #100

A.Radwanska/Pennetta Over 21.5 games 1.91 x 5 units

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 02:09 PM

Play #101

S.Johnson ML 2.00 x 2 units

**JustSomeCash** · 03-16-14, 02:14 PM

Stevie is fav for me,Rosol is sucks..

Good luck matt!

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 03:59 PM

no play for me on the fed/djoker match. I think djoker wins but I'm just not sure. Arad & Johnson put a bad taste in my mouth

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 04:03 PM

Play #102

Federer 1st set ML 2.25 x 2 units

only play. I like Djokovic to win but maybe fed starts fast

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 04:44 PM

I like it went my book smart end me up sometimes.

**fcmb** · 03-16-14, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Play #102

Federer 1st set ML 2.25 x 2 units

only play. I like Djokovic to win but maybe fed starts fast

At the end you made the right decision.. Congratulations Matt

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 06:24 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Play #102

Federer 1st set ML 2.25 x 2 units

only play. I like Djokovic to win but maybe fed starts fast

These books piss me off sometimes, I should just open my own

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 06:30 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

waiting for most of the dumb dumbs to jump on Fed so we can get a better line on djoker tomorrow

The line went up 3 cents at my book from open till close.

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 07:10 PM

Record: 53-49 51.96 -18.2 units

*unfortunately my units took a beating, but the last 4 days or so I've recoverd about 10 units. I made a few large wagers that didn't come through. Time to get this back in the green. I was +
24.3 units 2 weeks ago.

**fitguy67** · 03-16-14, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Record: 53-49 51.96 -18.2 units

*unfortunately my units took a beating, but the last 4 days or so I've recoverd about 10 units. I made a few large wagers that didn't come through. Time to get this back in the green. I was +
24.3 units 2 weeks ago.

remove just that one insanely-sized wawrinka ml bet (vs. anderson) and you're even units...

clean-slate amnesia is best with respect to the thread's plays going forward

**faststeady** · 03-16-14, 08:09 PM

you're not the only one to cop a hammering past 2 weeks Matt, I've dropped about 25 units in that time as well.

This weeks a new week

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 08:10 PM

Originally posted by fitguy67

remove just that one insanely-sized wawrinka ml bet (vs. anderson) and you're square...

clean-slate amnesia time with respect to the thread's plays going forward

Yeah man, wawrinka killed me there. Too much respect for a guy that's only won a AUS open. The win vs that retard Seppi made me think he was gonna roll

**matt1216** · 03-16-14, 08:10 PM

Originally posted by faststeady

you're not the only one to cop a hammering past 2 weeks Matt, I've dropped about 25 units in that time as well.

This weeks a new week

Yeah man, that slow court this week through me off

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-17-14, 02:44 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

waiting for most of the dumb dumbs to jump on Fed

time for apologies

**kenz** · 03-17-14, 03:28 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Yeah man, that slow court this week through me off

Are u sure Miami is faster?

**Honeybadger44** · 03-17-14, 05:54 AM

If I can recall from the last season, I started to handicap Miami, like it is faster then IW, but after few matches in the tournament, I realised that the difference is not that big...

**kenz** · 03-17-14, 06:04 AM

Originally posted by Honeybadger44

If I can recall from the last season, I started to handicap Miami, like it is faster then IW, but after few matches in the tournament, I realised that the difference is not that big...

It is not, actually might be slower

Scientific results:

http://www.perfect-tennis.co.uk/tenn...-court-speeds/

**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 07:54 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

time for apologies

Lol huh? Apologize for what? What is wrong with you, this isn't a touchy, feely thread.

**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 07:55 AM

Originally posted by kenz

Are u sure Miami is faster?

From what I saw, but if it's slower I will take your guys word for it. Thanks

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-17-14, 07:57 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Lol huh? Apologize for what? What is wrong with you, this isn't a touchy, feely thread.

betting on Fed was not a dumb bet, people who did were able to hedge and make a nice profit

**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 07:58 AM

Play #103

Donskoy + Bellucci 1.95 x 7 units

Play #104

Wang ML 2.15 x 2 units

Play #105

Devarmann + Mattieu 1.95 x 3 units

Play #106

Sugita ML 1.95 x 2 units

**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 08:00 AM

Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim

betting on Fed was not a dumb bet, people who did were able to hedge and make a nice profit

Oooookayyyy, lol but he still lost. I don't give 2 shits about hedging. I don't make wagers planning on hedging because I think they will lose. That's rediculous man. In the end, I was right.

**tipsadontlikehim** · 03-17-14, 08:10 AM

fair enough

**Honeybadger44** · 03-17-14, 08:17 AM

@Matt

According to that article which Kenz posted, Miami is slower, but I am not sure that it is. I would say faster, but only slightly. Also, it seems to me that speed of playing conditions is different, when playing during the day, comparing to night sessions... Ball reacts differently when bouncing from the surface. But that is already overthinking it and overcomplicating things. I think that easyest for hanicapping is to think of this surface as slightly faster then at IW.

Speaking about your plays, I don't know if taking Devvarman at this price is a good choice. He can't get his shit together in last couple of weeks. Of course, De Bakker is a big mug, but I would avoid backing favorites in such cripple fights. Anyway, good luck!

**ChasingInle** · 03-17-14, 08:24 AM

Major value fading India.

**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 08:51 AM

Devvarmen is fine, he was extremely exhausted flying back from India to the US a few weeks back. He's been playing decent

**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 10:15 AM

Play #107

Babos ML 2.25 x 2 units

**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 10:40 AM

Originally posted by Honeybadger44

@Matt

According to that article which Kenz posted, Miami is slower, but I am not sure that it is. I would say faster, but only slightly. Also, it seems to me that speed of playing conditions is different, when playing during the day, comparing to night sessions... Ball reacts differently when bouncing from the surface. But that is already overthinking it and overcomplicating things. I think that easyest for hanicapping is to think of this surface as slightly faster then at IW.

Speaking about your plays, I don't know if taking Devvarman at this price is a good choice. He can't get his shit together in last couple of weeks. Of course, De Bakker is a big mug, but I would avoid backing favorites in such cripple fights. Anyway, good luck!

Good call on Devarman. I'm not sure what his problem is, he's rested for the match.

**tennis21** · 03-17-14, 10:45 AM

Miami conditions are very heavy since the humidity is high . Plays totally different than indian wells (thin air ). It will not make much of a difference though as these players will adapt quickly.

**Honeybadger44** · 03-17-14, 10:53 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Good call on Devarman. I'm not sure what his problem is, he's rested for the match.

To be honest, I was not betting the other side, because I think De Bakker is very unreliable. I just questioned Devvarman in this spot, after I saw his match against Jaziri in Dubai. It seemed to me that he was not in best form.

Originally posted by tennis21

Miami conditions are very heavy since the humidity is high . Plays totally different than indian wells (thin air ). It will not make much of a difference though as these players will adapt quickly.

Last year it was extremly hot in Indian Wells and then very humid in Miami. Some of the guys didn't like that. Del Potro was eliminated in his first match. Maybe it is not a bad idea to go against some of the guys, who got far in Indian Wells this year...
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**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 11:54 AM

Play #108

Struff + Lajovic 2.35 x 2 units

Play #109

Ito ML 2.15 x 2 units

**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 12:59 PM

Play #110

Hlvakcova ML 2.30 x 2 units

Play #111

Medina ML 1.77 x 3 units

**matt1216** · 03-17-14, 01:55 PM

Play #112

R.Williams 3.00 x 2 units

**Honeybadger44** · 03-17-14, 02:21 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Play #112

R.Williams 3.00 x 2 units

I like this one in terms of value. Thiem, despite doing nothing special in IW, put his name on the map last week and that is why he is favorite here... Undeserved imho. Odds should be much closer to evens