Berdych/Wawrinka line is +110/-130 at Bookmaker vs. +125/-150 at Bovada

[No coincidences]

Is it common for books to be this far apart on a tennis line, or is CRIS leaning Berdych here?

[No coincidences]

Looks like Stan has won six of the last seven matchups with Berdych, yet he's only -130?

[MagicDiceFlow]

Nah, that's nothing.

I've seen differences of over 60 cents across books sometimes. Also, if you notice, Bovada has a quarter juice spread right there so its not much of a difference. Plus CRIS isnt the sharpest book for tennis , far from it.

[lucasdawg]

whats your lean magic

[bababooey13]

Looks like Stan has won six of the last seven matchups with Berdych, yet he's only -130?

h2h is deceiving. they've all been tight matches, neither guy has won in straight sets and they've gone into a bunch of tiebreakers. slight value on birdshit or bet the over imo.

[No coincidences]

Nah, that's nothing.

I've seen differences of over 60 cents across books sometimes. Also, if you notice, Bovada has a quarter juice spread right there so its not much of a difference. Plus CRIS isnt the sharpest book for tennis , far from it.

Thanks MDF.

Just seems like Wawrinka should be -150 minimum here. Owned their recent series together, coming off a huge win over Joker.

[sk47]

So whats da lean

[MagicDiceFlow]

whats your lean magic

I'm on Wawrinka.

[minathomas88]

Thanks MDF.

Just seems like Wawrinka should be -150 minimum here. Owned their recent series together, coming off a huge win over Joker.

If you noticed... Wawrinka played a grueling 5setter (bassically 6 sets) since it was 10-9 or 9-7 in the last

Berdych on the other hand is FRESH he has had no real tough matches so far hence why wawrinka is not that short. If they both had even rest they Wawrinka will be clear fave however the stats show that those who play a 5 setter are about 35-40% more likely to lose their next game.

I am liking Wawrinka to win first set and lose match at $6.5

Hope that info is useful

[No coincidences]

If you noticed... Wawrinka played a grueling 5setter (bassically 6 sets) since it was 10-9 or 9-7 in the last

Berdych on the other hand is FRESH he has had no real tough matches so far hence why wawrinka is not that short. If they both had even rest they Wawrinka will be clear fave however the stats show that those who play a 5 setter are about 35-40% more likely to lose their next game.

I am liking Wawrinka to win first set and lose match at $6.5

Hope that info is useful

Will be an interesting match to watch. Thanks.

[lucasdawg]

I'm on Wawrinka.

just hard on rinka ML? anything else you like?

[frugalgambler]

If you noticed... Wawrinka played a grueling 5setter (bassically 6 sets) since it was 10-9 or 9-7 in the last

Berdych on the other hand is FRESH he has had no real tough matches so far hence why wawrinka is not that short. If they both had even rest they Wawrinka will be clear fave however the stats show that those who play a 5 setter are about 35-40% more likely to lose their next game.

I am liking Wawrinka to win first set and lose match at $6.5

Hope that info is useful

This is interesting, but this does not take into account the fact that usually dudes that go 5 sets in a previous round are not playing well enough to beat a better opponent in the next round. Top players like Djoker/Nadal tend to rebound quite nicely after a grueling 5-setter. E.g. in 2011/2012 Waw beat Tsonga/Gasquet in five and then lost to Feds/Nadal. Do you honestly think his chances to beat them were that much lowered against those two by playing a five setter ?

The fatigue will be a factor but I think Wawrinka is one of the better players in terms of endurance. Plus with the way these two are serving a lot of the points should be relatively fast.