Waiting for the market opening of Dimitrov +4.5

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  • kenz
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-12
    • 4879

    #1
    Waiting for the market opening of Dimitrov +4.5
    Murray wont cover that tomorrow without a serious choke by Baby Fed
  • kenz
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-12
    • 4879

    #2
    $1000 Dimitrov +4.5 @1.58

    Should hit if baby Fed does not choke big. He always plays close games against Nadal and Djokovic. Historically he stayed in the game against Murray too


    Comment
    • kenz
      SBR MVP
      • 12-09-12
      • 4879

      #3
      Now +4.5 is not available and +4 is @1.55
      Comment
      • pazim
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-09-10
        • 316

        #4
        You want to bet on him even after how he played yesterday.
        Comment
        • kenz
          SBR MVP
          • 12-09-12
          • 4879

          #5
          Originally posted by pazim
          You want to bet on him even after how he played yesterday.
          Yes
          Comment
          • Bet10Heinekens
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-10-13
            • 10567

            #6
            G.L. sir, if my day session of tennis goes well, I will tail
            Comment
            • addictedto
              SBR MVP
              • 07-03-08
              • 1935

              #7
              Odds for Dimi dropping fast, take the train guys
              Comment
              • kenz
                SBR MVP
                • 12-09-12
                • 4879

                #8
                Murray is now around @1.50

                +4.5 is around @1.45 right now
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  I'm not sold on this. One of those too good to be true lines and books aren't really stupid about these normally.
                  Comment
                  • matt1216
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-27-11
                    • 14683

                    #10
                    kenz, Simon is one of the best returners in the game. He was frustrating the hell out of Murray early on. Murray was returning great in the second and 3rd set. I think that was Murray's only chance to lose here as I see him taking Dimitrov to the woodshed. Good luck though
                    Comment
                    • JC1186
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-21-14
                      • 1070

                      #11
                      Given the way Andy has been starting matches I'd be taking Dimitrov to win the first set @ 2.60.

                      I can totally see Dimitrov winning the first but then the 4.5 still not covering.
                      Comment
                      • kenz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-12
                        • 4879

                        #12
                        Need 1 more game and no one to retire
                        Comment
                        • kenz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-09-12
                          • 4879

                          #13
                          Originally posted by kenz
                          $1000 Dimitrov +4.5 @1.58

                          Should hit if baby Fed does not choke big. He always plays close games against Nadal and Djokovic. Historically he stayed in the game against Murray too


                          +$580

                          Began recording: 25/02
                          Total: +$3,725.70
                          Comment
                          • AceAce
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-23-14
                            • 158

                            #14
                            Great call Kenz!
                            Comment
                            • AceAce
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 02-23-14
                              • 158

                              #15
                              I was on at +3
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #16
                                ​good call bud
                                Comment
                                • Goat Milk
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 25850

                                  #17
                                  great call
                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                  Comment
                                  • kenz
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-12
                                    • 4879

                                    #18
                                    Thanks guys

                                    I waited for the market to open and bought it as soon as it did. First Unibet opened +5.5 @1.22 but I was not interested in the price. Pinnacle opened +4.5 @1.58 half an hour after Unibet and it was gone after half an hour or an hour not sure, the biggest line was +4 @1.45 afterwards

                                    Baby Fed always played very close games against Nadal and Djokovic and played closed games and covered +4.5 against Murray in 4 games when Murray ML was between @1.02 to @1.20

                                    Now Dimitrov developed into a dangerous, attacking-style player and Murray has been playing way too defensive/passive after Wimbledon win + long injury break, I thought an in-form Dimitrov's attacking style would result in a close match and there is no way Murray could win by a margin of 5 games
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      Kenzer great call!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • JC1186
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-21-14
                                        • 1070

                                        #20
                                        Were you nervous when Murray broke to go up a second break *4-1 in the first set Kenzer?
                                        Comment
                                        • kenz
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-09-12
                                          • 4879

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by JC1186
                                          Were you nervous when Murray broke to go up a second break *4-1 in the first set Kenzer?
                                          Mad more than nervous

                                          More mad when Dimitrov got broken in the first break point Murray had but wasted 3 break points in the next game
                                          Comment
                                          • JC1186
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-21-14
                                            • 1070

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by kenz
                                            Mad more than nervous

                                            More mad when Dimitrov got broken in the first break point Murray had but wasted 3 break points in the next game
                                            Haha oh I know that feeling all too well.
                                            Comment
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