Djokovic -10.5 sets +105

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  • biggerleaffan
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-21-10
    • 465

    #1
    Djokovic -10.5 sets +105
    any value in this?
  • tevari
    SBR MVP
    • 02-02-07
    • 4959

    #2
    Considering they play 5 sets, no.
    Comment
    • tevari
      SBR MVP
      • 02-02-07
      • 4959

      #3
      In all seriousness, you're betting -10.5 games, in which case I think the line is very tricky. I see something like 6-2, 6-3, 6-2, which is obviously exactly where the books think it'll be as well.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        Berankis is an underachiever. Would not be surprised if this covered with a game or two to spare. Before Winston-Salem, he was having problems winning GAMES, not matches ... GAMES. 6-1, 6-0 to Roger-Vasselin and 6-1, 6-2 to Lu. He's got talent and he played Murray within seven games in Australia in losing in straights. Murray donated three service games though.

        It's -10 most places though, so you should shop around ... also might think about going the under route at 26.5 instead if you think Djokovic smacks him.
        Comment
        • biggerleaffan
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-21-10
          • 465

          #5
          Leaning towards Djokovic -11.5 games (+233) and over 25.5 total games (-151). As long as Berankis doesn't win exactly 7 games, I'll profit.
          Comment
          • biggerleaffan
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-21-10
            • 465

            #6
            Although that's only 10.88% return and pretty pointless
            Comment
            • MiddleMan
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-26-13
              • 673

              #7
              $890 on exactly three sets being played @ $1.33
              $200 on Berankis +2.5 sets @ $5.46 w Pinnacle

              If Djokovic wins in three sets, I win $94
              If either player wins in four or five sets, I win $2.
              If Berankis wins in three sets, I win $1185
              If Berankis wins a set and the match isn't completed (due to a retirement), I win $892
              Comment
              • Tmuston Beltics
                SBR MVP
                • 01-14-13
                • 1253

                #8
                Where did you get -300 for under 3.5 sets?
                Comment
                • MiddleMan
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-26-13
                  • 673

                  #9
                  Sorry for not saying, but I find these sorts of inconsistent/value odds all the time, and the moment I mention the agency to others, the bookmaker wakes up to itself and gets rid of the value, so I'd prefer to keep it to myself.

                  I also got the same odds in the Kohlschreiber game for three sets, and the same odds are also available in the Nadal game for three sets.
                  Comment
                  • biggerleaffan
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 10-21-10
                    • 465

                    #10
                    Middleman what book are you at? Im at Pinny

                    I ended up playing under 27.5 sets at -147 and cashed easily
                    Comment
                    • yisman
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-01-08
                      • 75682

                      #11
                      Originally posted by biggerleaffan
                      Middleman what book are you at? Im at Pinny

                      I ended up playing under 27.5 sets at -147 and cashed easily
                      it's games, not sets
                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                      [/quote]

                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                      Comment
                      • Sam_Hawkins
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-02-12
                        • 922

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tevari
                        Considering they play 5 sets, no.
                        srsly, I lol'd.
                        Comment
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