SK's Australian Open 2014 Picks Thread

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  • suicidekings
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-23-09
    • 9962
    #36
    Originally posted by oBaMa_MaNiA
    Which guys do you see not losing tonight?

    Trying to put together a parlay or something that is -300 to -500.
    The only chalk I think stands a good chance of losing tonight is Cilic. I'd be surprised if any of the other top players didn't cruise through.
      Comment
      • suicidekings
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-23-09
        • 9962
        #37
        28) Raonic -2.5 sets (+103) x1
          Comment
          • suicidekings
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-23-09
            • 9962
            #38
            29) LIVE (1-1 sets): Tomljanovic ML (+319) x0.5
              Comment
              • suicidekings
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-09
                • 9962
                #39
                Originally posted by suicidekings
                25) Sloane Stephens -5.5 (+106) x1

                30) LIVE (1-1 sets, 3-0 Stephens 3rd set): Tomljanovic +5.5 games (-101) x1

                I'll take the 0.5u hit on the Tomljanovic ML play. I don't trust Stephens to get the 6-1 or 6-0 in this set that the -5.5 would have needed to cash.

                Play suspended due to lightning now...
                  Comment
                  • suicidekings
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 9962
                    #40
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    21) Giorgi +1.5 sets (-128) x1
                    22) McHale / Wozniacki Over 20.5 games (-112) x1
                    23) McHale ML (+290) x0.5
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    24) Gilles Simon ML (+310) x1
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    25) Sloane Stephens -5.5 (+106) x1
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    26) Parlay: Nadal -2.5 sets / Murray -2.5 sets / Federer -2.5 sets / Del Potro ML / Monfils ML (+109) x1
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    27) Federer / Kavcic Under 30 games (-115) x1
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    28) Raonic -2.5 sets (+103) x1
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    29) LIVE (1-1 sets): Tomljanovic ML (+319) x0.5
                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                    30) LIVE (1-1 sets, 3-0 Stephens 3rd set): Tomljanovic +5.5 games (-101) x1
                    Day 4: 6-4 +5.13u
                    Overall: 15-12-1 +6.71u
                      Comment
                      • suicidekings
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-23-09
                        • 9962
                        #41
                        31) Chardy ML (+257) x1
                          Comment
                          • suicidekings
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 03-23-09
                            • 9962
                            #42
                            32) Mayer -2 (-110) x1
                              Comment
                              • suicidekings
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-23-09
                                • 9962
                                #43
                                33) LIVE (1st set, 4-1 Roger Vasselin): Over 40 (-112) x1

                                This seems pretty much guaranteed to me with R-V looking to take the first set. 4 sets and at least one tiebreak, minimum, I would think.
                                  Comment
                                  • oBaMa_MaNiA
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-20-09
                                    • 1067
                                    #44
                                    Thoughts on the Querry/Fognini match?
                                      Comment
                                      • suicidekings
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 03-23-09
                                        • 9962
                                        #45
                                        Originally posted by oBaMa_MaNiA
                                        Thoughts on the Querry/Fognini match?
                                        Not really. Mild lean to Querrey, I suppose, but I don't really trust either, and a good part of his last win came from Gulbis' failure more than Querrey's dominance. No play for me.
                                          Comment
                                          • suicidekings
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-23-09
                                            • 9962
                                            #46
                                            34) LIVE (Sets: 2-1 R-V, 3-2 R-V 4th set): R-V ML (-165) x1.25
                                              Comment
                                              • suicidekings
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-23-09
                                                • 9962
                                                #47
                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                31) Chardy ML (+257) x1
                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                32) Mayer -2 (-110) x1
                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                33) LIVE (1st set, 4-1 Roger Vasselin): Over 40 (-112) x1
                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                34) LIVE (Sets: 2-1 R-V, 3-2 R-V 4th set): R-V ML (-165) x1.25

                                                2-2 (-1.06u)

                                                That was so close to working out until ERV duffed it, serving for the match...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • suicidekings
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                    • 9962
                                                    #48
                                                    35) LIVE (1st set, 3-0 Gasquet): Robredo ML (+387) x0.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • suicidekings
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                        • 9962
                                                        #49
                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                        2-2 (-1.06u)
                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                        35) LIVE (1st set, 3-0 Gasquet): Robredo ML (+387) x0.5

                                                        1-0 (+1.93u)

                                                        Overall: 18-14-1 +7.58u
                                                          Comment
                                                          • suicidekings
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                            • 9962
                                                            #50
                                                            36) Wozniacki ML (-117) x1.5
                                                            37) Wozniacki -1.5 sets (+219) x0.5
                                                            38) Dimitrov ML (+115) x1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • suicidekings
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 03-23-09
                                                                • 9962
                                                                #51
                                                                39) Federer Under 18.5 games won (-129) x1

                                                                Fed in straight sets is a bit pricy, but I think this will serve just as well. Gabashvili is a UFE machine.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • suicidekings
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                                    • 9962
                                                                    #52
                                                                    Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                    36) Wozniacki ML (-117) x1.5
                                                                    37) Wozniacki -1.5 sets (+219) x0.5
                                                                    38) Dimitrov ML (+115) x1
                                                                    39) Federer Under 18.5 games won (-129) x1

                                                                    2-2 (-0.11u)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • suicidekings
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                                        • 9962
                                                                        #53
                                                                        40) Monfils +2.5 sets (-104) x1
                                                                          Comment
                                                                          • suicidekings
                                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                                            • 9962
                                                                            #54
                                                                            41) LIVE (1st set, 2-1 Pennetta): Pennetta -1.5 sets (+247) x1
                                                                              Comment
                                                                              • suicidekings
                                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                • 03-23-09
                                                                                • 9962
                                                                                #55
                                                                                42) LIVE (3rd set, 2-1 Kerber): Pennetta ML (+367) x0.5
                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                  • suicidekings
                                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                                                    • 9962
                                                                                    #56
                                                                                    43) Ivanovic / Williams Under 19 (-115) x1
                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                      • suicidekings
                                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                                                        • 9962
                                                                                        #57
                                                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                        2-2 (-0.11u)
                                                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                        40) Monfils +2.5 sets (-104) x1
                                                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                        41) LIVE (1st set, 2-1 Pennetta): Pennetta -1.5 sets (+247) x1
                                                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                        42) LIVE (3rd set, 2-1 Kerber): Pennetta ML (+367) x0.5
                                                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                        43) Ivanovic / Williams Under 19 (-115) x1
                                                                                        3-5 -1.46u

                                                                                        Overall: 21-19-1 (+6.12u)
                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                          • suicidekings
                                                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                                                            • 9962
                                                                                            #58
                                                                                            44) Cibulkova ML (+235) x1
                                                                                            45) Federer -2 (-110) x1
                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                              • suicidekings
                                                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                • 03-23-09
                                                                                                • 9962
                                                                                                #59
                                                                                                46) LIVE (1st set, 4-1 Dimitrov): Bautista-Agut ML (+291) x1
                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                  • suicidekings
                                                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                                                                    • 9962
                                                                                                    #60
                                                                                                    47) LIVE (4th set: 2-1 Dimitrov, 2-2): 5th set Dimitrov (-130) risking 2.91u

                                                                                                    No convenient way to hedge out on Grigor for the match at this point.

                                                                                                    I think even if Bautista-Agut can take the 4th set, Dimitrov will take the 5th.
                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                      • suicidekings
                                                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                                                                        • 9962
                                                                                                        #61
                                                                                                        48) Nishikori / Nadal Under 28.5 games (+156) x1
                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                          • suicidekings
                                                                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                                                                            • 9962
                                                                                                            #62
                                                                                                            49) LIVE (1st set, 4-3 Ivanovic): Bouchard ML (+380) x0.5
                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                              • suicidekings
                                                                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                                • 03-23-09
                                                                                                                • 9962
                                                                                                                #63
                                                                                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                                                44) Cibulkova ML (+235) x1
                                                                                                                45) Federer -2 (-110) x1
                                                                                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                                                46) LIVE (1st set, 4-1 Dimitrov): Bautista-Agut ML (+291) x1
                                                                                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                                                47) LIVE (4th set: 2-1 Dimitrov, 2-2): 5th set Dimitrov (-130) risking 2.91u
                                                                                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                                                48) Nishikori / Nadal Under 28.5 games (+156) x1
                                                                                                                1/19: 2-2-1 (+1.35u)
                                                                                                                Overall: 23-21-2 (+7.47u)
                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                  • suicidekings
                                                                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                                                                                    • 9962
                                                                                                                    #64
                                                                                                                    50) Ferrer ML (+151) x1
                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                      • suicidekings
                                                                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                                                                                        • 9962
                                                                                                                        #65
                                                                                                                        51) Djokovic / Wawrinka Over 36 games (-108) x1
                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                          • suicidekings
                                                                                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                                                                                            • 9962
                                                                                                                            #66
                                                                                                                            Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                                                            49) LIVE (1st set, 4-3 Ivanovic): Bouchard ML (+380) x0.5
                                                                                                                            Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                                                            50) Ferrer ML (+151) x1
                                                                                                                            Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                                                            51) Djokovic / Wawrinka Over 36 games (-108) x1
                                                                                                                            1/20: 2-1 (+1.9u)
                                                                                                                            Overall: 25-22-2 (+9.37u)
                                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                                              • suicidekings
                                                                                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                                                • 03-23-09
                                                                                                                                • 9962
                                                                                                                                #67
                                                                                                                                52) Cibulkova ML (+136) x1
                                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                                  • suicidekings
                                                                                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                                                                                                    • 9962
                                                                                                                                    #68
                                                                                                                                    53) Radwanska ML (+421) x1

                                                                                                                                    I can't stand Azarenka.
                                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                                      • suicidekings
                                                                                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                                                                                                        • 9962
                                                                                                                                        #69
                                                                                                                                        54) Dimitrov +2.5 sets (-113) x1
                                                                                                                                        55) Dimitrov ML (+654) x0.5
                                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                                          • suicidekings
                                                                                                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                                                                                            • 03-23-09
                                                                                                                                            • 9962
                                                                                                                                            #70
                                                                                                                                            Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                                                                            52) Cibulkova ML (+136) x1
                                                                                                                                            Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                                                                                            53) Radwanska ML (+421) x1

                                                                                                                                            2-0 (+5.57u)

                                                                                                                                            Overall: 27-22-2 (+14.94u)
                                                                                                                                              Comment
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