ATP Rio de Janeiro QF

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  • Metaphor
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-05-13
    • 80

    #1
    ATP Rio de Janeiro QF
    Bellucci - Ferrer @ 6.50

    - Now if this match took place anywhere else than in Brazil I wouldn't back Bellucci. Have you heard the crowd? I have hardly ever heard this loud support in a tennis match. Everytime their player wins a point the crowd goes absolutely crazy and completely silent when the opponent does so. They cheer to unforced errors made by the opponent (which is stupid imo) and boo if he questions a line call. At least this was the case in the two matches I caught, Bellucci-Monaco and Pereira-Mayr. Ferrer might have more fans here but the vast majority will surely be behind their countryman.
    - Bellucci actually won their last meeting dating back to April 2012 and did so in straight sets. Knowing he has beaten the guy on the other side of the net before should give him some confidence.
    - Many of you won't agree with this but I'll have it anyway: this will be Ferrer's sixth match in seven days - he might just feel a little tired. You know, he is turning 32 in one month and isn't getting any younger, he won't run like a rabbit till he is 40. This year he has lost to Lu and Brands, I wouldn't rank these guys ahead of Bellucci who is a much better player than his ranking indicates.
  • zec
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-03-14
    • 548

    #2
    Sorry but no way..
    Comment
    • Bumdeal
      SBR MVP
      • 12-17-13
      • 3954

      #3
      The over looks attractive.
      Comment
      • kaliboyz
        SBR MVP
        • 10-30-09
        • 3121

        #4
        may be worth a $50 to win $250 . He played very good against Monaco and the fans was crazy for this Brazilian dude.But, I guess the outcome would be Ferrer 6-4, 6-4.
        Comment
        • matt1216
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-27-11
          • 14683

          #5
          Originally posted by Metaphor
          Bellucci - Ferrer @ 6.50

          - Now if this match took place anywhere else than in Brazil I wouldn't back Bellucci. Have you heard the crowd? I have hardly ever heard this loud support in a tennis match. Everytime their player wins a point the crowd goes absolutely crazy and completely silent when the opponent does so. They cheer to unforced errors made by the opponent (which is stupid imo) and boo if he questions a line call. At least this was the case in the two matches I caught, Bellucci-Monaco and Pereira-Mayr. Ferrer might have more fans here but the vast majority will surely be behind their countryman.
          - Bellucci actually won their last meeting dating back to April 2012 and did so in straight sets. Knowing he has beaten the guy on the other side of the net before should give him some confidence.
          - Many of you won't agree with this but I'll have it anyway: this will be Ferrer's sixth match in seven days - he might just feel a little tired. You know, he is turning 32 in one month and isn't getting any younger, he won't run like a rabbit till he is 40. This year he has lost to Lu and Brands, I wouldn't rank these guys ahead of Bellucci who is a much better player than his ranking indicates.
          good luck metaphor. Bellucci could get it done. Ferrer wasn't that great vs delbonis
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            Bad match-up IMO. Bellucci will get outworked in rallies and his serve will get exposed IMO. I wouldn't think Ferrer is overly fatigued her either. He did play four straight days last week, but got the rest day in between tourneys and a day off in between his first and second matches in Rio and the day off today. Sometimes I think we tend to overestimate fatigue if we see a guy playing two straight tourneys where he is running deep in both. Sometimes it is set up poorly where they have to play every day, but often you will find some spots like this where Ferrer has actually gotten some decent rest.

            I think Andujar or Dolgopolov presents a much more realistic dog opportunity in the QFs. Dolgopolov more so IMO because I do think Fognini is nearing the end of his tank having played three weeks in a row where he has played quite a bit. He's had some rest too, but logged a lot of miles and heavier court time with the three setters this week.
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #7
              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
              Bad match-up IMO. Bellucci will get outworked in rallies and his serve will get exposed IMO. I wouldn't think Ferrer is overly fatigued her either. He did play four straight days last week, but got the rest day in between tourneys and a day off in between his first and second matches in Rio and the day off today. Sometimes I think we tend to overestimate fatigue if we see a guy playing two straight tourneys where he is running deep in both. Sometimes it is set up poorly where they have to play every day, but often you will find some spots like this where Ferrer has actually gotten some decent rest.

              I think Andujar or Dolgopolov presents a much more realistic dog opportunity in the QFs. Dolgopolov more so IMO because I do think Fognini is nearing the end of his tank having played three weeks in a row where he has played quite a bit. He's had some rest too, but logged a lot of miles and heavier court time with the three setters this week.
              I see it as well. Fognini should be tiring. It showed vs bedene and Cuevas. The Dog can win tomorrow. Remember guys the Dog likes to play to his opponents level. Kinda the reason why we see 3 setters a lot from him.
              Comment
              • Hardcoar
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-17-13
                • 15606

                #8
                Originally posted by Metaphor
                Bellucci - Ferrer @ 6.50

                - Now if this match took place anywhere else than in Brazil I wouldn't back Bellucci. Have you heard the crowd? I have hardly ever heard this loud support in a tennis match. Everytime their player wins a point the crowd goes absolutely crazy and completely silent when the opponent does so. They cheer to unforced errors made by the opponent (which is stupid imo) and boo if he questions a line call. At least this was the case in the two matches I caught, Bellucci-Monaco and Pereira-Mayr. Ferrer might have more fans here but the vast majority will surely be behind their countryman.
                - Bellucci actually won their last meeting dating back to April 2012 and did so in straight sets. Knowing he has beaten the guy on the other side of the net before should give him some confidence.
                - Many of you won't agree with this but I'll have it anyway: this will be Ferrer's sixth match in seven days - he might just feel a little tired. You know, he is turning 32 in one month and isn't getting any younger, he won't run like a rabbit till he is 40. This year he has lost to Lu and Brands, I wouldn't rank these guys ahead of Bellucci who is a much better player than his ranking indicates.
                You must be American then, because while Brazilian crowds are the best in the entire world (well documented by plenty of the world's leading music artists), North-American crowds are among the very worst.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  Ferrer rarely loses to a lesser ranked player than him the last few years

                  Guys just cannot take his pressure
                  Comment
                  • zec
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-03-14
                    • 548

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Hardcoar
                    You must be American then, because while Brazilian crowds are the best in the entire world (well documented by plenty of the world's leading music artists), North-American crowds are among the very worst.
                    LOL what? He must be American because he has hardly heard the support this loud which you agree is the best in the world? Gotcha
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #11
                      No he must be American because the crowds he's used to suck their own ass and Brazilians are batshit insane. I don't see how saying someone must be an American is offensive... I thought USA was no. 1 and all.
                      Comment
                      • zec
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-03-14
                        • 548

                        #12
                        I didn't say it was offensive, it makes no sense as there are hundreds of crowds around the world that are nowhere near the Brazil crowds in tennis..
                        Comment
                        • Metaphor
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 11-05-13
                          • 80

                          #13
                          Bellucci takes the first set 6-4. The crowd is not as loud as yesterday though. C'mon Thomaz!
                          Comment
                          • Bumdeal
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-17-13
                            • 3954

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Bumdeal
                            The over looks attractive.
                            Comment
                            • Metaphor
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 11-05-13
                              • 80

                              #15
                              Gz Bumdeal! Ferrer 6-3 and it's one set all. Bellucci had chances to break in the beginning of the second but couldn't convert and Ferrer ran away with the set. Crucial hold now to start the third.
                              Comment
                              • Bumdeal
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-17-13
                                • 3954

                                #16
                                I'm rooting for you Meta
                                Comment
                                • Taint
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 02-05-14
                                  • 167

                                  #17
                                  Why is this tool delaying game to get fingered in his asss
                                  Comment
                                  • Metaphor
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 11-05-13
                                    • 80

                                    #18
                                    Thanks, unfortunately Bellucci got broken from 40-15 up and now receiving treatment
                                    Comment
                                    • prophesyPRO
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-06-14
                                      • 119

                                      #19
                                      Don't retire Bellu! I need this to close out a parlay!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Taint
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 02-05-14
                                        • 167

                                        #20
                                        Unreal stupid spics delaying this shit for no reason
                                        Comment
                                        • bababooey13
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-13
                                          • 1897

                                          #21
                                          is it raining?
                                          Comment
                                          • SteveKerrsJunk
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-25-13
                                            • 2706

                                            #22
                                            What is the holdup? Ferrer had all the momentum...
                                            Comment
                                            • bababooey13
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-13
                                              • 1897

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by SteveKerrsJunk
                                              What is the holdup? Nadal had all the momentum...
                                              nadal has momentum even when he isn't playing.


                                              reading on twitter there was a flood light issue and ferrer isn't very happy. return to court in 15 mins they say.
                                              Comment
                                              • SteveKerrsJunk
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-25-13
                                                • 2706

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by bababooey13
                                                nadal has momentum even when he isn't playing.


                                                reading on twitter there was a flood light issue and ferrer isn't very happy. return to court in 15 mins they say.
                                                Sounds like some home cooking BS to me
                                                Comment
                                                • Taint
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 02-05-14
                                                  • 167

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm watching the over light to the stadium is missing some bulbs but it's bull shit bellici got a massage now extra time to recover
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SteveKerrsJunk
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-25-13
                                                    • 2706

                                                    #26
                                                    When they gonna restart this shit
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Cappinpicks
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-11-10
                                                      • 14986

                                                      #27
                                                      they want bellucci to win all part of the plan
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SteveKerrsJunk
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-25-13
                                                        • 2706

                                                        #28
                                                        ........
                                                        Comment
                                                        • prophesyPRO
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 01-06-14
                                                          • 119

                                                          #29
                                                          Lights are on!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Hardcoar
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-17-13
                                                            • 15606

                                                            #30
                                                            DAVIIID!!! choking a hooker backstage.

                                                            Need I say how?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tipsadontlikehim
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-14-13
                                                              • 2569

                                                              #31
                                                              officials failed to bribe Ferrer, game can resume
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Metaphor
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 11-05-13
                                                                • 80

                                                                #32
                                                                They are playing again after 2 hours pause.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Metaphor
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 11-05-13
                                                                  • 80

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Yeah 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 for Ferrer. I hate to go against this guy, he is just too solid.. but if there ever was a time to do so I feel this was a decent spot so I'm not feeling too bad.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Taint
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 02-05-14
                                                                    • 167

                                                                    #34
                                                                    You should've just taken the spread, the +4.5 +105 hit perfectly
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                      I think Andujar or Dolgopolov presents a much more realistic dog opportunity in the QFs. Dolgopolov more so IMO because I do think Fognini is nearing the end of his tank having played three weeks in a row where he has played quite a bit. He's had some rest too, but logged a lot of miles and heavier court time with the three setters this week.
                                                                      Damn, shoulda played both. At least Dog cashed for a play. Andujar crushed Robredo.
                                                                      Comment
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