E Vesnina v R Vinci

Hardcoar · 10-16-13, 09:12 AM

Vesnina @ 1.83 – big.

Vesnina @ your odds (@ <1.7, a.k.a shittiest odds you could find) – no bet.

lucasdawg · 10-16-13, 09:13 AM

yeah its at 1.70 zzz still gonna take 2-1 sets probs thanks

ChrisInTheMist · 10-16-13, 09:14 AM

R vinci- big

Hardcoar · 10-16-13, 09:17 AM

Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist

R vinci- big

See you next year...

1:st might be a good option for Vesnina here.

lucasdawg · 10-16-13, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist

R vinci- big

bol

pattymayo · 10-16-13, 09:20 AM

Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist

R vinci- big

Well this makes my decision a lot easier thnx

Hardcoar · 10-16-13, 09:23 AM

Vinci might take 2:nd, but in all honesty I doubt it.

lucasdawg · 10-16-13, 09:39 AM

well hoping vesnina chills in second and takes it in third :P

ChrisInTheMist · 10-16-13, 10:16 AM

I feel like such a sucker right now I know r Vinci's gonna win yet I bet on e vesnina cause she's hot

frugalgambler · 10-16-13, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist

I feel like such a sucker right now I know r Vinci's gonna win yet I bet on e vesnina cause she's hot

You are clearly air-betting, dog.

frugalgambler · 10-16-13, 10:45 AM

Vinci actually has a lot to play for: she can still qualify for Istanbul as a sub (and she can still finish the year in top 10). But Vesnina is at home and clearly also wants to win. I am not going to bet on this, but GL dudes.

Hardcoar · 10-16-13, 10:50 AM

Motivation won't help Vinci when she's being outplayed.

GG NO RE. In Soviet Russia, RE NO GG:s you.

Bet10Heinekens · 10-16-13, 10:54 AM

Frugalgambler always provide useful insights

gottimhimmel · 10-16-13, 10:59 AM

I've got .5 units on vesnina. She's in freaking moscow, she doesn't want to lose to someone she's beaten 4/5 times in her own backyard

Hardcoar · 10-16-13, 11:05 AM

Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens

Frugalgambler always provide useful insights

He does but that won't help Vinci, I'm afraid.

Overbettor · 10-16-13, 11:08 AM

What time is this going to start? It says noon I thought

ChrisInTheMist · 10-16-13, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by Overbettor

What time is this going to start? It says noon I thought

Relax my man it's noon:09

Overbettor · 10-16-13, 11:10 AM

Nm, we gotta wait for this tipsarevic match to end don't we?

ChrisInTheMist · 10-16-13, 11:22 AM

Idk not watching but there's always delays in tennis

losschaser · 10-16-13, 11:23 AM

Couldn't resist bet $50 on Vesnina to win $35

frugalgambler · 10-16-13, 11:23 AM

Originally posted by Overbettor

What time is this going to start? It says noon I thought

I would have thought that by now you would have figured this out. It will start after the previous match on the Center court finishes (Tipsarevic). Probably in ~1-1.5 hours.

I am gonna go with Vesnina -2 for 1/2 units; I think she is in a pretty good form right now and Vinci looked tired and frustrated against Kerber in China (then again Kerber was on fire in Asia). Nice hit on Khachanov 1st, naked Tsonga.

frugalgambler · 10-16-13, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by Bet10Heinekens

Frugalgambler always provide useful insights

Thanks dude, but insights do not always result in good bets. My record is not nearly as good as those of Hardcoar or Matt.

Overbettor · 10-16-13, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

I would have thought that by now you would have figured this out. It will start after the previous match on the Center court finishes (Tipsarevic). Probably in ~1-1.5 hours.

I am gonna go with Vesnina -2 for 1/2 units; I think she is in a pretty good form right now and Vinci looked tired and frustrated against Kerber in China (then again Kerber was on fire in Asia). Nice hit on Khachanov 1st, naked Tsonga.

Ummm, not quite sure we've chatted before as this is only like one of my 1st posts and bets in TENNIS but thanks for the response anyhow. Gl im on Vesnina as well

Hardcoar · 10-16-13, 11:32 AM

Originally posted by losschaser

Couldn't resist bet $50 on Vesnina to win $35

Cash 'dat ticket brah... It's a lock!

frugalgambler · 10-16-13, 11:34 AM

Originally posted by Overbettor

Ummm, not quite sure we've chatted before as this is only like one of my 1st posts and bets in TENNIS but thanks for the response anyhow. Gl im on Vesnina as well

OK, sorry dude; I think I confused you with somebody else. In tennis, only matches that begin morning or evening sessions generally start at the scheduled time. The others start once the previous match on that court finishes.

ChrisInTheMist · 10-16-13, 11:34 AM

Vinci is gonna win I don't get why u guys are so confident

frugalgambler · 10-16-13, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Cash 'dat ticket brah... It's a lock!

Dude, now you a scaring me. Are you being ironic ? I thought you hated all this "its a lock" statements.

Overbettor · 10-16-13, 11:38 AM

Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist

Vinci is gonna win I don't get why u guys are so confident

Why are you so confident?

ChrisInTheMist · 10-16-13, 11:41 AM

I did some statistical probability test and Vinci came out to be 61% favorite and the other chick is 39% and Vinci is a better player better rank

frugalgambler · 10-16-13, 11:43 AM

Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist

I did some statistical probability test and Vinci came out to be 61% favorite and the other chick is 39% and Vinci is a better player better rank

You crack me up dude. I also fired up my copyrighted neural network coupled with a boosted decision tree analysis and I say Vesnina has a 57.31296 chance to win.

Overbettor · 10-16-13, 11:43 AM

Statistical probability test huh....who came up with that formula? Can u expound on that just a bit please

mytsunami · 10-16-13, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by frugalgambler

you crack me up dude. I also fired up my copyrighted neural network coupled with a boosted decision tree analysis and i say vesnina has a 57.31296 chance to win.

looooooooooool

Demonata · 10-16-13, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by ChrisInTheMist

I did some statistical probability test and Vinci came out to be 61% favorite and the other chick is 39% and Vinci is a better player better rank

Rank means shit

ChrisInTheMist · 10-16-13, 11:48 AM

Here's a rough draft

Roberta Vinci

Her nationality is Italy.
She is currently #11 in the world rankings and She is #11 in the official world rankings.
She is 30 years old.
She will play against Vesnina in Moscow (-Round 16-) on hard court
She has played once in this tournament before and the date was 2011. Vinci played in the first round in this tournament in 2011
She has played one match in this tournament and she is defeated
She has lost 7 of her recent 20 matches She has lost 6 of her recent 17 matches on hard court
Vinci has played 61 times against a player from Russia so far and she has won 22 of them = 36 %
Vinci has played 5 times against a player from Russia this year and she has won 4 of them = 80 %
On Hard Court She has won 28 of her 46 matches in one year = 60 %
premiers : She has won 17 of her 43 matches in all career = 39 %
premiers : on hard court She has won 16 of her 36 matches in all career = 44 %
Probability of winning : 64,6 %