Matt's updated picks

**BankHead** · 10-30-13, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Im not worried Bank

yup hes back bro, up 5-1 this set smashing guido all over the court, serving for the match

**BankHead** · 10-30-13, 07:54 PM

cashed both the big plays, thanks matt

**reddZor** · 10-30-13, 08:44 PM

penetrating arguletto cant convert BP for shit ffs

**BennyBigNuts** · 10-30-13, 08:54 PM

What are we on tonight Matty for ATP?

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 09:14 PM

Originally posted by BennyBigNuts

What are we on tonight Matty for ATP?

Hey bud, I'll look into it and post in a bit

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 09:18 PM

Challenger Play#11

Sugita ML 1.48 x 9 units

despite a few losses, Sugita is a solid player. He's lost 3/4 but those losses were to dodig Lorenzi . Let's get this play and close out the night on a good note

Gl

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 09:20 PM

Originally posted by reddZor

penetrating arguletto cant convert BP for shit ffs

Ya man tough match. He had so many chances to win. Will get it tomorrow.

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 09:21 PM

Originally posted by BankHead

cashed both the big plays, thanks matt

Anytime man... It's been a decent day

**reddZor** · 10-30-13, 09:48 PM

im on sugita too brother. im still so mad about arguletto, he buried me hard..

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by reddZor

im on sugita too brother. im still so mad about arguletto, he buried me hard..

Follow the unit play, if u followed them u should be up

**reddZor** · 10-30-13, 10:08 PM

boom. got on bhambri live play. good hit bro, keep it up, mad respect for you.

**gottimhimmel** · 10-30-13, 10:14 PM

Matt any thoughts on Raonic over Berdych tomorrow?

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by reddZor

boom. got on bhambri live play. good hit bro, keep it up, mad respect for you.

Thanks, let's get Sugita. Hope u get hour money back

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by gottimhimmel

Matt any thoughts on Raonic over Berdych tomorrow?

ill look into it tonight bud

**reddZor** · 10-30-13, 10:23 PM

matt, hoping moriya drops this set so i can get on him at live play to win, think it will be good, thoughts?

**reddZor** · 10-30-13, 10:57 PM

Originally posted by reddZor

matt, hoping moriya drops this set so i can get on him at live play to win, think it will be good, thoughts?

boom ez cash

**matt1216** · 10-30-13, 11:05 PM

I will tally up my record on completion of Sugita challenger wager

Plays for 31st Oct Paris:

Wawrinka ML 1.57 x 12 units****Large Wager****

Dimitrov ML 2.85 x 3 units

Simon ML 3.20 x 1.5 units

Kohlscriber 3.40 x 1.5 units

*** something fishy with that Delpotro ML. Only 1.40???? I can see a lot of people pounding this. Maybe the books are preping for a letdown sometime soon. I'll give this a shot. I think it hits. I know I said this about Cilic but now, for real Delpotro is looking gased. He did enough to get by Cilic but if Dimitrov is on he can switch up the pace enough to challenge here.

I will post a couple more plays later on.

Gl

**Jago2008** · 10-30-13, 11:08 PM

Shanghai finals rematch in Raonic v. Berdych -

Berdych looked absolutely overmatched and overpowered in that final, I don't see how anything changes, maybe Berdych takes a set this time, but I think Raonic takes this again.

**Jago2008** · 10-30-13, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

I will tally up my record on completion of Sugita challenger wager

Plays for 31st Oct Paris:

Wawrinka ML 1.57 x 12 units****Large Wager****

Dimitrov ML 2.85 x 3 units

*** something fishy with that Delpotro ML. Only 1.40???? I can see a lot of people pounding this. Maybe the books are preping for a letdown sometime soon. I'll give this a shot. I think it hits. I know I said this about Cilic but now, for real Delpotro is looking gased. He did enough to get by Cilic but if Dimitrov is on he can switch up the pace enough to challenge here.

I will post a couple more plays later on.

Gl

I like the Wawrinka play man, was thinking the same myself, was thinking a Raonic and Wawrinka parlay, but I might just be conservative and straight bet at these odds.

Good luck.

**lucasdawg** · 10-30-13, 11:40 PM

i think rinka wont win in straights.. though will be on it, and probs have another crack til del potro tank. bol

**frugalgambler** · 10-31-13, 12:02 AM

Raonic can still make it to London if he gets to the final in Paris (and if Gasquet/Wawrinka lose early). But Byrdman is no slouch and I think it is dangerous to expect a blowout by Raonic tomorrow. But I like Raonic ML. Wawrinka plays first, before Raonic and Gasquet. So yeah, I like Wawrinka play (although I dislike Wawrinka).

**Jago2008** · 10-31-13, 12:11 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

Raonic can still make it to London if he gets to the final in Paris (and if Gasquet/Wawrinka lose early). But Byrdman is no slouch and I think it is dangerous to expect a blowout by Raonic tomorrow. But I like Raonic ML. Wawrinka plays first, before Raonic and Gasquet. So yeah, I like Wawrinka play (although I dislike Wawrinka).

I completely agree frugal, I believe this match will be a lot closer than the final in Shanghai.

I'm also curious why the line is relatively low on Djoker, I do think he will beats Isner here probably in 2 sets, but I imagined something higher, was going to incorporate this in a parlay.

**ohmyyikes** · 10-31-13, 12:15 AM

Almagro has been playing alot better on indoor hard courts than Wawrinka has been playing. What is the reason for this pick? I am in dire need of a winner. Still digging and grinding myself out of this hole before week's end.

**Rustyglobes** · 10-31-13, 12:18 AM

Almagro has been pretty solid lately, I know he is more of a clay courter but he is no slouch on this surface. What makes you want to play this wager large matt?

Almagro beat Stan the man in straight sets just last year in the Oz open and has only dropped 3 matches in his last 10 (2 being to Del Potro) compared to wawrinkas 4 losses..

Anyway best of luck Matt was just interested to see what edge you saw in this match

**Djohns04** · 10-31-13, 12:30 AM

Originally posted by Jago2008

I completely agree frugal, I believe this match will be a lot closer than the final in Shanghai.

I'm also curious why the line is relatively low on Djoker, I do think he will beats Isner here probably in 2 sets, but I imagined something higher, was going to incorporate this in a parlay.

Does seem pretty low, I gotta assume it's because he has one loss already to him this year and their match at the Davis Cup was pretty close as well. Not sure if getting into a tie-break with hebert might have some effect as well

**matt1216** · 10-31-13, 12:34 AM

Almagro had 7 wins out of his last 10 matches. Lol guys do you look at who almagro beat and when. Guys like Becker, andujar, dodig erratic Fognini.... He beat Berdych after Berdych had a tough run in Thailand. Wawrinka had a tough loss to djokovic. I thought it was normal for him to lose a few and be a bit mentally unstable. I can picture wawrinka being in London. He deserves it. Think how well he played the top guys.... Wawrinka built some confidence over lopez and I think he takes out a almagro who might also be a bit deflated after being eliminated from London.

But seriously guys, please look at who almagro has beaten recentl... Wawrinka had a laps for a few, it's all good

**matt1216** · 10-31-13, 12:35 AM

Originally posted by Djohns04

Does seem pretty low, I gotta assume it's because he has one loss already to him this year and their match at the Davis Cup was pretty close as well. Not sure if getting into a tie-break with hebert might have some effect as well

Thats exactly it.

**Jago2008** · 10-31-13, 01:08 AM

Originally posted by Djohns04

Does seem pretty low, I gotta assume it's because he has one loss already to him this year and their match at the Davis Cup was pretty close as well. Not sure if getting into a tie-break with hebert might have some effect as well

Yes, well said. People underestimated Herbert including Joker', the kid has a great serve, he reminded me of young Ryan Harrison (things have changed recently for Harrison). But Isner has not been playing well enough to impress me (UE) at these odds. As you mentioned Isner has played Djoker well, beating him 2 of the last 3 times, I don't think that happens tomorrow however. Personally I see some value in this line, but it remains to be seen whether I actually bet it.

BOL.

**matt1216** · 10-31-13, 01:10 AM

I added 2 more plays a over ATP. Very small.

**matt1216** · 10-31-13, 01:13 AM

Challenger Plays Oct 31:

Jarziri + Lavine 2.50 ML x 3 units

Viola ML 1.69 ML x 3 units

Golubev ML 1.69 x 6 units

Maybe more later

Gl

I will tally up my record from today and tomorrow in the morning

**matt1216** · 10-31-13, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Challenger Play#11

Sugita ML 1.48 x 9 units

despite a few losses, Sugita is a solid player. He's lost 3/4 but those losses were to dodig Lorenzi . Let's get this play and close out the night on a good note

Gl

Cash it

**ohmyyikes** · 10-31-13, 01:24 AM

The fact Wawa won todays match also means his place is secure in the London tourney. So depends how motivated he is. But again you can say the same about Almagro. Hes out of it. So hes playing for nothing.

**BennyBigNuts** · 10-31-13, 01:27 AM

Originally posted by Jago2008

I completely agree frugal, I believe this match will be a lot closer than the final in Shanghai.

I'm also curious why the line is relatively low on Djoker, I do think he will beats Isner here probably in 2 sets, but I imagined something higher, was going to incorporate this in a parlay.

Isner beat him 2 of the last 3 they played.
Gives him lots of trouble with that serve.
Isner worth a look today.

My play is Raonic though.
Gonna throw Wawrinka in something in a minute, probably with ferrer -3.5.
Matt how do you have Simon again today after what we witnessed yesterday? Why you like this loser again?

**frugalgambler** · 10-31-13, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by ohmyyikes

The fact Wawa won todays match also means his place is secure in the London tourney. So depends how motivated he is. But again you can say the same about Almagro. Hes out of it. So hes playing for nothing.

No Wawa is not secure: Raonic and Gasquet can still overtake him, although Raonic needs to get to the final in Paris, a very tall order, but not impossible. As for Almagro's motivation, this is one of the biggest tournaments of the year with a lot of prize money and ATP points at stake.

**frugalgambler** · 10-31-13, 01:35 AM

A fun fact: last year Djoker lost to Querrey in Paris (basically tanked after winning the first set 6-0), then he went on to win the London big tournament next week. I am very tempted to throw 0.5 units on Isner.