Serena Williams vs Li Na tomorrow

jjgold · 09-05-13, 06:39 PM

If Na plays well its close
Good power player

Maybe wind bothers Serena??

theballsflop · 09-05-13, 09:12 PM

Either Li Na is going to put up a fierce fight or Serena is going to steamroll. I'm going with both u18 and o22

EaglesPhan36 · 09-05-13, 09:59 PM

You might lose both of those.

Li Na likely makes one set competitive minimum. She usually does against Serena, one of the few who can say that.

matt1216 · 09-05-13, 11:25 PM

Boys.... Li na first set winner. +450

poet · 09-06-13, 01:08 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

Boys.... Li na first set winner. +450

You know what's crazy about these first set bets that are +350 or more? If the underdog stays close for a few games, like a 3 to 3 score, the odds of them winning increases. So plus +350 becomes +175. Which also means the odds on the favorite winning go down, producing a great hedging opportunity. I like this kind of bet better in the men's game, since most of them can hold serve, at least for a while. The match between Gascan and Nadal might be a place to try this. If gascan can hang with Nadal for a few games, then Nadal's odds should drop from -600 to -300 for the first set. And the longer Gascan hangs around the more favorable the hedge becomes.

matt1216 · 09-06-13, 01:46 AM

Originally posted by poet

You know what's crazy about these first set bets that are +350 or more? If the underdog stays close for a few games, like a 3 to 3 score, the odds of them winning increases. So plus +350 becomes +175. Which also means the odds on the favorite winning go down, producing a great hedging opportunity. I like this kind of bet better in the men's game, since most of them can hold serve, at least for a while. The match between Gascan and Nadal might be a place to try this. If gascan can hang with Nadal for a few games, then Nadal's odds should drop from -600 to -300 for the first set. And the longer Gascan hangs around the more favorable the hedge becomes.

Ive made a killing doing this. The only one i messed up was the murray match. Im not sure how gasguet will fair. Nadal looked incredible the other night. He probably would have bagled djoker with that performance

poet · 09-06-13, 02:18 AM

Matt, do you do this just with the first set or the later ones as well? Also, once you take a player for the do you then hedge if the odds become favorable? One last thought, this strategy probably works better with an underdog than a favorite, since you don't have to invest as much?

face · 09-06-13, 03:09 AM

gonna try li na +6 -150
they have played 9 times and li na has never lost by 7 games

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jjgold · 09-06-13, 07:44 AM

Lets try + the games with NA and pray

zola · 09-06-13, 02:25 PM

LI NA +5.5 ... Good Luck Fellas.

face · 09-06-13, 04:07 PM

damn it she is getting crushed

cannot win one game

jessetk313 · 09-06-13, 04:20 PM

Yea I am mad I didn't pound Serena for more. Oh well it broke me even with this dumbass CHC Mil game I took earlier.

theballsflop · 09-06-13, 08:06 PM

Originally posted by theballsflop

Either Li Na is going to put up a fierce fight or Serena is going to steamroll. I'm going with both u18 and o22

Pretty much what i expected

daddypoker23 · 09-07-13, 10:29 AM

Anybody play competitively? when your playing in a big moment it takes time to forget about the stage and play tennis.Thats why tennis a huge mental sport.. Once 2 set start NA LI was playing loose.. She already felt that she lost the match and decided to smash the ball.. Which she ended up playing much better...

I know am stating the obvious- Just fascinated how well Serena Williams plays in those big moments