Anyone think Nadal will lose tonight?

[tcarn01]

I do.

[STAY STRONG]

Good luck.

[Hardcoar]

Anyone who actually thinks Nadal will lose should get a routine sanity check-up.

I will agree he is more likely to than 1/20 times though.

[mtc44380]

You can take the spread for +6 FOG, but there is no way he is beating Rafa.... His performance against Robredo and Hewitt is nothing to compare this match to. He could easily lose 6-4, 6-3 - I don't think he will take a set either. HOWEVER, you don't have much to lose with a small stake on Fog, a $10 bet will get ya $135, so that aint a bad stab/

[EaglesPhan36]

To Fognini? On clay, I'd give Foghat maybe 1% chance. On hard? 0.00000000000000000000000000000000000000 000000000000000000000001% and that percent is if Rafa is felled by an injury that breaks a bone.

[mtc44380]

Anyone who actually thinks Nadal will lose should get a routine sanity check-up.

I will agree he is more likely to than 1/20 times though.

Well, at 64-3 on the year, that means he loses 1 in every 20 matches.... so 1/20 seems about right Wait, that math is wrong. ha. But could be worth a small bet on Fog, cause there is no value in Rafa at 1.05

[Hardcoar]

You both clearly underestimate the probabilities involved, but don't get me wrong, it's no likely outcome by any means.

[MUHerd37]

Fognini has some game but I don't see him winning. If Rafa gets to the finals, he becomes #1 in the world even if he loses to Djokovic in the finals. You know he's gunning for that. Don't see Fog getting in the way of that.

[frugalgambler]

Well, at 64-3 on the year, that means he loses 1 in every 20 matches.... so 1/20 seems about right Wait, that math is wrong. ha. But could be worth a small bet on Fog, cause there is no value in Rafa at 1.05

Had Nadal played Fognini 67 times this year, he would have been 67-0.

[EaglesPhan36]

You both clearly underestimate the probabilities involved, but don't get me wrong, it's no likely outcome by any means.

Shut up professor.

[apeterlives]

Agree, don't play Fognini tonight carn. Looking at the dogs for ATP Tokyo and Beijing I don't see many winning this round (maybe Almagro +140 --Kei has looked shaky but should win still--and maybe Ferrer +115, but like Gasquet over him as well). Haven't watched Isner this week, maybe can see him playing Berdych tight. WTA Beijing imo is heading for a Williams-Li final, maybe Kerber +125 has a good chance to upset Radwanska, looking into other matches more.

[MUHerd37]

About to start

[MUHerd37]

Nadal broken in his 1st service game.

[Stanford Wong]

Looks 3-0 faggini

[apeterlives]

if Rafa is felled by an injury that breaks a bone.

You called it you bastard! Haha

[Stanford Wong]

Retire Rafa

[EaglesPhan36]

What's the deal? I don't have a feed to watch. You guys just speculating things or is someone watching?

[sluggy1616]

who picks their butt then wipes their face yuk he deserves to luse

[sluggy1616]

What's the deal? I don't have a feed to watch. You guys just speculating things or is someone watching?

espn3

[Jago2008]

What's the deal? I don't have a feed to watch. You guys just speculating things or is someone watching?

Here Eagle try this:

http://www.sportcategory.com/c-4.html

[EaglesPhan36]

Don't get ESPN3. DirecTV. Don't really care enough tonight to watch, just sounded like you guys were saying Rafa was injured ... seems like he's just getting beat maybe?

[Stanford Wong]

4-1 ouch

[MUHerd37]

I'm watching. Livescore. They also have a kick ass extension if you are using Google Chrome

[MUHerd37]

Fognini is on his game today. If Nadal wins, it's gonna be a hell of a struggle.

[sluggy1616]

Don't get ESPN3. DirecTV. Don't really care enough tonight to watch, just sounded like you guys were saying Rafa was injured ... seems like he's just getting beat maybe?

I just clicked on at 3-0 but I think I saw a trainer rubbing Nadal's thigh

Foggy is playing lights out though

[Jago2008]

Fognini is playing out of his mind, if he break Nadal here again...

[EaglesPhan36]

Well if he's not dying, I'd expect Rafa to level things out soon enough. But maybe the steroids are wearing off eh?

[apeterlives]

Rafa banged his knee, fighting through it now well though. If they show it again I'll screenshot it, watching from sky2hd stream.

Now Fabio hitting some great shots, and Nadal not moving well and tons of errors. In between points clutching at thigh, trying to play through this. Wonder what live odds are on Nadal now.

[Stanford Wong]

This set is about over

[Stanford Wong]

5-1

[MUHerd37]

Wow. It's an ass whipping right now. Fognini about to take the 1st set 6-1

[sluggy1616]

5-1 foggy serving for set

[matt1216]

Wow Fognini taking a dump on Nadals chest

[EaglesPhan36]

I'll root for the .0000000000000000000000000000001% chance and for Fognini to win running away to keep my under alive. Still not certain that has a shot outside of a retirement.

[face]

shit pushed in lol