Jerzy line plummeting

RichardGeorge · 08-06-13, 11:54 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Sounds like you were on Benny? Lol.

Didn't bet a cent on it.. Nice try though

Noleafclover · 08-07-13, 03:33 AM

LOL. Of course the line is dropping, -260 says his chance to win is c. 72ish % (+/- a few, I didn't do the math), -170 c. 62% (+/-). The line is just a representation of the implied odds to win, just like your fancy euro odds that tell you how much you get back for a dollar but are a betch to eyeball the implied odds from if they're under 2 (in other news).

So yesterday they thought janowicz wins 72% of the time
Today 62%
Confidence in janowicz, which the line represents = dropping.

horja1 · 08-07-13, 03:47 AM

Janowicz made a lot of UEs and his second serve was horrible (35%) ... he also allowed 7 break points to Beneteau which I think is too much for such a great server ... I think he needs a few more matches to adjust to the surface

Noleafclover · 08-07-13, 09:01 AM

I want to hear more about this rising line when the percentage implied odds is decreasing.

Noleafclover · 08-07-13, 04:10 PM

Check in Hardcoar?

Hardcoar · 08-07-13, 04:15 PM

Check.

Noleafclover · 08-07-13, 05:00 PM

So? See why Jerzy line dropped?

mrlif1 · 08-07-13, 05:04 PM

Check.

Noleafclover · 08-07-13, 08:00 PM

Pretty much what I thought.