Murray -7.5 -114

[greenhippo]

I think Murray wins this in 3 sets, something like 6-3 6-4 6-2.

Hell even if he loses a set it could play something like 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-3 which still puts you at Murray up 8 games. I don't follow tennis, obvious from my lack of posts on here but this seems like a solid bet to make no?

[Hardcoar]

It seems like it's very difficult to appreciate properly the probability of Murray winning by at least 8 games, no?

If you think it's at least 55 % and are very confident about it then yes, it does seem like a solid bet.

[matt1216]

Istomin will test him. This guy has played well on hard recently. He took a set off djoker fairly easily in montreal

[matt1216]

Istomin will win a set

[EaglesPhan36]

Betting on Istomin is Russian roulette at its finest. For every time he wins a set off Djokovic, he loses in straights to Brian Baker or loses to Rufin .... point being this guy is maybe one of the most inconsistent set-to-set players on the ATP tour IMO.

One thing to consider is Murray said he struggled with the humidity against Mayer, but he won going away. Humidity today does not appear to be very high, so he may not struggle nearly as much.

[greenhippo]

Appreciate the feedback, going about half a unit on Murray -7.5. If he wins it's an extra couple $20 bills, if not, not big enough a loss to worry me.