Benny's Official 2014 Tennis Thread

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  • BennyBigNuts
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-16-12
    • 8700

    #141
    I fell for the massive price drop on Fognini here.
    He's hurt and probably going to retire before the match ends.
    He was due for a tank.
    Comment
    • Hardcoar
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-17-13
      • 15606

      #142
      He's not tanking. You just said it yourself: THE MAN IS HURT!
      Comment
      • BennyBigNuts
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-16-12
        • 8700

        #143
        Gonna make a couple big wagers for Saturday.

        Cilic over Isner seems like free money.
        Cilic has been playing really well and both of these guys have the big serves but Isner obviously struggles once you get past that.
        Big chalk but seems like a price at only -210, should be a bigger fav in this matchup. I believe he's 2-0 or 3-0 vs Isner already as well.

        Like the over 23 in the Gulbis/Gasquet match. Seems like a very even matchup here IMO. Gulbis is playing really well and Gasquet is one of those scrappy battlers. Could easily see a tiebreaker or 2 in this match as well as 3 sets.

        Also making a smaller wager on Steve Johnson over KA. Johnson has already beat him recently and Anderson looked rather shitty against a mediocre opponent yesterday. Anytime I see this guy favored I want to fade him. I just don't like his game and am never impressed with it.


        BIG PLAYS

        CILIC -210

        GASQUET/GULBIS OVER 23 -110

        SMALL PLAY-
        JOHNSON +150
        Comment
        • BennyBigNuts
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-16-12
          • 8700

          #144
          Damn rough day so far.
          Gulbis owned Gasquet quick and Johnson has no shot in this match.
          Looks like I'm gonna need Cilic to win to break even today.
          Comment
          • Taint
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-05-14
            • 167

            #145
            Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
            Damn rough day so far.
            Gulbis owned Gasquet quick and Johnson has no shot in this match.
            Looks like I'm gonna need Cilic to win to break even today.
            Double down on cilic, isner goes down tonight
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #146
              man, Cilic has beaten Isner everytime they've played, is Isner due here? Or has he looked like absolute shit? Sorry guys I havnt seen him play since I've been at work for the evening matches
              Comment
              • fitguy67
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-13-11
                • 5082

                #147
                Originally posted by matt1216
                man, Cilic has beaten Isner everytime they've played, is Isner due here? Or has he looked like absolute shit? Sorry guys I havnt seen him play since I've been at work for the evening matches
                particularly with Isner's current generally-stiff condition, Cilic is correctly heavily-favored tonight....their last 3 H2H's (3-0, all straight sets, on three different surfaces) are revealing...tall full-dimensional tennis player vs. ridiculously-tall big-hitter of set-up shots...the real tennis player wins at least as often as the -200 indicates
                Comment
                • BennyBigNuts
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-16-12
                  • 8700

                  #148
                  Originally posted by Taint
                  Double down on cilic, isner goes down tonight
                  Yeah I'm locked n loaded on it. Have him in a cpl nba parlays also.
                  Comment
                  • BennyBigNuts
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-16-12
                    • 8700

                    #149
                    Lol cilic comes through for me but I got so lucky tonight. Had a moneyline parlay with him and wizards -260. Down 1 NeNe dunks it just in time with 0.3 left in the game to win by 1. Nice to be lucky once in a while.
                    Comment
                    • poet
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 08-11-13
                      • 796

                      #150
                      Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                      Lol cilic comes through for me but I got so lucky tonight. Had a moneyline parlay with him and wizards -260. Down 1 NeNe dunks it just in time with 0.3 left in the game to win by 1. Nice to be lucky once in a while.
                      You play hoops Benny? I'm liking the Thunder a lot tomorrow, what's your take?
                      Comment
                      • BennyBigNuts
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-16-12
                        • 8700

                        #151
                        Originally posted by poet
                        You play hoops Benny? I'm liking the Thunder a lot tomorrow, what's your take?
                        Not as big a fan as I used to be.
                        NBA sucks now, not competitive enough.

                        OKC doesn't look too bad.
                        I was looking at the Nets over Lakers with the early lines.
                        Comment
                        • BennyBigNuts
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-16-12
                          • 8700

                          #152
                          My early Sunday play is Tsonga -120 over Gulbis and I'm parlaying it with Cilic.
                          Rather small on the play but if Tsonga loses I will be hammering Cilic straight for sure.
                          Lot of Gulbis hype and he's been playing his top game right now, opposed to Tsonga, who has really looked like shit pretty much even though he's winning matches this year.
                          I feel you are getting a great price on Tsonga here because of the circumstances, and it's a final so you know he's gonna bring it.

                          Will be loading up Cilic again today in a few parlays with NBA or college games, there's no way he's losing to Anderson in this final. I don't care if KA won this thing last year, he's not even close to the level of Cilic boys.
                          Straight set blowout in this match.

                          Let's root in Tsonga for the breakfast play though.


                          ​TSONGA -120
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #153
                            Yeah because Konga losing makes Cilic more sure to win.
                            Comment
                            • BennyBigNuts
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-16-12
                              • 8700

                              #154
                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                              Yeah because Konga losing makes Cilic more sure to win.
                              Too complicated to understand? Try reading it again
                              Comment
                              • BennyBigNuts
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-16-12
                                • 8700

                                #155
                                Dropping the hammer on Cilic AGAIN boys.
                                Didn't see him vs. Isner yesterday but dude has been playing solid tennis so far this year.
                                This is a straight set match for sure.
                                I continue to believe Anderson is one of the worst players in the top 20 and will fade him against anyone halfway decent. He's way outclassed here.

                                Got him parlayed with OKC ML also, pays a little better than even money. Let's go POET!
                                BOL today.


                                BIG PLAY-

                                CILIC -240

                                SMALL PLAYS

                                CILIC -1.5 SETS +110

                                CILIC/OKC ML PARLAY +110
                                Comment
                                • Hardcoar
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-17-13
                                  • 15606

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                  Dropping the hammer on Cilic AGAIN boys.
                                  Didn't see him vs. Isner yesterday but dude has been playing solid tennis so far this year.
                                  This is a straight set match for sure.
                                  I continue to believe Anderson is one of the worst players in the top 20 and will fade him against anyone halfway decent. He's way outclassed here.

                                  Got him parlayed with OKC ML also, pays a little better than even money. Let's go POET!
                                  BOL today.


                                  BIG PLAY-

                                  CILIC -240

                                  SMALL PLAYS

                                  CILIC -1.5 SETS +110

                                  CILIC/OKC ML PARLAY +110
                                  On your advice, I did. I say the exact same thing. Now you try and follow your own advice.
                                  Comment
                                  • fitguy67
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-13-11
                                    • 5082

                                    #157
                                    HC, you're being overly-pedantic in that Sheldon-Cooperish way we talked about before, remember?...the other (aka. the "normal") kids in the sandbox don't like it when u're like that...(everybody likes a smart kid, but nobody likes a smart-ass kid)...

                                    ok, everyone, don't mind HC and his cryptic sentences anymore...return to using words and numbers as you wish
                                    Comment
                                    • Hardcoar
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-17-13
                                      • 15606

                                      #158
                                      Actually, I honestly don't get what you mean this time... I mustn't be as smart as I thought I were.
                                      Comment
                                      • BennyBigNuts
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-16-12
                                        • 8700

                                        #159
                                        Originally posted by fitguy67
                                        HC, you're being overly-pedantic in that Sheldon-Cooperish way we talked about before, remember?...the other (aka. the "normal") kids in the sandbox don't like it when u're like that...(everybody likes a smart kid, but nobody likes a smart-ass kid)...

                                        ok, everyone, don't mind HC and his cryptic sentences anymore...return to using words and numbers as you wish
                                        It wasn't even smart, he sounds like a dumbass.
                                        The statement was simple.
                                        If Tsonga loses in the parlay, I move on to my other options of betting Cilic.
                                        I was betting him either way regardless of what Tsonga did, but if he loses, I was going to bet more on Cilic straight. Putting Tsonga in a parlay with him was me trying to save a little money laying the juice on Cilic straight.
                                        I think HC is Eurotrash if I'm not mistaken, so maybe spelling some stuff out a little better word for word next time will help him, since he's worried about what I'm betting lol.


                                        Anyways, Thunder lose, off to another bad start today just like yesterday. Cilic has to save me again. If he straight sets it I win a good amount still.
                                        LETS GO CILIC!!
                                        Comment
                                        • Hardcoar
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-13
                                          • 15606

                                          #160
                                          I am a dumb-ass. I am Eurotrash unless you're mistaken.
                                          Comment
                                          • STAY STRONG
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 2498

                                            #161
                                            Fight.
                                            Comment
                                            • Hardcoar
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-17-13
                                              • 15606

                                              #162
                                              I don't need to fight to prove I'm right.
                                              Comment
                                              • BennyBigNuts
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-16-12
                                                • 8700

                                                #163
                                                Fukkkk
                                                Cilic serving for the match there breaks.
                                                Cmonnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn
                                                Comment
                                                • BennyBigNuts
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-16-12
                                                  • 8700

                                                  #164
                                                  Been laying low with the tennis scene lately.
                                                  Tennis is a pain in the ass to watch everyday due to the awful streams you have to watch some of the matches on.
                                                  Wish there was easier ways to watch these matches.
                                                  Anyways gonna make my return play on a guy I feel should be a small favorite but getting plus money on.
                                                  Gonna take Raonic +120.
                                                  Murray continues to struggle and play 3 set matches vs. tons of lesser competition.
                                                  Raonic is pretty underrated.

                                                  2-1 vs. Murray in the few matches they have played in the past, and just seems like the right spot for him.
                                                  BOL boys.

                                                  RAONIC +120
                                                  Comment
                                                  • fitguy67
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 03-13-11
                                                    • 5082

                                                    #165
                                                    Raonic's game is gelling very quickly...

                                                    1st game he served like a perfectly-tuned bot...but apart from serving he played dreadful ITF-level

                                                    last game out, his ability to actually play tennis when the ball went over the net more than once improved greatly (more like a top-tier Challenger-level guy)...and his serve stayed on...

                                                    of the very tall guys..as far as NON-serving elements of the game...i rate them in this order (best first) with regard to talent (not their current form): Raonic, Cilic, Anderson, Isner (Karlovic doesn't even deserve a mention here...as 1-dimensional a serving bot as they come)

                                                    when Raonic gets fully back in form he is arguably more dangerous to the elite-tier guys than a Nishi, Dimitrov or Gulbis imo...and Murray's not playing anything like an elite-tier guy ever since the operation...

                                                    at plus money, Raonic a good call...if he continues getting sharper it's a sure thing he'll make this a battle, maybe even dominate if Murray continues to play safe and timid
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BennyBigNuts
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-16-12
                                                      • 8700

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by BennyBigNuts

                                                      RAONIC +120-WINNER
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BennyBigNuts
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-16-12
                                                        • 8700

                                                        #167
                                                        Cracking the whip on Raonic again for Thursday.
                                                        Dolgopolov been playing well so Raonic is a juicy price here at only -140.
                                                        Dolgo just not in his class though. Speaking of Dolgo WTF he owns Fognini doesn't he?
                                                        Anyways, I expect Raonic to win in 2 sets today so I am putting a small wager on that at +175 also.
                                                        These 2 have never played each other, I think that's another reason the price is so small in this spot also.
                                                        Let's get it.


                                                        BIG PLAY:

                                                        RAONIC -140 OVER DOLGO

                                                        SMALL PLAY:

                                                        RAONIC -1.5 SETS +175
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Hardcoar
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-17-13
                                                          • 15606

                                                          #168
                                                          At least you're right about Dolgopolov not being in Giraffe's class.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BennyBigNuts
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-16-12
                                                            • 8700

                                                            #169
                                                            Dolgopolov buries me again. He's playing a lot better tennis, I need to stop fading him.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BennyBigNuts
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-16-12
                                                              • 8700

                                                              #170
                                                              Going broke Sunday on Joker -160 over Feds
                                                              Fukkkkk that Joker will not lose in a final to Federer ever again.
                                                              2nd Biggest tennis bet of the year so far for me, let's get this money guys.
                                                              Bet it ASAP that line has to go up. Anything under -200 in this matchup is an automatic hammer the rest of their careers because no way Feds will take 1 out of every 3.

                                                              DJOKAVIC -160
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BennyBigNuts
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-16-12
                                                                • 8700

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by BennyBigNuts
                                                                Going broke Sunday on Joker -160 over Feds
                                                                Fukkkkk that Joker will not lose in a final to Federer ever again.
                                                                2nd Biggest tennis bet of the year so far for me, let's get this money guys.
                                                                Bet it ASAP that line has to go up. Anything under -200 in this matchup is an automatic hammer the rest of their careers because no way Feds will take 1 out of every 3.

                                                                DJOKAVIC -160-WINNER
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BennyBigNuts
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-16-12
                                                                  • 8700

                                                                  #172
                                                                  I'm definitely leaning on Nadal today +120 over Joker in this final boys.
                                                                  He's due here and never winning this one will motivate him even more and should put him over the top.
                                                                  Both guys not exactly dominating opponents this year so far, losing lots of sets and playing very shaky at times.

                                                                  Anyone want to talk me out of Nadal?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Hardcoar
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-17-13
                                                                    • 15606

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Yes. If nothing else, because of the odds.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                                      • 15606

                                                                      #174
                                                                      I made a summarizing write-up by request. Please refer to:

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • poet
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 08-11-13
                                                                        • 796

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                                        I made a summarizing write-up by request. Please refer to:

                                                                        http://forum.sbrforum.com/tennis-bet...l#post21516416
                                                                        Look at you, HC, with the write-up. I love it. So much better (more helpful) than those acerbic one-liners, although I love those too.
                                                                        Comment
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