EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

**ManeOnFire** · 11-12-14, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

I wouldn't touch that Berdych-Cilic match with free money. Too hard to figure out. If anything riding unders until they are proven to be wrong might be prudent. I'm probably gonna sit tomorrow out. Don't really like anything.

#battleofthebreadsticks

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-12-14, 10:21 AM

Unders continue to be a cash cow. Unreal

**Bet10Heinekens** · 11-12-14, 10:36 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Unders continue to be a cash cow. Unreal

Looks like the loser of 1 set are willing to tank the match with this round robin format. The tennis quality has been below sub-
par. None of these guys will give max effort until the knockout round

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-12-14, 11:12 AM

I don't even think it's tanking. There just only seems to be three healthy and engaged guys here for sure - maybe four depending on Wawrinka, but I still have doubts.

Definitely seems like younger first timers struggle with the format & spotlight.

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-12-14, 11:52 AM

I got dubs today as a live option @ Intertops - if they give a total, Overs have been killing it dubs wise mostly.

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-12-14, 01:15 PM

Took forever, got on Over 21.5

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-12-14, 04:47 PM

Tip for tomorrow since I think Fed-Murray will be the bigger betting match. See who wins Nishikori-Raonic 1st ... Fed may not need to win to qualify, but his effort should be there to finish top of the group to avoid Djokovic. That might be accomplished though just by winning a set. Know the qualifying scenarios

**Vinnie Paz** · 11-12-14, 11:33 PM

Says both matches at same time...?

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-12-14, 11:43 PM

Nope. Same format as all week. One in the morning, one in the afternoon (US time). Don't ever go by times listed at Sportsbooks for tennis matches.

Blog has all the scenarios for Group B.

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-12-14, 11:55 PM

Unders 8/8 in singles. Would think taking it for Nishikori-Raonic at 23.5 looks decent. The Fed-Murray match looks trickier depending on qualifcation scenarios. Roger basically needs to win one set tomorrow and he's going to win the group, even if he loses the match to Murray. Tough betting.

**Ushpa** · 11-13-14, 09:02 AM

Miles Raonic has withdrawn and David Ferrer will take his place as the alternate in the match vs. Nish

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-13-14, 11:09 AM

Believe Murray has to win in straights to advance with this result. Makes that match tricky to bet. Fed wins a set, he gets the top spot for in the group & Murray is out.

**ManeOnFire** · 11-13-14, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Believe Murray has to win in straights to advance with this result. Makes that match tricky to bet. Fed wins a set, he gets the top spot for in the group & Murray is out.

I don't understand why can't Murray advance with win 2-1.
Creates a 3 way tie for W-L.
Fed wins group on set%
Nishi and Murray both have same set% so doesn't it go to games%?

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-13-14, 11:26 AM

Confirmed. That's the correct scenario. Fed wins a set, Murray is out and Nishikori is in. The head-to-head win trumps it for Nishikori over Murray.

**ManeOnFire** · 11-13-14, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Confirmed. That's the correct scenario. Fed wins a set, Murray is out and Nishikori is in. The head-to-head win trumps it for Nishikori over Murray.

O ok I see.
Comment 4: 3 players have 2 wins and the other player has 0 wins. The player with 0 wins is eliminated. Of the 3 players with 2 wins, 1 player’s sets won-loss is 5-2 for 71.43%; the other 2 players both have a 4-3 record in sets for 57.14%. In this case there is 1 superior player (71.43%) and the remaining 2 players are tied; it now reverts to the head to head result of the 2 remaining players with the winning player advancing as group runner-up.

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-13-14, 11:42 AM

Yeah it's a cool format, but the TBs are insane.

**Vinnie Paz** · 11-13-14, 12:30 PM

Fukc all this I'm betting fed. To hell with you Murray you bloody limey

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-13-14, 12:44 PM

Benneteau-ERV in dubs

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-13-14, 11:43 PM

Hard time not seeing Djokovic and Wawrinka wins on Friday. Maybe just keep riding that Unders train. Might take a stab at Peya-Soares in dubs @ +290 against the Bryans. Their matches are usually close and often into super breakers where you'd gladly take a shot at plus money. Bryans really do struggle at the O2 for some reason. Maybe it;s the blue light?

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-14-14, 12:52 PM

+335 for Peya-Soares nibble

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-20-14, 11:10 PM

Davis Cup thoughts on the blog. Thinking Overs for Tsonga-Wawrinka @ 40.5 and pot shot on Monfils for + money 1st set.

**radostin.dimi** · 11-21-14, 08:09 AM

Im on the over too GL!

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-21-14, 11:07 AM

Tsonga played pretty poorly. Thought that would have been better.

**yisman** · 11-21-14, 12:09 PM

Maybe Federer is still hurt.

Monfils breaking him repeatedly

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-21-14, 12:20 PM

Not maybe, I think definitely. Struggling when he has to stretch for shots. Lack of power on serve.

**HockeyGuruNHL** · 11-23-14, 07:47 PM

**jake3** · 11-24-14, 05:14 AM

Hope Nish wins more!

**EaglesPhan36** · 11-24-14, 05:14 PM

Will be blogging in the off-season. Australian tourneys always a great way to start a new year.

2015 should be interesting.

**EaglesPhan36** · 12-08-14, 09:05 PM

Still blogging for anyone who wants to read offseason shite.

**MiddleMan** · 12-08-14, 10:22 PM

Thoughts for ATP Brisbane?

Fairly strong field. I reckon Dimitrov could be a good smokey.

**EaglesPhan36** · 12-08-14, 11:37 PM

Not even thinking about anything of those sorts right now. So far away. I like reading about the offseason training, etc. to see who is doing what.

**EaglesPhan36** · 12-12-14, 08:03 PM

Snoop Bloggy Blog around again for anyone who is into some light tennis reading this weekend.

**EaglesPhan36** · 12-13-14, 12:49 PM

Reports indicating that all Top 100 men and 99 of the top 100 women are entered for the Aussie Open. Organizers are pegging it as the deepest field ever.

**beefcake** · 12-15-14, 09:50 AM

Delpo back!!! Hope he can make some noise.

**EaglesPhan36** · 12-18-14, 04:34 PM

Reports circulated last week that he was experiencing left wrist issues. Haven't seen much else on it since.