Steve Johnson has to be the play Saturday +150 over Kevin Anderson

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  • BennyBigNuts
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-16-12
    • 8700

    #1
    Steve Johnson has to be the play Saturday +150 over Kevin Anderson
    Hearing a lot of good things about this guy and he already spanked Anderson's ass once this year on same surface.
    I don't see how the +150 isn't the play here?
    Anderson is garbage anyways.
    The more I watch Anderson, the more I just want to fade him against anyone halfway decent, even though I had him yesterday. Horrible pressure point player.

    Anyone think Anderson's price is justified in this match?
  • samus82
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-16-10
    • 403

    #2
    Johnson did beat Tommy Haas here and Lopez (who looked very subdued). He does have a good game and last night watching him against Lopez, everytime Lopez attacked the net, Johnson had the balls to go for some tough passing shots.

    I think it will be a close game. Not sure how well Johnson will handle the Anderson serve though.

    Johnson would be my play.
    Comment
    • Akatana
      SBR MVP
      • 05-05-13
      • 1307

      #3
      I was looking into this game that's why i came here to see what's going on. I'm going to take Johnson. Anderson pulled a fking miracle last night for all of us, but you're right against Johnson who is very decent and at decent odds I'm going to fade faderson.
      Comment
      • samus82
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-16-10
        • 403

        #4
        Bear in mind whilst Johnson has demonstrated good form, if Anderson brings his A-game the match is only going to go one way.
        Comment
        • zec
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-03-14
          • 548

          #5
          Nerves and inexperience might be a factor here.. I agree with the current odds.
          Comment
          • matt1216
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-27-11
            • 14683

            #6
            Benny Sir,

            Anderson is the play. Anderson vs Robocop coming up.
            Comment
            • BennyBigNuts
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-16-12
              • 8700

              #7
              Originally posted by matt1216
              Benny Sir,

              Anderson is the play. Anderson vs Robocop coming up.
              I had Anderson yesterday and he definitely played bad enough to get beat. I don't like you being on Anderson but I'm gonna go with the price here on a the kid who already beat him this month, fk it.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                I don't think the match in January has much bearing on this one. Anderson was suffering from a virus to start the season, caused him to miss the Brisbane tournament the week prior to Auckland. That made the match against Johnson his 1st of the season.

                Granted I don't have a great feel on Johnson this week. I did think if a qualifier was going to run the table that Johnson or Williams had a shot if given the right draw. His draw looked tough, but Lopez looked thoroughly disinterested yesterday and I'm not sure a win over Haas is going to be a highlight by the end of the year.

                I have been a fan of Johnson, but he has not really shown a ton of progress in his game the last year or so. He looked to be a breakout candidate after his nice US Open run in 2012 and the match against Almagro at the Aussie Open in 2013. But he really leveled off last year.
                Comment
                • toddhigg
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 10-05-13
                  • 54

                  #9
                  Kevin Anderson actually resides in Delray Beach, so it is essentially a "home" game for him. He has also won this tournament before, so there is a definite comfort level for him there. On the surface Johnson seems like a good play, but I am going to pass. Nerves could be a factor for Steve.
                  Comment
                  • Bumdeal
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-17-13
                    • 3954

                    #10
                    Pulled the trigger on Johnson lets hope this dog barks
                    Comment
                    • fitguy67
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-13-11
                      • 5082

                      #11
                      i grabbed an Anderson future several days ago at +1026...

                      if the beanpole makes it to the finals i'd have to hedge there, just to keep my sanity...
                      if i nervous-nellie this match too, i'll just end up hedging twice, doubling on the insurance premium...

                      fuk it...most sensible thing for me to do is watch episodes 2 and 3 of True Detective and let my Anderson position fly without a net... and THEN check the scoreboard

                      BTW, if i didn't have this futures play clouding my thinking right now, and this were a stand-alone play...it'd be Stevey at this pricey
                      Comment
                      • fsulover100
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-18-11
                        • 335

                        #12
                        This is why you don't bet Johnson lmao broken twice already.
                        Comment
                        • Bumdeal
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-17-13
                          • 3954

                          #13
                          Originally posted by fsulover100
                          This is why you don't bet Johnson lmao broken twice already.
                          Captain hindsight calling the match before the first set ends. The worst kind of poster. So much fail.
                          Comment
                          • BennyBigNuts
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-16-12
                            • 8700

                            #14
                            Originally posted by fsulover100
                            This is why you don't bet Johnson lmao broken twice already.
                            Originally posted by Bumdeal

                            Captain hindsight calling the match before the first set ends. The worst kind of poster. So much fail.
                            LOL
                            Yeah.
                            Homo of the month award.
                            Comment
                            • MartyFR
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 02-14-14
                              • 317

                              #15
                              Don't blame you for taking Johnson.

                              Anderson sucked yday, but looking solid today.
                              Comment
                              • matt1216
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-27-11
                                • 14683

                                #16
                                Originally posted by fsulover100
                                This is why you don't bet Johnson lmao broken twice already.
                                Buddy, go back into that cave you were hiding in. I was all over Anderson here myself, but comments like these get old real fast. There's no need to highlight peoples misfortunes.
                                Comment
                                • BennyBigNuts
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-16-12
                                  • 8700

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by MartyFR
                                  Don't blame you for taking Johnson.

                                  Anderson sucked yday, but looking solid today.
                                  Yeah agreed.
                                  I felt like I was lucky yesterday having Anderson. He's crispy as fukk today. Not to mention Johnson looks awful.
                                  Comment
                                  • matt1216
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-27-11
                                    • 14683

                                    #18
                                    hey Benny, Lopez made Johnson look good. Kinda like how robredo made andujar look good

                                    You get where I'm going with this? Make some cash tonight in the Nadal/andujar matchup
                                    Comment
                                    • fitguy67
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-13-11
                                      • 5082

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                      LOL
                                      Yeah.
                                      Homo of the month award.
                                      henceforth known as "The Gus Fring Memorial FelchingStraw "

                                      three key criteria:

                                      1. 20-20 hindsight

                                      2. chicken-little intuition (aka. recognition of "massive gifts" and "traps")

                                      3. convenient attacks of amnesia re: 1. and 2. above to allow intra-game "i told u so" flip-flops

                                      __________

                                      cappinpicks heavily favored to suck on the historic first edition
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #20
                                        He did, but Johnson was a lot better as well. Not to mention, Anderson was a lot worse.
                                        Comment
                                        • Akatana
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-05-13
                                          • 1307

                                          #21
                                          Damn glad i didn't fade faderson after all geez
                                          Comment
                                          • matt1216
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-27-11
                                            • 14683

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Akatana
                                            Damn glad i didn't fade faderson after all geez
                                            Hes healthy again.with some confidence back he's now playing good tennis. Not great, but much better than last year.
                                            Comment
                                            • fitguy67
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-13-11
                                              • 5082

                                              #23
                                              of the three acromegaliacs (Karlovic, Isner, and Anderson)...Anderson is the one most capable of playing something that looks like tennis once the ball has gone over the net 3 times...the most mobile/athletic of the three once an actual contested-rally gets going (followed closely by Isner...both miles ahead of Karlovic who is little beyond a big-serve/fat-forehand bot)

                                              a few inches below these three we have two top-tier guys that play full-featured tennis (Berdych and Cilic)...picture Dodi Sela being allowed to serve off a barber's chair, then jump down to finish the point...

                                              particularly with Isner's current generally-stiff condition, Cilic is correctly heavily-favored tonight....their last 3 H2H's (3-0, all straight sets, on three different surfaces) are revealing...tall full-dimensional tennis player vs. ridiculously-tall big-hitter of set-up shots...the real tennis player wins at least as often as the -200 indicates
                                              Comment
                                              • lucullus
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-16-13
                                                • 1027

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by fitguy67
                                                of the three acromegaliacs (Karlovic, Isner, and Anderson)...Anderson is the one most capable of playing something that looks like tennis once the ball has gone over the net 3 times...the most mobile/athletic of the three once an actual contested-rally gets going (followed closely by Isner...both miles ahead of Karlovic who is little beyond a big-serve/fat-forehand bot)

                                                a few inches below these three we have two top-tier guys that play full-featured tennis (Berdych and Cilic)...picture Dodi Sela being allowed to serve off a barber's chair, then jump down to finish the point...

                                                particularly with Isner's current generally-stiff condition, Cilic is correctly heavily-favored tonight....their last 3 H2H's (3-0, all straight sets, on three different surfaces) are revealing...tall full-dimensional tennis player vs. ridiculously-tall big-hitter of set-up shots...

                                                Cilic over Isner or nothing in the other semi...
                                                agreed
                                                Comment
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