THREADS! MOOOOOOAR THREEEEEEADS! My Fourth Pickin'-Thread <3

[danielleedeals]

Thank you- needed to finish out a parley and was debating this match

[Hardcoar]

It seems pretty safe, but you never know.

[Hardcoar]

Cabeza-Candela @ 3.63 – 3 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Garcia @ 2.43 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Larsson @ 2.41 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Mayr-Achleitner @ 1.746 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Svitolina 1:st @ 2.05 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Garcia @ 2.61 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Goffin @ 1.862 – 3 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Wickmayer -0.5 @ 1.893 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Flink @ 5.58 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Rybarikova -1 @ 1.847 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Dellacqua 1:st @ 1.671 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Total hits: 167
Total mishits: 221
Total stake: 1680u
Net yield: +174.384u
ROI: +10.38%

[Hardcoar]

Kubot @ 2.2 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Sousa @ 1.543 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Berlocq @ 1.83 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

[matt1216]

Kubot @ 2.2 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

HC, this match makes me sick. Is this a value play or do you really like Kubot to win? Kubot definately has the value, of course.

[Hardcoar]

I hold him favorite. It is a value play... I only make plays I consider to hold value.

[tipsadontlikehim]

damn Carlos Berlocq just a bad day i guess

[Hardcoar]

Very!

[Hardcoar]

Mannarino @ 6.52 – 3 units (Pinnacle)

[matt1216]

the baggy!!!!

[Hardcoar]

ROCKIN' THE BAGHDAD!

Time to book that @10k future now!

[Hardcoar]

Kubot @ 2.2 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Sousa @ 1.543 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Berlocq @ 1.83 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Mannarino @ 6.52 – 3 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Total hits: 168
Total mishits: 224
Total stake: 1708u
Net yield: +161.814u
ROI: +9.47%

[Hardcoar]

Nishikori @ 2.11 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

[faststeady]

Ladbrokes cut you loose now HC ?

[ChasingInle]

How are Betfair lines compared to Pinnacle? Unfortunately there's 6% commission taken (depending on the country) for winners.

[Hardcoar]

Ladbrokes cut you loose now HC ?

I can't use them anymore.

With the commission taken into consideration, Betfair lines are mostly worse than Pinnacle.

[Hardcoar]

Nishikori @ 2.11 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Total hits: 169
Total mishits: 224
Total stake: 1718u
Net yield: +172.914u
ROI: +10.065% (rounded)

[Hardcoar]

Nishikori 1:st @ 2.44 – 2 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Sharapova -0.5 @ 1.814 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Classical WTA shitfest, especially considering how Fatso steamrolled the Serbian lesbo the night before.

Does anyone know why Fatso was favorite in this match???

[tipsadontlikehim]

nishikori

[Cappinpicks]

Classical WTA shitfest, especially considering how Fatso steamrolled the Serbian lesbo the night before.

Does anyone know why Fatso was favorite in this match???

my book was -140 pova forgot to go all in

[Cappinpicks]

Special K will always get the win when you need it

[Hardcoar]

Nishikori 1:st @ 2.44 – 2 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Sharapova -0.5 @ 1.814 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Total hits: 171
Total mishits: 224
Total stake: 1730u
Net yield: +183.934u
ROI: +10.63% (rounded)

[MartyFR]

Thoughts on Cibul - Rad?

[Hardcoar]

I don't really have much to add to the odds... I'm almost still liking Cibulkova though.

[Hardcoar]

Cibulkova 1:st @ 1.952 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

[Hardcoar]

Cibulkova 1:st @ 1.952 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Total hits: 171
Total mishits: 225
Total stake: 1734u
Net yield: +179.934u
ROI: +10.38% (rounded)

[Hardcoar]

Sharapova @ 5.46 – 3 units (Pinnacle)

[Honeybadger44]

Sharapova @ 5.46 – 3 units (Pinnacle)

There is some nice value imho. I was thinkig about the ame play and +5,5 spread, but I am worried about those windy conditions. Sharapova often has problems with her serve and those conditions will only make it worse.

[Hardcoar]

Yes that is the one thing I am concerned with as well, but given how vulnerable the Beast has been recently as well as Sharapova's good form and historic record at this tournament, I want to take the chance despite the H2H.

Accounts on today's wind-conditions are inconclusive.

[Spanks]

Cibulkova 1:st @ 1.952 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

any reason ..she lost the 1st set yesterday easily against a taped up aga

[Spanks]

will be windy...15 to 20 mph
yesterday 10 to 15 mph